Adaptive Multi-Source Causal Inference
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2105.14877v1
- Date: Mon, 31 May 2021 11:02:37 GMT
- Title: Adaptive Multi-Source Causal Inference
- Abstract summary: We leverage additional source datasets which share similar causal mechanisms with the target observations to help infer causal effects of the target population.
We propose three levels of knowledge transfer, through modelling the outcomes, treatments, and confounders.
The proposed method can infer causal effects in the target population without prior knowledge of data discrepancy between the additional data sources and the target.
- Score: 21.590496842692747
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Data scarcity is a tremendous challenge in causal effect estimation. In this
paper, we propose to exploit additional data sources to facilitate estimating
causal effects in the target population. Specifically, we leverage additional
source datasets which share similar causal mechanisms with the target
observations to help infer causal effects of the target population. We propose
three levels of knowledge transfer, through modelling the outcomes, treatments,
and confounders. To achieve consistent positive transfer, we introduce
learnable parametric transfer factors to adaptively control the transfer
strength, and thus achieving a fair and balanced knowledge transfer between the
sources and the target. The proposed method can infer causal effects in the
target population without prior knowledge of data discrepancy between the
additional data sources and the target. Experiments on both synthetic and
real-world datasets show the effectiveness of the proposed method as compared
with recent baselines.
Related papers
- Do-PFN: In-Context Learning for Causal Effect Estimation [75.62771416172109]
We show that Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) can be pre-trained on synthetic data to predict outcomes.<n>Our approach allows for the accurate estimation of causal effects without knowledge of the underlying causal graph.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-06T12:43:57Z) - Data Fusion for Partial Identification of Causal Effects [62.56890808004615]
We propose a novel partial identification framework that enables researchers to answer key questions.<n>Is the causal effect positive or negative? and How severe must assumption violations be to overturn this conclusion?<n>We apply our framework to the Project STAR study, which investigates the effect of classroom size on students' third-grade standardized test performance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-05-30T07:13:01Z) - Testing Identifiability and Transportability with Observational and Experimental Data [3.922842284927803]
We propose a method for assessing whether Z-specific (conditional) causal effects are both identifiable and transportable.<n>Our method combines experimental data from the source population with observational data from the target population to compute the probability that a causal effect is both identifiable from observational data and transportable.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-05-19T07:31:56Z) - Targeted Data Fusion for Causal Survival Analysis Under Distribution Shift [46.84912148188679]
Causal inference has the potential to improve the generalizability, transportability, and replicability of scientific findings.
Existing data fusion methods focus on binary or continuous outcomes.
We propose two novel approaches for multi-source causal survival analysis.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-30T23:21:25Z) - Multi-Source Conformal Inference Under Distribution Shift [41.701790856201036]
We consider the problem of obtaining distribution-free prediction intervals for a target population, leveraging multiple potentially biased data sources.
We derive the efficient influence functions for the quantiles of unobserved outcomes in the target and source populations.
We propose a data-adaptive strategy to upweight informative data sources for efficiency gain and downweight non-informative data sources for bias reduction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-05-15T13:33:09Z) - Reduced-Rank Multi-objective Policy Learning and Optimization [57.978477569678844]
In practice, causal researchers do not have a single outcome in mind a priori.
In government-assisted social benefit programs, policymakers collect many outcomes to understand the multidimensional nature of poverty.
We present a data-driven dimensionality-reduction methodology for multiple outcomes in the context of optimal policy learning.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-04-29T08:16:30Z) - Federated Causal Inference from Observational Data [6.290787709927236]
Decentralized data sources are prevalent in real-world applications, posing a formidable challenge for causal inference.
In this article, we propose a framework to estimate causal effects from decentralized data sources.
The proposed framework avoid exchanging raw data among the sources, thus contributing towards privacy-preserving causal learning.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-08-24T19:27:59Z) - Continual Causal Inference with Incremental Observational Data [8.543321506666636]
We propose a Continual Causal Effect Representation Learning method for estimating causal effects with observational data.
Our method achieves the continual causal effect estimation for new data without compromising the estimation capability for original data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-03-03T08:33:15Z) - An Adaptive Kernel Approach to Federated Learning of Heterogeneous
Causal Effects [10.248235276871256]
We propose a new causal inference framework to learn causal effects from multiple, decentralized data sources.
We introduce an adaptive transfer algorithm that learns the similarities among the data sources.
The proposed method is empirically shown to outperform the baselines on decentralized data sources with dissimilar distributions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-01-01T04:57:48Z) - An Exploration of Data Efficiency in Intra-Dataset Task Transfer for
Dialog Understanding [65.75873687351553]
This study explores the effects of varying quantities of target task training data on sequential transfer learning in the dialog domain.
Unintuitively, our data shows that often target task training data size has minimal effect on how sequential transfer learning performs compared to the same model without transfer learning.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-21T04:36:46Z) - Causal Effect Estimation using Variational Information Bottleneck [19.6760527269791]
Causal inference is to estimate the causal effect in a causal relationship when intervention is applied.
We propose a method to estimate Causal Effect by using Variational Information Bottleneck (CEVIB)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-10-26T13:46:12Z) - Learning Bias-Invariant Representation by Cross-Sample Mutual
Information Minimization [77.8735802150511]
We propose a cross-sample adversarial debiasing (CSAD) method to remove the bias information misused by the target task.
The correlation measurement plays a critical role in adversarial debiasing and is conducted by a cross-sample neural mutual information estimator.
We conduct thorough experiments on publicly available datasets to validate the advantages of the proposed method over state-of-the-art approaches.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-08-11T21:17:02Z) - BayesIMP: Uncertainty Quantification for Causal Data Fusion [52.184885680729224]
We study the causal data fusion problem, where datasets pertaining to multiple causal graphs are combined to estimate the average treatment effect of a target variable.
We introduce a framework which combines ideas from probabilistic integration and kernel mean embeddings to represent interventional distributions in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-06-07T10:14:18Z) - Source Data-absent Unsupervised Domain Adaptation through Hypothesis
Transfer and Labeling Transfer [137.36099660616975]
Unsupervised adaptation adaptation (UDA) aims to transfer knowledge from a related but different well-labeled source domain to a new unlabeled target domain.
Most existing UDA methods require access to the source data, and thus are not applicable when the data are confidential and not shareable due to privacy concerns.
This paper aims to tackle a realistic setting with only a classification model available trained over, instead of accessing to the source data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-12-14T07:28:50Z) - Domain Adaptative Causality Encoder [52.779274858332656]
We leverage the characteristics of dependency trees and adversarial learning to address the tasks of adaptive causality identification and localisation.
We present a new causality dataset, namely MedCaus, which integrates all types of causality in the text.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-11-27T04:14:55Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.