A Novel Hyperdimensional Computing Framework for Online Time Series
Forecasting on the Edge
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2402.01999v1
- Date: Sat, 3 Feb 2024 02:42:53 GMT
- Title: A Novel Hyperdimensional Computing Framework for Online Time Series
Forecasting on the Edge
- Abstract summary: offline deep forecasting models fail to adapt effectively to changes in time-series data.
Online deep forecasting models are often expensive and have complex training procedures.
In this paper, we reframe the online nonlinear time-series forecasting problem as one of linear hyperdimensional time-series forecasting.
- Score: 1.4255659581428337
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: In recent years, both online and offline deep learning models have been
developed for time series forecasting. However, offline deep forecasting models
fail to adapt effectively to changes in time-series data, while online deep
forecasting models are often expensive and have complex training procedures. In
this paper, we reframe the online nonlinear time-series forecasting problem as
one of linear hyperdimensional time-series forecasting. Nonlinear
low-dimensional time-series data is mapped to high-dimensional
(hyperdimensional) spaces for linear hyperdimensional prediction, allowing
fast, efficient and lightweight online time-series forecasting. Our framework,
TSF-HD, adapts to time-series distribution shifts using a novel co-training
framework for its hyperdimensional mapping and its linear hyperdimensional
predictor. TSF-HD is shown to outperform the state of the art, while having
reduced inference latency, for both short-term and long-term time series
forecasting. Our code is publicly available at
http://github.com/tsfhd2024/tsf-hd.git
Related papers
- Learning from Yesterday's Error: An Efficient Online Learning Method for Traffic Demand Prediction [6.104967994062357]
FORESEE (Forecasting Online with Residual Smoothing and Ensemble Experts) is a lightweight online adaptation framework that is accurate, robust, and efficient.<n>It corrects today's forecast in each region using yesterday's prediction error, through exponential smoothing guided by a mixture-of-experts mechanism.<n>Experiments on seven real-world datasets with backbone models demonstrate that FORESEE consistently improves prediction accuracy, maintains robustness even when distribution shifts are minimal.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-25T10:19:39Z) - TimeCatcher: A Variational Framework for Volatility-Aware Forecasting of Non-Stationary Time Series [10.101769981379002]
We propose TimeCatcher, a novel volatility-Aware Variational Forecasting framework.<n>TimeCatcher extends linear architectures with a variational encoder to capture latent dynamic patterns hidden in historical data.<n> Experiments on nine real-world datasets show that TimeCatcher consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-01-28T10:06:57Z) - FaST: Efficient and Effective Long-Horizon Forecasting for Large-Scale Spatial-Temporal Graphs via Mixture-of-Experts [49.9321870703948]
Existing models predominantly focus on short-horizon predictions and suffer from notorious computational costs and memory consumption.<n>We present FaST, an effective and efficient framework based on Mixture-of-Experts (MoEs) for long-horizon and large-scale STG forecasting.<n>FaST is underpinned by two key innovations. First, an adaptive graph agent attention mechanism is proposed to alleviate the computational burden.<n>Second, we propose a new parallel MoE module that replaces traditional feed-forward networks with Gated Linear Units (GLUs)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-01-08T18:00:58Z) - Sundial: A Family of Highly Capable Time Series Foundation Models [64.6322079384575]
We introduce Sundial, a family of native, flexible, and scalable time series foundation models.
Our model is pre-trained without specifying any prior distribution and can generate multiple probable predictions.
By mitigating mode collapse through TimeFlow Loss, we pre-train a family of Sundial models on TimeBench, which exhibit unprecedented model capacity and generalization performance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-02-02T14:52:50Z) - Timer-XL: Long-Context Transformers for Unified Time Series Forecasting [67.83502953961505]
We present Timer-XL, a generative Transformer for unified time series forecasting.
Timer-XL achieves state-of-the-art performance across challenging forecasting benchmarks through a unified approach.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-07T07:27:39Z) - Generalizing Weather Forecast to Fine-grained Temporal Scales via Physics-AI Hybrid Modeling [55.13352174687475]
This paper proposes a physics-AI hybrid model (i.e., WeatherGFT) which Generalizes weather forecasts to Finer-grained Temporal scales.
