Applying Machine Learning Tools for Urban Resilience Against Floods
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2412.06205v1
- Date: Mon, 09 Dec 2024 04:56:33 GMT
- Title: Applying Machine Learning Tools for Urban Resilience Against Floods
- Authors: Mahla Ardebili Pour, Mohammad B. Ghiasi, Ali Karkehabadi,
- Abstract summary: Floods are among the most prevalent and destructive natural disasters, leading to severe social and economic impacts in urban areas.<n>This paper explores flood resilience models to identify the most effective approach for District 6 in Tehran.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
- Abstract: Floods are among the most prevalent and destructive natural disasters, often leading to severe social and economic impacts in urban areas due to the high concentration of assets and population density. In Iran, particularly in Tehran, recurring flood events underscore the urgent need for robust urban resilience strategies. This paper explores flood resilience models to identify the most effective approach for District 6 in Tehran. Through an extensive literature review, various resilience models were analyzed, with the Climate Disaster Resilience Index (CDRI) emerging as the most suitable model for this district due to its comprehensive resilience dimensions: Physical, Social, Economic, Organizational, and Natural Health resilience. Although the CDRI model provides a structured approach to resilience measurement, it remains a static model focused on spatial characteristics and lacks temporal adaptability. An extensive literature review enhances the CDRI model by integrating data from 2013 to 2022 in three-year intervals and applying machine learning techniques to predict resilience dimensions for 2025. This integration enables a dynamic resilience model that can accommodate temporal changes, providing a more adaptable and data driven foundation for urban flood resilience planning. By employing artificial intelligence to reflect evolving urban conditions, this model offers valuable insights for policymakers and urban planners to enhance flood resilience in Tehrans critical District 6.
Related papers
- Climate Adaptation-Aware Flood Prediction for Coastal Cities Using Deep Learning [1.8354875841169143]
Climate change and sea-level rise pose escalating threats to coastal cities.<n>Traditional physics-based hydrodynamic simulators are computationally expensive and impractical for city-scale coastal planning applications.<n>We develop a novel, lightweight Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-based model designed to predict coastal flooding.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-10-29T23:23:11Z) - Km-scale dynamical downscaling through conformalized latent diffusion models [45.94979929172337]
Dynamical downscaling is crucial for deriving high-resolution meteorological fields from coarse-scale simulations.<n>Generative Diffusion models (DMs) have recently emerged as powerful data-driven tools for this task.<n>However, DMs lack finite-sample guarantees against overconfident predictions, resulting in miscalibrated grid-point-level uncertainty estimates.<n>We tackle this issue by augmenting the downscaling pipeline with a conformal prediction framework.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-10-15T08:41:36Z) - GraphCSVAE: Graph Categorical Structured Variational Autoencoder for Spatiotemporal Auditing of Physical Vulnerability Towards Sustainable Post-Disaster Risk Reduction [0.5949779668853555]
We introduce GraphCSVAE, a novel probabilistic data-driven framework for modeling physical vulnerability.<n>We introduce a weakly supervised first-order transition matrix that reflects changes in the distribution of physical vulnerability in two disaster-stricken and socioeconomically disadvantaged areas.<n>Our findings offer valuable insights into localizedtemporal auditing and sustainable strategies for post-disaster risk reduction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-09-12T14:50:56Z) - GraphVSSM: Graph Variational State-Space Model for Probabilistic Spatiotemporal Inference of Dynamic Exposure and Vulnerability for Regional Disaster Resilience Assessment [0.7237068561453082]
Graph Variational-Space Model (GraphVSSM) is a novel modular approach that integrates graph deep learning, state-space modeling, and variational inference.<n>We present three major results: a city-wide demonstration in Quezon City, Philippines; an investigation of sudden changes in the cyclone-impacted coastal Khukul community (Bangladesh) and mudslide-affected Freetown (Sierra Leone)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-08-02T10:49:30Z) - Evaluating Time Series Models for Urban Wastewater Management: Predictive Performance, Model Complexity and Resilience [1.0499611180329806]
Climate change increases the frequency of extreme rainfall, placing a significant strain on urban infrastructures, especially Combined Sewer Systems (CSS)
Overflows from overburdened CSS release untreated wastewater into surface waters, posing environmental and public health risks.
Traditional physics-based models are effective, but they are costly to maintain and difficult to adapt to evolving system dynamics.
Machine Learning approaches offer cost-efficient alternatives with greater adaptability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-04-24T11:52:13Z) - Integrating Travel Behavior Forecasting and Generative Modeling for Predicting Future Urban Mobility and Spatial Transformations [3.1886446749213193]
Transportation planning plays a critical role in shaping urban development, economic mobility, and infrastructure sustainability.
Traditional planning methods often struggle to accurately predict long-term urban growth and transportation demands.
This study integrates a Temporal Fusion Transformer to predict travel patterns from demographic data with a Generative Adversarial Network to predict future urban settings.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-03-27T04:52:33Z) - Collaborative Imputation of Urban Time Series through Cross-city Meta-learning [54.438991949772145]
We propose a novel collaborative imputation paradigm leveraging meta-learned implicit neural representations (INRs)
We then introduce a cross-city collaborative learning scheme through model-agnostic meta learning.
