Same Question, Different Answers: Evaluating LLM Reliability Beyond Accuracy
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2607.22554v1
- Date: Mon, 18 May 2026 16:45:13 GMT
- Title: Same Question, Different Answers: Evaluating LLM Reliability Beyond Accuracy
- Abstract summary: We study how model answers change under meaning-preserving paraphrases across factual question answering and mathematical reasoning tasks.<n>Across four benchmarks and 13 models, we find that model outputs frequently depend on the exact wording of the prompt.<n>For many questions, models alternate between correct and incorrect answers depending on phrasing, with mismatch rates reaching more than 23%.
- Score: 41.17236645999555
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) often achieve strong accuracy on benchmarks, yet it remains unclear how reliably they apply this knowledge when the same question is phrased in different but equivalent ways. In this work, we study how model answers change under meaning-preserving paraphrases across factual question answering and mathematical reasoning tasks. Across four benchmarks and 13 models, we find that model outputs frequently depend on the exact wording of the prompt. While overall accuracy typically changes only modestly across paraphrases, instance-level behavior is far less stable: for many questions, models alternate between correct and incorrect answers depending on phrasing, with mismatch rates reaching more than 23%. Conditioning on questions that are answered correctly in their original form reveals even larger failures measured by answer flip rates, showing that single-prompt correctness is often a poor indicator of reliability. At the same time, we find that models often produce a correct answer for at least one paraphrase of a question, suggesting that the underlying knowledge is present but inconsistently retrieved. Building on this observation, we show that a simple self-paraphrasing strategy can partially recover this latent knowledge and improve performance at inference time. Together, these findings suggest that standard accuracy metrics can mask substantial instability, and that evaluating consistency across equivalent inputs provides a clearer picture of LLM reliability.
Related papers
- The Illusion of Robustness: Aggregate Accuracy Hides Prediction Flips under Task-Irrelevant Context [76.36635039699112]
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in context-rich settings where task inputs are often accompanied by long, partially irrelevant context.<n>We find that state-of-the-art models often appear robust to task-irrelevant context at the aggregate level.<n>This aggregate stability, however, masks significant per-example instability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-07-14T17:01:12Z) - Decomposed Prompting Does Not Fix Knowledge Gaps, But Helps Models Say "I Don't Know" [47.930782177987446]
Large language models often struggle to recognize their knowledge limits in closed-book question answering, leading to confident hallucinations.<n>We evaluate three task-equivalent prompting regimes: Direct, Assistive, and Incremental, across different model scales and multi-hop QA benchmarks.<n>Because factual knowledge is stable while hallucinations are agreement, cross-regime provides a precise signal of internal uncertainty.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-04T18:39:58Z) - Mind the Gap: A Closer Look at Tokenization for Multiple-Choice Question Answering with LLMs [16.357595595062946]
There is no consensus on how to tokenize the space following the colon, often overlooked as a trivial choice.<n>Surprisingly, we are able to recommend one specific strategy -- tokenizing the space together with the answer letter.<n>Our findings underscore the importance of careful evaluation design and highlight the need for standardized, transparent evaluation protocols.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-09-18T14:47:58Z) - Can LLMs Detect Their Confabulations? Estimating Reliability in Uncertainty-Aware Language Models [24.72990207218907]
Large Language Models (LLMs) are prone to generating fluent but incorrect content, known as confabulation.<n>We investigate how in-context information influences model behavior and whether LLMs can identify their unreliable responses.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-08-11T16:12:36Z) - Uncertainty Distillation: Teaching Language Models to Express Semantic Confidence [16.311538811237536]
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for factual question-answering.<n>For these verbalized expressions of uncertainty to be meaningful, they should reflect the error rates at the expressed level of confidence.<n>We propose a simple procedure, uncertainty distillation, to teach an LLM to calibrated semantic confidences.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-03-18T21:29:29Z) - Rethinking LLM Uncertainty: A Multi-Agent Approach to Estimating Black-Box Model Uncertainty [47.95943057892318]
Quantifying uncertainty in black-box LLMs is vital for reliable responses and scalable oversight.<n>We introduce DiverseAgentEntropy, a novel, theoretically-grounded method employing multi-agent interaction for uncertainty estimation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-12-12T18:52:40Z) - Cycles of Thought: Measuring LLM Confidence through Stable Explanations [53.15438489398938]
Large language models (LLMs) can reach and even surpass human-level accuracy on a variety of benchmarks, but their overconfidence in incorrect responses is still a well-documented failure mode.
We propose a framework for measuring an LLM's uncertainty with respect to the distribution of generated explanations for an answer.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-05T16:35:30Z) - Improving the Reliability of Large Language Models by Leveraging
Uncertainty-Aware In-Context Learning [76.98542249776257]
Large-scale language models often face the challenge of "hallucination"
We introduce an uncertainty-aware in-context learning framework to empower the model to enhance or reject its output in response to uncertainty.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-07T12:06:53Z) - How Can We Know When Language Models Know? On the Calibration of
Language Models for Question Answering [80.82194311274694]
We examine the question "how can we know when language models know, with confidence, the answer to a particular query?"
We examine three strong generative models -- T5, BART, and GPT-2 -- and study whether their probabilities on QA tasks are well calibrated.
We then examine methods to calibrate such models to make their confidence scores correlate better with the likelihood of correctness.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-12-02T03:53:13Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.