Causal Discovery in Heterogeneous Environments Under the Sparse
Mechanism Shift Hypothesis
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2206.02013v1
- Date: Sat, 4 Jun 2022 15:39:30 GMT
- Title: Causal Discovery in Heterogeneous Environments Under the Sparse
Mechanism Shift Hypothesis
- Authors: Ronan Perry, Julius von K\"ugelgen, Bernhard Sch\"olkopf
- Abstract summary: Machine learning approaches commonly rely on the assumption of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) data.
In reality, this assumption is almost always violated due to distribution shifts between environments.
We propose the Mechanism Shift Score (MSS), a score-based approach amenable to various empirical estimators.
- Score: 7.895866278697778
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Machine learning approaches commonly rely on the assumption of independent
and identically distributed (i.i.d.) data. In reality, however, this assumption
is almost always violated due to distribution shifts between environments.
Although valuable learning signals can be provided by heterogeneous data from
changing distributions, it is also known that learning under arbitrary
(adversarial) changes is impossible. Causality provides a useful framework for
modeling distribution shifts, since causal models encode both observational and
interventional distributions. In this work, we explore the sparse mechanism
shift hypothesis, which posits that distribution shifts occur due to a small
number of changing causal conditionals. Motivated by this idea, we apply it to
learning causal structure from heterogeneous environments, where i.i.d. data
only allows for learning an equivalence class of graphs without restrictive
assumptions. We propose the Mechanism Shift Score (MSS), a score-based approach
amenable to various empirical estimators, which provably identifies the entire
causal structure with high probability if the sparse mechanism shift hypothesis
holds. Empirically, we verify behavior predicted by the theory and compare
multiple estimators and score functions to identify the best approaches in
practice. Compared to other methods, we show how MSS bridges a gap by both
being nonparametric as well as explicitly leveraging sparse changes.
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