Specifically, we employ a carefully designed PDE kernel to simulate physical evolution on a small time scale.
We introduce a lead time-aware training framework to promote the generalization of the model at different lead times.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-05-22T16:21:02Z) - PDETime: Rethinking Long-Term Multivariate Time Series Forecasting from
the perspective of partial differential equations [49.80959046861793]
We present PDETime, a novel LMTF model inspired by the principles of Neural PDE solvers.
Our experimentation across seven diversetemporal real-world LMTF datasets reveals that PDETime adapts effectively to the intrinsic nature of the data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-25T17:39:44Z) - Timer: Generative Pre-trained Transformers Are Large Time Series Models [83.03091523806668]
This paper aims at the early development of large time series models (LTSM)
During pre-training, we curate large-scale datasets with up to 1 billion time points.
To meet diverse application needs, we convert forecasting, imputation, and anomaly detection of time series into a unified generative task.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-04T06:55:55Z) - Spatiotemporal-Linear: Towards Universal Multivariate Time Series
Forecasting [10.404951989266191]
We introduce the Spatio-Temporal- Linear (STL) framework.
STL seamlessly integrates time-embedded and spatially-informed bypasses to augment the Linear-based architecture.
Empirical evidence highlights STL's prowess, outpacing both Linear and Transformer benchmarks across varied observation and prediction durations and datasets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-22T17:46:34Z) - FourierGNN: Rethinking Multivariate Time Series Forecasting from a Pure
Graph Perspective [48.00240550685946]
Current state-of-the-art graph neural network (GNN)-based forecasting methods usually require both graph networks (e.g., GCN) and temporal networks (e.g., LSTM) to capture inter-series (spatial) dynamics and intra-series (temporal) dependencies, respectively.
We propose a novel Fourier Graph Neural Network (FourierGNN) by stacking our proposed Fourier Graph Operator (FGO) to perform matrix multiplications in Fourier space.
Our experiments on seven datasets have demonstrated superior performance with higher efficiency and fewer parameters compared with state-of-the-
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-10T17:13:26Z) - OneNet: Enhancing Time Series Forecasting Models under Concept Drift by
Online Ensembling [65.93805881841119]
We propose textbfOnline textbfensembling textbfNetwork (OneNet) to address the concept drifting problem.
OneNet reduces online forecasting error by more than $mathbf50%$ compared to the State-Of-The-Art (SOTA) method.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-09-22T06:59:14Z) - cs-net: structural approach to time-series forecasting for
high-dimensional feature space data with limited observations [1.5533753199073637]
We propose a flexible data feature extraction technique that excels in high-dimensional multivariate forecasting tasks.
Our approach was originally developed for the National Science Foundation (NSF) Algorithms for Threat Detection (ATD) 2022 Challenge.
Our models trained on the GDELT dataset finished 1st and 2nd places in the ATD sprint series and hold promise for other datasets for time series forecasting.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-12-05T19:46:47Z) - Pre-training Enhanced Spatial-temporal Graph Neural Network for
Multivariate Time Series Forecasting [13.441945545904504]
We propose a novel framework, in which STGNN is Enhanced by a scalable time series Pre-training model (STEP)
Specifically, we design a pre-training model to efficiently learn temporal patterns from very long-term history time series.
Our framework is capable of significantly enhancing downstream STGNNs, and our pre-training model aptly captures temporal patterns.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-06-18T04:24:36Z) - Adaptive Graph Convolutional Network Framework for Multidimensional Time
Series Prediction [6.962213869946514]
We introduce an adaptive graph neural network to capture hidden dimension dependencies in mostly time series prediction.
We integrate graph convolutional networks into varioustemporal series prediction models to solve the defect that they cannot capture the relationship between different dimensions.
The accuracy of our framework improved by about 10% after being introduced into the model.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-05-08T04:50:16Z) - RNN with Particle Flow for Probabilistic Spatio-temporal Forecasting [30.277213545837924]
Many classical statistical models often fall short in handling the complexity and high non-linearity present in time-series data.
In this work, we consider the time-series data as a random realization from a nonlinear state-space model.
We use particle flow as the tool for approximating the posterior distribution of the states, as it is shown to be highly effective in complex, high-dimensional settings.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-06-10T21:49:23Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.