Risk of Transfer Learning and its Applications in Finance

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2311.03283v1
• Date: Mon, 6 Nov 2023 17:23:54 GMT
• Title: Risk of Transfer Learning and its Applications in Finance
• Authors: Haoyang Cao, Haotian Gu, Xin Guo and Mathieu Rosenbaum
• Abstract summary: We propose a novel concept of transfer risk and analyze its properties to evaluate transferability of transfer learning. Numerical results demonstrate a strong correlation between transfer risk and overall transfer learning performance.
• Score: 2.966069495345018
• License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
• Abstract: Transfer learning is an emerging and popular paradigm for utilizing existing knowledge from previous learning tasks to improve the performance of new ones. In this paper, we propose a novel concept of transfer risk and and analyze its properties to evaluate transferability of transfer learning. We apply transfer learning techniques and this concept of transfer risk to stock return prediction and portfolio optimization problems. Numerical results demonstrate a strong correlation between transfer risk and overall transfer learning performance, where transfer risk provides a computationally efficient way to identify appropriate source tasks in transfer learning, including cross-continent, cross-sector, and cross-frequency transfer for portfolio optimization.

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