Consistency Models for Scalable and Fast Simulation-Based Inference
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2312.05440v3
- Date: Mon, 04 Nov 2024 11:03:30 GMT
- Title: Consistency Models for Scalable and Fast Simulation-Based Inference
- Authors: Marvin Schmitt, Valentin Pratz, Ullrich Köthe, Paul-Christian Bürkner, Stefan T Radev,
- Abstract summary: We present consistency models for posterior estimation (CMPE), a new conditional sampler for simulation-based inference ( SBI)
CMPE essentially distills a continuous probability flow and enables rapid few-shot inference with an unconstrained architecture.
Our empirical evaluation demonstrates that CMPE not only outperforms current state-of-the-art algorithms on hard low-dimensional benchmarks, but also achieves competitive performance with much faster sampling speed.
- Score: 9.27488642055461
- License:
- Abstract: Simulation-based inference (SBI) is constantly in search of more expressive and efficient algorithms to accurately infer the parameters of complex simulation models. In line with this goal, we present consistency models for posterior estimation (CMPE), a new conditional sampler for SBI that inherits the advantages of recent unconstrained architectures and overcomes their sampling inefficiency at inference time. CMPE essentially distills a continuous probability flow and enables rapid few-shot inference with an unconstrained architecture that can be flexibly tailored to the structure of the estimation problem. We provide hyperparameters and default architectures that support consistency training over a wide range of different dimensions, including low-dimensional ones which are important in SBI workflows but were previously difficult to tackle even with unconditional consistency models. Our empirical evaluation demonstrates that CMPE not only outperforms current state-of-the-art algorithms on hard low-dimensional benchmarks, but also achieves competitive performance with much faster sampling speed on two realistic estimation problems with high data and/or parameter dimensions.
Related papers
- Task-Oriented Real-time Visual Inference for IoVT Systems: A Co-design Framework of Neural Networks and Edge Deployment [61.20689382879937]
Task-oriented edge computing addresses this by shifting data analysis to the edge.
Existing methods struggle to balance high model performance with low resource consumption.
We propose a novel co-design framework to optimize neural network architecture.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-29T19:02:54Z) - Addressing Misspecification in Simulation-based Inference through Data-driven Calibration [43.811367860375825]
Recent work has demonstrated that model misspecification can harm simulation-based inference's reliability.
This work introduces robust posterior estimation (ROPE), a framework that overcomes model misspecification with a small real-world calibration set of ground truth parameter measurements.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-05-14T16:04:39Z) - Latent Semantic Consensus For Deterministic Geometric Model Fitting [109.44565542031384]
We propose an effective method called Latent Semantic Consensus (LSC)
LSC formulates the model fitting problem into two latent semantic spaces based on data points and model hypotheses.
LSC is able to provide consistent and reliable solutions within only a few milliseconds for general multi-structural model fitting.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-03-11T05:35:38Z) - Towards Continual Learning Desiderata via HSIC-Bottleneck
Orthogonalization and Equiangular Embedding [55.107555305760954]
We propose a conceptually simple yet effective method that attributes forgetting to layer-wise parameter overwriting and the resulting decision boundary distortion.
Our method achieves competitive accuracy performance, even with absolute superiority of zero exemplar buffer and 1.02x the base model.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-01-17T09:01:29Z) - Online Variational Sequential Monte Carlo [49.97673761305336]
We build upon the variational sequential Monte Carlo (VSMC) method, which provides computationally efficient and accurate model parameter estimation and Bayesian latent-state inference.
Online VSMC is capable of performing efficiently, entirely on-the-fly, both parameter estimation and particle proposal adaptation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-19T21:45:38Z) - The Missing U for Efficient Diffusion Models [3.712196074875643]
Diffusion Probabilistic Models yield record-breaking performance in tasks such as image synthesis, video generation, and molecule design.
Despite their capabilities, their efficiency, especially in the reverse process, remains a challenge due to slow convergence rates and high computational costs.
We introduce an approach that leverages continuous dynamical systems to design a novel denoising network for diffusion models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-31T00:12:14Z) - Flow Matching for Scalable Simulation-Based Inference [20.182658224439688]
Flow matching posterior estimation (FMPE) is a technique for simulation-based inference ( SBI) using continuous normalizing flows.
We show that FMPE achieves competitive performance on an established SBI benchmark, and then demonstrate its improved scalability on a challenging scientific problem.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-05-26T18:00:01Z) - Optimizing Hyperparameters with Conformal Quantile Regression [7.316604052864345]
We propose to leverage conformalized quantile regression which makes minimal assumptions about the observation noise.
This translates to quicker HPO convergence on empirical benchmarks.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-05-05T15:33:39Z) - Validation Diagnostics for SBI algorithms based on Normalizing Flows [55.41644538483948]
This work proposes easy to interpret validation diagnostics for multi-dimensional conditional (posterior) density estimators based on NF.
It also offers theoretical guarantees based on results of local consistency.
This work should help the design of better specified models or drive the development of novel SBI-algorithms.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-11-17T15:48:06Z) - Multi-fidelity surrogate modeling using long short-term memory networks [0.0]
We introduce a novel data-driven framework of multi-fidelity surrogate modeling for parametrized, time-dependent problems.
We show that the proposed multi-fidelity LSTM networks not only improve single-fidelity regression significantly, but also outperform the multi-fidelity models based on feed-forward neural networks.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-08-05T12:05:02Z) - Closed-form Continuous-Depth Models [99.40335716948101]
Continuous-depth neural models rely on advanced numerical differential equation solvers.
We present a new family of models, termed Closed-form Continuous-depth (CfC) networks, that are simple to describe and at least one order of magnitude faster.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-06-25T22:08:51Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.