Flight Trajectory Prediction Using an Enhanced CNN-LSTM Network
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2404.19218v1
- Date: Tue, 30 Apr 2024 02:39:01 GMT
- Title: Flight Trajectory Prediction Using an Enhanced CNN-LSTM Network
- Authors: Qinzhi Hao, Jiali Zhang, Tengyu Jing, Wei Wang,
- Abstract summary: This paper proposes an enhanced CNN-LSTM network as a fighter flight trajectory prediction method.
The proposed method improves the trajectory prediction accuracy compared to the original CNN-LSTM method, with the improvements of 32% and 34% in ADE and FDE indicators.
- Score: 3.336247245655282
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Aiming at the problem of low accuracy of flight trajectory prediction caused by the high speed of fighters, the diversity of tactical maneuvers, and the transient nature of situational change in close range air combat, this paper proposes an enhanced CNN-LSTM network as a fighter flight trajectory prediction method. Firstly, we extract spatial features from fighter trajectory data using CNN, aggregate spatial features of multiple fighters using the social-pooling module to capture geographic information and positional relationships in the trajectories, and use the attention mechanism to capture mutated trajectory features in air combat; subsequently, we extract temporal features by using the memory nature of LSTM to capture long-term temporal dependence in the trajectories; and finally, we merge the temporal and spatial features to predict the flight trajectories of enemy fighters. Extensive simulation experiments verify that the proposed method improves the trajectory prediction accuracy compared to the original CNN-LSTM method, with the improvements of 32% and 34% in ADE and FDE indicators.
Related papers
- VECTOR: Velocity-Enhanced GRU Neural Network for Real-Time 3D UAV Trajectory Prediction [2.1825723033513165]
We propose a new trajectory prediction method using Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) within sequence-based neural networks.
We employ both synthetic and real-world 3D UAV trajectory data, capturing a wide range of flight patterns, speeds, and agility.
The GRU-based models significantly outperform state-of-the-art RNN approaches, with a mean square error (MSE) as low as 2 x 10-8.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-24T07:16:42Z) - Data-driven Probabilistic Trajectory Learning with High Temporal Resolution in Terminal Airspace [9.688760969026305]
We propose a data-driven learning framework, that leverages the predictive and feature extraction capabilities of the mixture models and seq2seq-based neural networks.
After training with this framework, the learned model can improve long-step prediction accuracy significantly.
The accuracy and effectiveness of the approach are evaluated by comparing the predicted trajectories with the ground truth.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-09-25T21:08:25Z) - Fighter flight trajectory prediction based on spatio-temporal graphcial attention network [8.938877973527779]
This paper proposes a network-temporal graph attention (ST-GAT) using encoding and decoding structures to predict the flight trajectory.
The Transformer branch network is used to extract the characteristics of historical trajectories and capture the impact of the fighter's temporal state on future trajectories.
The GAT branch network is used to extract spatial features in historical trajectories and capture potential spatial correlations between fighters.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-05-13T02:47:57Z) - Inferring Traffic Models in Terminal Airspace from Flight Tracks and
Procedures [52.25258289718559]
We propose a probabilistic model that can learn the variability from procedural data and flight tracks collected from radar surveillance data.
We show how a pairwise model can be used to generate traffic involving an arbitrary number of aircraft.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-03-17T13:58:06Z) - Phased Flight Trajectory Prediction with Deep Learning [8.898269198985576]
The unprecedented increase of commercial airlines and private jets over the past ten years presents a challenge for air traffic control.
Precise flight trajectory prediction is of great significance in air transportation management, which contributes to the decision-making for safe and orderly flights.
We propose a phased flight trajectory prediction framework that can outperform state-of-the-art methods for flight trajectory prediction for large passenger/transport airplanes.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-03-17T02:16:02Z) - Human Trajectory Prediction via Counterfactual Analysis [87.67252000158601]
Forecasting human trajectories in complex dynamic environments plays a critical role in autonomous vehicles and intelligent robots.
Most existing methods learn to predict future trajectories by behavior clues from history trajectories and interaction clues from environments.
We propose a counterfactual analysis method for human trajectory prediction to investigate the causality between the predicted trajectories and input clues.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-07-29T17:41:34Z) - SGCN:Sparse Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian Trajectory
Prediction [64.16212996247943]
We present a Sparse Graph Convolution Network(SGCN) for pedestrian trajectory prediction.
Specifically, the SGCN explicitly models the sparse directed interaction with a sparse directed spatial graph to capture adaptive interaction pedestrians.
visualizations indicate that our method can capture adaptive interactions between pedestrians and their effective motion tendencies.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-04-04T03:17:42Z) - A Graph Convolutional Network with Signal Phasing Information for
Arterial Traffic Prediction [63.470149585093665]
arterial traffic prediction plays a crucial role in the development of modern intelligent transportation systems.
Many existing studies on arterial traffic prediction only consider temporal measurements of flow and occupancy from loop sensors and neglect the rich spatial relationships between upstream and downstream detectors.
We fill this gap by enhancing a deep learning approach, Diffusion Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network, with spatial information generated from signal timing plans at targeted intersections.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-12-25T01:40:29Z) - The Unsupervised Method of Vessel Movement Trajectory Prediction [1.2617078020344619]
This article presents an unsupervised method of ship movement trajectory prediction.
It represents the data in a three-dimensional space which consists of time difference between points, the scaled error distance between the tested and its predicted forward and backward locations, and the space-time angle.
Unlike most statistical learning or deep learning methods, the proposed clustering-based trajectory reconstruction method does not require computationally expensive model training.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-07-27T17:45:21Z) - Transition control of a tail-sitter UAV using recurrent neural networks [80.91076033926224]
The control strategy is based on attitude and velocity stabilization.
The RNN is used for the estimation of high nonlinear aerodynamic terms.
Results show convergence of linear velocities and the pitch angle during the transition maneuver.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-29T21:33:30Z) - FMA-ETA: Estimating Travel Time Entirely Based on FFN With Attention [88.33372574562824]
We propose a novel framework based on feed-forward network (FFN) for ETA, FFN with Multi-factor self-Attention (FMA-ETA)
The novel Multi-factor self-attention mechanism is proposed to deal with different category features and aggregate the information purposefully.
Experiments show FMA-ETA is competitive with state-of-the-art methods in terms of the prediction accuracy with significantly better inference speed.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-07T08:10:47Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.