A Review of End-to-End Precipitation Prediction Using Remote Sensing Data: from Divination to Machine Learning
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2510.22855v1
- Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2025 22:14:07 GMT
- Title: A Review of End-to-End Precipitation Prediction Using Remote Sensing Data: from Divination to Machine Learning
- Authors: Yugong Zeng, Jonathan Wu,
- Abstract summary: Precipitation prediction has undergone a profound transformation -- from early symbolic and empirical methods rooted in divination and observation, to modern technologies based on atmospheric physics and artificial intelligence.<n>This review traces the historical and technological evolution of precipitation prediction technologies that spans ancient practices, the foundations of meteorological science, the rise of numerical weather prediction (NWP), and the emergence of machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models.
- Score: 0.692305735698369
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
- Abstract: Precipitation prediction has undergone a profound transformation -- from early symbolic and empirical methods rooted in divination and observation, to modern technologies based on atmospheric physics and artificial intelligence. This review traces the historical and technological evolution of precipitation forecasting, presenting a survey about end-to-end precipitation prediction technologies that spans ancient practices, the foundations of meteorological science, the rise of numerical weather prediction (NWP), and the emergence of machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models. We first explore traditional and indigenous forecasting methods, then describe the development of physical modeling and statistical frameworks that underpin contemporary operational forecasting. Particular emphasis is placed on recent advances in neural network-based approaches, including automated deep learning, interpretability-driven design, and hybrid physical-data models. By compositing research across multiple eras and paradigms, this review not only depicts the history of end-to-end precipitation prediction but also outlines future directions in next generation forecasting systems.
Related papers
- Position: Beyond Model-Centric Prediction -- Agentic Time Series Forecasting [49.05788441962762]
We argue for agentic time series forecasting (ATSF), which reframes forecasting as an agentic process composed of perception, planning, action, reflection, and memory.<n>We outline three representative implementation paradigms -- workflow-based design, agentic reinforcement learning, and a hybrid agentic workflow paradigm -- and discuss the opportunities and challenges that arise when shifting from model-centric prediction to agentic forecasting.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-02T08:01:11Z) - DAWP: A framework for global observation forecasting via Data Assimilation and Weather Prediction in satellite observation space [60.729377189859]
We propose our DAWP framework to enable AIWPs to operate in a complete observation space.<n>AIDA module applies a mask multi-modality autoencoder for assimilating irregular satellite observation tokens.<n>We show that AIDA significantly improves the roll out and efficiency of AIWP and holds promising potential to be applied in global precipitationresolution forecasting.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-10-13T03:13:35Z) - PINP: Physics-Informed Neural Predictor with latent estimation of fluid flows [11.102585080028945]
We propose a new physics-informed learning approach that incorporates coupled physical quantities into the prediction process.<n>By incorporating physical equations, our model demonstrates temporal extrapolation and spatial generalization capabilities.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-04-08T14:11:01Z) - Deep Learning and Foundation Models for Weather Prediction: A Survey [26.206143056332056]
Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades.<n>Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in meteorology, capable of analyzing complex weather and climate data.<n>This paper presents a survey of recent deep learning and foundation models for weather prediction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-12T19:27:51Z) - Data driven weather forecasts trained and initialised directly from observations [1.44556167750856]
Skilful Machine Learned weather forecasts have challenged our approach to numerical weather prediction.
Data-driven systems have been trained to forecast future weather by learning from long historical records of past weather.
We propose a new approach, training a neural network to predict future weather purely from historical observations.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-22T12:23:26Z) - Deep learning for precipitation nowcasting: A survey from the perspective of time series forecasting [4.5424061912112474]
This paper reviews recent progress in time series precipitation forecasting models using deep learning.
We categorize forecasting models into textitrecursive and textitmultiple strategies based on their approaches to predict future frames.
We evaluate current deep learning-based models for precipitation forecasting on a public benchmark, discuss their limitations and challenges, and present some promising research directions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-07T12:07:09Z) - Interpretable Machine Learning for Weather and Climate Prediction: A Survey [24.028385794099435]
We review current interpretable machine learning approaches applied to meteorological predictions.
Design inherently interpretable models from scratch using architectures like tree ensembles and explainable neural networks.
We discuss research challenges around achieving deeper mechanistic interpretations aligned with physical principles.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-03-24T14:23:35Z) - Weather Prediction with Diffusion Guided by Realistic Forecast Processes [49.07556359513563]
We introduce a novel method that applies diffusion models (DM) for weather forecasting.
Our method can achieve both direct and iterative forecasting with the same modeling framework.
The flexibility and controllability of our model empowers a more trustworthy DL system for the general weather community.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-06T21:28:42Z) - Towards an end-to-end artificial intelligence driven global weather forecasting system [57.5191940978886]
We present an AI-based data assimilation model, i.e., Adas, for global weather variables.
We demonstrate that Adas can assimilate global observations to produce high-quality analysis, enabling the system operate stably for long term.
We are the first to apply the methods to real-world scenarios, which is more challenging and has considerable practical application potential.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-18T09:05:28Z) - FengWu-4DVar: Coupling the Data-driven Weather Forecasting Model with 4D Variational Assimilation [67.20588721130623]
We develop an AI-based cyclic weather forecasting system, FengWu-4DVar.
FengWu-4DVar can incorporate observational data into the data-driven weather forecasting model.
Experiments on the simulated observational dataset demonstrate that FengWu-4DVar is capable of generating reasonable analysis fields.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-16T02:07:56Z) - Forecasting large-scale circulation regimes using deformable
convolutional neural networks and global spatiotemporal climate data [86.1450118623908]
We investigate a supervised machine learning approach based on deformable convolutional neural networks (deCNNs)
We forecast the North Atlantic-European weather regimes during extended boreal winter for 1 to 15 days into the future.
Due to its wider field of view, we also observe deCNN achieving considerably better performance than regular convolutional neural networks at lead times beyond 5-6 days.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-02-10T11:37:00Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.