Simulation Modelling and Analysis of Primary Health Centre Operations
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2104.12492v2
- Date: Mon, 21 Jun 2021 19:36:07 GMT
- Title: Simulation Modelling and Analysis of Primary Health Centre Operations
- Authors: Mohd Shoaib and Varun Ramamohan
- Abstract summary: We present discrete-event simulation models of the operations of primary health centres (PHCs) in the Indian context.
Our PHC simulation models incorporate four types of patients seeking medical care: outpatients, inpatients, childbirth cases, and patients seeking antenatal care.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
- Abstract: We present discrete-event simulation models of the operations of primary
health centres (PHCs) in the Indian context. Our PHC simulation models
incorporate four types of patients seeking medical care: outpatients,
inpatients, childbirth cases, and patients seeking antenatal care. A generic
modelling approach was adopted to develop simulation models of PHC operations.
This involved developing an archetype PHC simulation, which was then adapted to
represent two other PHC configurations, differing in numbers of resources and
types of services provided, encountered during PHC visits. A model representing
a benchmark configuration conforming to government-mandated operational
guidelines, with demand estimated from disease burden data and service times
closer to international estimates (higher than observed), was also developed.
Simulation outcomes for the three observed configurations indicate negligible
patient waiting times and low resource utilisation values at observed patient
demand estimates. However, simulation outcomes for the benchmark configuration
indicated significantly higher resource utilisation. Simulation experiments to
evaluate the effect of potential changes in operational patterns on reducing
the utilisation of stressed resources for the benchmark case were performed.
Our analysis also motivated the development of simple analytical approximations
of the average utilisation of a server in a queueing system with
characteristics similar to the PHC doctor/patient system. Our study represents
the first step in an ongoing effort to establish the computational
infrastructure required to analyse public health operations in India, and can
provide researchers in other settings with hierarchical health systems a
template for the development of simulation models of their primary healthcare
facilities.
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