Deep Variational Sequential Monte Carlo for High-Dimensional Observations
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2501.05982v1
- Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2025 14:10:19 GMT
- Title: Deep Variational Sequential Monte Carlo for High-Dimensional Observations
- Authors: Wessel L. van Nierop, Nir Shlezinger, Ruud J. G. van Sloun,
- Abstract summary: This work introduces a differentiable particle filter that leverages the unsupervised variational SMC objective to parameterize the proposal and transition distributions with a neural network.
Experimental results demonstrate that our approach outperforms established baselines in tracking the challenging Lorenz attractor from high-dimensional and partial observations.
- Score: 39.455729393887786
- License:
- Abstract: Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), or particle filtering, is widely used in nonlinear state-space systems, but its performance often suffers from poorly approximated proposal and state-transition distributions. This work introduces a differentiable particle filter that leverages the unsupervised variational SMC objective to parameterize the proposal and transition distributions with a neural network, designed to learn from high-dimensional observations. Experimental results demonstrate that our approach outperforms established baselines in tracking the challenging Lorenz attractor from high-dimensional and partial observations. Furthermore, an evidence lower bound based evaluation indicates that our method offers a more accurate representation of the posterior distribution.
Related papers
- Online Variational Sequential Monte Carlo [49.97673761305336]
We build upon the variational sequential Monte Carlo (VSMC) method, which provides computationally efficient and accurate model parameter estimation and Bayesian latent-state inference.
Online VSMC is capable of performing efficiently, entirely on-the-fly, both parameter estimation and particle proposal adaptation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-19T21:45:38Z) - Nonlinear Filtering with Brenier Optimal Transport Maps [4.745059103971596]
This paper is concerned with the problem of nonlinear filtering, i.e., computing the conditional distribution of the state of a dynamical system.
Conventional sequential importance resampling (SIR) particle filters suffer from fundamental limitations, in scenarios involving degenerate likelihoods or high-dimensional states.
In this paper, we explore an alternative method, which is based on estimating the Brenier optimal transport (OT) map from the current prior distribution of the state to the posterior distribution at the next time step.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-21T01:34:30Z) - Variance Reduction of Resampling for Sequential Monte Carlo [0.0]
A resampling scheme provides a way to switch low-weight particles for sequential Monte Carlo with higher-weight particles representing the objective distribution.
We propose a repetitive deterministic domain with median ergodicity for resampling and have achieved the lowest variances compared to the other resampling methods.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-09-10T17:25:43Z) - Chebyshev Particles [0.0]
We are first to consider the posterior distribution of the objective as a mapping of samples in an infinite-dimensional Euclidean space.
We propose a new criterion by maximizing the weighted Riesz polarization quantity, to discretize rectifiable submanifolds via pairwise interaction.
We have achieved high performance from the experiments for parameter inference in a linear state-space model with synthetic data and a non-linear volatility model with real-world data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-09-10T16:40:30Z) - Computational Doob's h-transforms for Online Filtering of Discretely
Observed Diffusions [65.74069050283998]
We propose a computational framework to approximate Doob's $h$-transforms.
The proposed approach can be orders of magnitude more efficient than state-of-the-art particle filters.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-06-07T15:03:05Z) - Efficient CDF Approximations for Normalizing Flows [64.60846767084877]
We build upon the diffeomorphic properties of normalizing flows to estimate the cumulative distribution function (CDF) over a closed region.
Our experiments on popular flow architectures and UCI datasets show a marked improvement in sample efficiency as compared to traditional estimators.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-02-23T06:11:49Z) - The Application of Zig-Zag Sampler in Sequential Markov Chain Monte
Carlo [4.278434189549703]
In high-dimensional state space model, traditional particle filtering methods suffer the weight degeneracy.
We propose to construct the Sequential Makov chian Monte Carlo framework by implementing the Composite-Hasting (MH) Kernel.
We show that the proposed method improves estimation accuracy and increases the acceptance ratio compared with state-of-the-art filtering methods.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-11-18T02:15:41Z) - Variational Marginal Particle Filters [38.94802937100392]
Variational inference for state space models (SSMs) is known to be hard in general.
Recent works focus on deriving variational objectives for SSMs from unbiased sequential Monte Carlo estimators.
We propose the variational marginal particle filter (VMPF)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-09-30T13:55:16Z) - Annealed Flow Transport Monte Carlo [91.20263039913912]
Annealed Flow Transport (AFT) builds upon Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) and Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC)
AFT relies on NF which is learned sequentially to push particles towards the successive targets.
We show that a continuous-time scaling limit of the population version of AFT is given by a Feynman--Kac measure.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-02-15T12:05:56Z) - Sampling in Combinatorial Spaces with SurVAE Flow Augmented MCMC [83.48593305367523]
Hybrid Monte Carlo is a powerful Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for sampling from complex continuous distributions.
We introduce a new approach based on augmenting Monte Carlo methods with SurVAE Flows to sample from discrete distributions.
We demonstrate the efficacy of our algorithm on a range of examples from statistics, computational physics and machine learning, and observe improvements compared to alternative algorithms.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-02-04T02:21:08Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.