Adaptive Graph Convolutional Network Framework for Multidimensional Time Series Prediction

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2205.04885v1
• Date: Sun, 8 May 2022 04:50:16 GMT
• Title: Adaptive Graph Convolutional Network Framework for Multidimensional Time Series Prediction
• Authors: Ning Wang
• Abstract summary: We introduce an adaptive graph neural network to capture hidden dimension dependencies in mostly time series prediction. We integrate graph convolutional networks into varioustemporal series prediction models to solve the defect that they cannot capture the relationship between different dimensions. The accuracy of our framework improved by about 10% after being introduced into the model.
• Score: 6.962213869946514
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Abstract: In the real world, long sequence time-series forecasting (LSTF) is needed in many cases, such as power consumption prediction and air quality prediction.Multi-dimensional long time series model has more strict requirements on the model, which not only needs to effectively capture the accurate long-term dependence between input and output, but also needs to capture the relationship between data of different dimensions.Recent research shows that the Informer model based on Transformer has achieved excellent performance in long time series prediction.However, this model still has some deficiencies in multidimensional prediction,it cannot capture the relationship between different dimensions well. We improved Informer to address its shortcomings in multidimensional forecasting. First,we introduce an adaptive graph neural network to capture hidden dimension dependencies in mostly time series prediction. Secondly,we integrate adaptive graph convolutional networks into various spatio-temporal series prediction models to solve the defect that they cannot capture the relationship between different dimensions. Thirdly,After experimental testing with multiple data sets, the accuracy of our framework improved by about 10\% after being introduced into the model.

Related papers

• Timer-XL: Long-Context Transformers for Unified Time Series Forecasting [67.83502953961505]
  We present Timer-XL, a generative Transformer for unified time series forecasting. Timer-XL achieves state-of-the-art performance across challenging forecasting benchmarks through a unified approach.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-10-07T07:27:39Z)
• Multivariate Time-Series Anomaly Detection based on Enhancing Graph Attention Networks with Topological Analysis [31.43159668073136]
  Unsupervised anomaly detection in time series is essential in industrial applications, as it significantly reduces the need for manual intervention. Traditional methods use Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) or Transformers to analyze spatial while RNNs to model temporal dependencies. This paper introduces a novel temporal model built on an enhanced Graph Attention Network (GAT) for multivariate time series anomaly detection called TopoGDN.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-08-23T14:06:30Z)
• Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformers [104.56318980466742]
  We present a Masked-based Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformer (Moirai) Moirai is trained on our newly introduced Large-scale Open Time Series Archive (LOTSA) featuring over 27B observations across nine domains. Moirai achieves competitive or superior performance as a zero-shot forecaster when compared to full-shot models.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-02-04T20:00:45Z)
• An End-to-End Time Series Model for Simultaneous Imputation and Forecast [14.756607742477252]
  We develop an end-to-end time series model that aims to learn the inference relation and make a multiple-step ahead forecast. Our framework trains jointly two neural networks, one to learn the feature-wise correlations and the other for the modeling of temporal behaviors.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2023-06-01T15:08:22Z)
• Generative Time Series Forecasting with Diffusion, Denoise, and Disentanglement [51.55157852647306]
  Time series forecasting has been a widely explored task of great importance in many applications. It is common that real-world time series data are recorded in a short time period, which results in a big gap between the deep model and the limited and noisy time series. We propose to address the time series forecasting problem with generative modeling and propose a bidirectional variational auto-encoder equipped with diffusion, denoise, and disentanglement.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2023-01-08T12:20:46Z)
• Multi-scale Attention Flow for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting [68.20798558048678]
  We propose a novel non-autoregressive deep learning model, called Multi-scale Attention Normalizing Flow(MANF) Our model avoids the influence of cumulative error and does not increase the time complexity. Our model achieves state-of-the-art performance on many popular multivariate datasets.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2022-05-16T07:53:42Z)
• TACTiS: Transformer-Attentional Copulas for Time Series [76.71406465526454]
  estimation of time-varying quantities is a fundamental component of decision making in fields such as healthcare and finance. We propose a versatile method that estimates joint distributions using an attention-based decoder. We show that our model produces state-of-the-art predictions on several real-world datasets.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2022-02-07T21:37:29Z)
• A Study of Joint Graph Inference and Forecasting [13.340967777671565]
  We study a recent class of models which uses graph neural networks (GNNs) to improve forecasting in multivariate time series. By parameterizing a graph in a differentiable way, the models aim to improve forecasting quality.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2021-09-10T16:34:35Z)
• Improved Predictive Deep Temporal Neural Networks with Trend Filtering [22.352437268596674]
  We propose a new prediction framework based on deep neural networks and a trend filtering. We reveal that the predictive performance of deep temporal neural networks improves when the training data is temporally processed by a trend filtering.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2020-10-16T08:29:36Z)
• Connecting the Dots: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Graph Neural Networks [91.65637773358347]
  We propose a general graph neural network framework designed specifically for multivariate time series data. Our approach automatically extracts the uni-directed relations among variables through a graph learning module. Our proposed model outperforms the state-of-the-art baseline methods on 3 of 4 benchmark datasets.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2020-05-24T04:02:18Z)
• Multivariate Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting via Conditioned Normalizing Flows [8.859284959951204]
  Time series forecasting is fundamental to scientific and engineering problems. Deep learning methods are well suited for this problem. We show that it improves over the state-of-the-art for standard metrics on many real-world data sets.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2020-02-14T16:16:51Z)

This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.

This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.