Experiments on a diverse urban dataset from 20 global cities demonstrate our model's superior imputation performance and generalizability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-20T07:12:40Z) - Efficient Localized Adaptation of Neural Weather Forecasting: A Case Study in the MENA Region [62.09891513612252]
We focus on limited-area modeling and train our model specifically for localized region-level downstream tasks.
We consider the MENA region due to its unique climatic challenges, where accurate localized weather forecasting is crucial for managing water resources, agriculture and mitigating the impacts of extreme weather events.
Our study aims to validate the effectiveness of integrating parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) methodologies, specifically Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) and its variants, to enhance forecast accuracy, as well as training speed, computational resource utilization, and memory efficiency in weather and climate modeling for specific regions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-09-11T19:31:56Z) - Data-driven Modeling of Combined Sewer Systems for Urban Sustainability: An Empirical Evaluation [1.0499611180329806]
Climate change poses complex challenges, with extreme weather events becoming increasingly frequent and difficult to model.
Overburdened Combined Sewer Systems during heavy rainfall will overflow untreated wastewater into surface water bodies.
Deep Learning (DL) models offer a cost-effective alternative for modeling the complex dynamics of sewer systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-08-21T13:46:58Z) - SMA-Hyper: Spatiotemporal Multi-View Fusion Hypergraph Learning for Traffic Accident Prediction [2.807532512532818]
Current data-driven models often struggle with data sparsity and the integration of diverse urban data sources.
We introduce a deep dynamic learning framework designed for traffic accident prediction.
It incorporates dual adaptive graph learning mechanisms that enable high-order cross-regional learning.
It also employs an advance attention mechanism to fuse multiple views of accident data and urban functional features.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-24T21:10:34Z) - Towards Invariant Time Series Forecasting in Smart Cities [21.697069894721448]
We propose a solution to derive invariant representations for more robust predictions under different urban environments.
Our method can be extended to diverse fields including climate modeling, urban planning, and smart city resource management.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-05-08T21:23:01Z) - Enhanced Urban Region Profiling with Adversarial Self-Supervised Learning for Robust Forecasting and Security [12.8405655328298]
Existing methods often struggle with issues such as noise, data incompleteness, and security vulnerabilities.
This paper proposes a novel framework, Enhanced Urban Region Profiling with Adversarial Self-Supervised Learning (EUPAS)
EUPAS ensures robust performance across various forecasting tasks such as crime prediction, check-in prediction, and land use classification.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-02T06:06:45Z) - Unified Data Management and Comprehensive Performance Evaluation for
Urban Spatial-Temporal Prediction [Experiment, Analysis & Benchmark] [78.05103666987655]
This work addresses challenges in accessing and utilizing diverse urban spatial-temporal datasets.
We introduceatomic files, a unified storage format designed for urban spatial-temporal big data, and validate its effectiveness on 40 diverse datasets.
We conduct extensive experiments using diverse models and datasets, establishing a performance leaderboard and identifying promising research directions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-08-24T16:20:00Z) - An evaluation of deep learning models for predicting water depth
evolution in urban floods [59.31940764426359]
We compare different deep learning models for prediction of water depth at high spatial resolution.
Deep learning models are trained to reproduce the data simulated by the CADDIES cellular-automata flood model.
Our results show that the deep learning models present in general lower errors compared to the other methods.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-02-20T16:08:54Z) - Deep Learning for Spatiotemporal Modeling of Urbanization [21.677957140614556]
Urbanization has a strong impact on the health and wellbeing of populations across the world.
Many spatial models have been developed using machine learning and numerical modeling techniques.
Here we explore the capacity of deep spatial learning for the predictive modeling of urbanization.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-12-17T18:27:52Z) - Methodological Foundation of a Numerical Taxonomy of Urban Form [62.997667081978825]
We present a method for numerical taxonomy of urban form derived from biological systematics.
We derive homogeneous urban tissue types and, by determining overall morphological similarity between them, generate a hierarchical classification of urban form.
After framing and presenting the method, we test it on two cities - Prague and Amsterdam.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-04-30T12:47:52Z) - Physics-informed GANs for Coastal Flood Visualization [65.54626149826066]
We create a deep learning pipeline that generates visual satellite images of current and future coastal flooding.
By evaluating the imagery relative to physics-based flood maps, we find that our proposed framework outperforms baseline models in both physical-consistency and photorealism.
While this work focused on the visualization of coastal floods, we envision the creation of a global visualization of how climate change will shape our earth.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-10-16T02:15:34Z) - Adaptive Reinforcement Learning Model for Simulation of Urban Mobility
during Crises [2.5876546798940616]
This study proposes and tests an adaptive reinforcement learning model that can learn the patterns of human mobility in a normal context.
The application of the proposed model is shown in the context of Houston and the flooding scenario caused by Hurricane Harvey in August 2017.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-09-02T21:47:18Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.