Federated Epidemic Surveillance
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2307.02616v2
- Date: Fri, 13 Sep 2024 21:41:18 GMT
- Title: Federated Epidemic Surveillance
- Authors: Ruiqi Lyu, Roni Rosenfeld, Bryan Wilder,
- Abstract summary: This study aims to explore the feasibility of a simple federated surveillance approach.
We propose a hypothesis testing framework to identify surges in epidemic-related data streams.
We conduct experiments on real and semi-synthetic data to assess the power of different p-value combination methods to detect surges.
- Score: 21.643185633769814
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Epidemic surveillance is a challenging task, especially when crucial data is fragmented across institutions and data custodians are unable or unwilling to share it. This study aims to explore the feasibility of a simple federated surveillance approach. The idea is to conduct hypothesis tests for a rise in counts behind each custodian's firewall and then combine p-values from these tests using techniques from meta-analysis. We propose a hypothesis testing framework to identify surges in epidemic-related data streams and conduct experiments on real and semi-synthetic data to assess the power of different p-value combination methods to detect surges without needing to combine the underlying counts. Our findings show that relatively simple combination methods achieve a high degree of fidelity and suggest that infectious disease outbreaks can be detected without needing to share even aggregate data across institutions.
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