A Foundation Model for Unified Urban Spatio-Temporal Flow Prediction
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2411.12972v1
- Date: Wed, 20 Nov 2024 01:54:52 GMT
- Title: A Foundation Model for Unified Urban Spatio-Temporal Flow Prediction
- Authors: Yuan Yuan, Jingtao Ding, Chonghua Han, Depeng Jin, Yong Li,
- Abstract summary: Urban-temporal flow prediction is crucial for optimizing city infrastructure and managing traffic emergency responses.
Traditional approaches have relied on separate models tailored to either grid-based data, or graph-based data.
In this paper we propose a model for general urban flow prediction that unifies both grid-based graphbased data.
- Score: 25.217842149162735
- License:
- Abstract: Urban spatio-temporal flow prediction, encompassing traffic flows and crowd flows, is crucial for optimizing city infrastructure and managing traffic and emergency responses. Traditional approaches have relied on separate models tailored to either grid-based data, representing cities as uniform cells, or graph-based data, modeling cities as networks of nodes and edges. In this paper, we build UniFlow, a foundational model for general urban flow prediction that unifies both grid-based and graphbased data. We first design a multi-view spatio-temporal patching mechanism to standardize different data into a consistent sequential format and then introduce a spatio-temporal transformer architecture to capture complex correlations and dynamics. To leverage shared spatio-temporal patterns across different data types and facilitate effective cross-learning, we propose SpatioTemporal Memory Retrieval Augmentation (ST-MRA). By creating structured memory modules to store shared spatio-temporal patterns, ST-MRA enhances predictions through adaptive memory retrieval. Extensive experiments demonstrate that UniFlow outperforms existing models in both grid-based and graph-based flow prediction, excelling particularly in scenarios with limited data availability, showcasing its superior performance and broad applicability. The datasets and code implementation have been released on https://github.com/YuanYuan98/UniFlow.
Related papers
- Tackling Data Heterogeneity in Federated Time Series Forecasting [61.021413959988216]
Time series forecasting plays a critical role in various real-world applications, including energy consumption prediction, disease transmission monitoring, and weather forecasting.
Most existing methods rely on a centralized training paradigm, where large amounts of data are collected from distributed devices to a central cloud server.
We propose a novel framework, Fed-TREND, to address data heterogeneity by generating informative synthetic data as auxiliary knowledge carriers.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-11-24T04:56:45Z) - Physics-guided Active Sample Reweighting for Urban Flow Prediction [75.24539704456791]
Urban flow prediction is a nuanced-temporal modeling that estimates the throughput of transportation services like buses, taxis and ride-driven models.
Some recent prediction solutions bring remedies with the notion of physics-guided machine learning (PGML)
We develop a atized physics-guided network (PN), and propose a data-aware framework Physics-guided Active Sample Reweighting (P-GASR)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-18T15:44:23Z) - Rethinking Urban Mobility Prediction: A Super-Multivariate Time Series
Forecasting Approach [71.67506068703314]
Long-term urban mobility predictions play a crucial role in the effective management of urban facilities and services.
Traditionally, urban mobility data has been structured as videos, treating longitude and latitude as fundamental pixels.
In our research, we introduce a fresh perspective on urban mobility prediction.
Instead of oversimplifying urban mobility data as traditional video data, we regard it as a complex time series.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-04T07:39:05Z) - Hybrid State Space-based Learning for Sequential Data Prediction with
Joint Optimization [0.0]
We introduce a hybrid model that mitigates, via a joint mechanism, the need for domain-specific feature engineering issues of conventional nonlinear prediction models.
We achieve this by introducing novel state space representations for the base models, which are then combined to provide a full state space representation of the hybrid or the ensemble.
Due to such novel combination and joint optimization, we demonstrate significant improvements in widely publicized real life competition datasets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-09-19T12:00:28Z) - Bayesian Structure Learning with Generative Flow Networks [85.84396514570373]
In Bayesian structure learning, we are interested in inferring a distribution over the directed acyclic graph (DAG) from data.
Recently, a class of probabilistic models, called Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets), have been introduced as a general framework for generative modeling.
We show that our approach, called DAG-GFlowNet, provides an accurate approximation of the posterior over DAGs.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-02-28T15:53:10Z) - Traffic Flow Forecasting with Maintenance Downtime via Multi-Channel
Attention-Based Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks [4.318655493189584]
We propose a model to predict traffic speed under the impact of construction work.
The model is based on the powerful attention-based,temporal graph convolution architecture but utilizes various channels to integrate different sources of information.
The model is evaluated on two benchmark datasets and a novel dataset we have collected over the bustling roadway's corner in Northern Virginia.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-10-04T16:07:37Z) - Predicting traffic signals on transportation networks using
spatio-temporal correlations on graphs [56.48498624951417]
This paper proposes a traffic propagation model that merges multiple heat diffusion kernels into a data-driven prediction model to forecast traffic signals.
We optimize the model parameters using Bayesian inference to minimize the prediction errors and, consequently, determine the mixing ratio of the two approaches.
The proposed model demonstrates prediction accuracy comparable to that of the state-of-the-art deep neural networks with lower computational effort.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-04-27T18:17:42Z) - Unified Spatio-Temporal Modeling for Traffic Forecasting using Graph
Neural Network [2.7088996845250897]
We argue that temporal is less effective to extract the complex-temporal relationship with such factorized modules.
We propose a Unified S-weekly Graph Convolution (USTGCN) for traffic forecasting that performs both spatial and temporal aggregation.
Our model USTGCN can outperform state-of-the-art performances in three popular benchmark datasets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-04-26T12:33:17Z) - Radflow: A Recurrent, Aggregated, and Decomposable Model for Networks of
Time Series [77.47313102926017]
Radflow is a novel model for networks of time series that influence each other.
It embodies three key ideas: a recurrent neural network to obtain node embeddings that depend on time, the aggregation of the flow of influence from neighboring nodes with multi-head attention, and the multi-layer decomposition of time series.
We show that Radflow can learn different trends and seasonal patterns, that it is robust to missing nodes and edges, and that correlated temporal patterns among network neighbors reflect influence strength.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-02-15T00:57:28Z) - Deep Graph Convolutional Networks for Wind Speed Prediction [4.644923443649426]
We introduce new models for wind speed prediction based on graph convolutional networks (GCNs)
We perform experiments on real datasets collected from weather stations located in cities in Denmark and the Netherlands.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-01-25T12:22:09Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.