Deep Learning and Foundation Models for Weather Prediction: A Survey
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2501.06907v1
- Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2025 19:27:51 GMT
- Title: Deep Learning and Foundation Models for Weather Prediction: A Survey
- Authors: Jimeng Shi, Azam Shirali, Bowen Jin, Sizhe Zhou, Wei Hu, Rahuul Rangaraj, Shaowen Wang, Jiawei Han, Zhaonan Wang, Upmanu Lall, Yanzhao Wu, Leonardo Bobadilla, Giri Narasimhan,
- Abstract summary: Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades.<n>Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in meteorology, capable of analyzing complex weather and climate data.<n>This paper presents a survey of recent deep learning and foundation models for weather prediction.
- Score: 26.206143056332056
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades, offering robust solutions but often at the cost of significant computational resources. Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in meteorology, capable of analyzing complex weather and climate data by learning intricate dependencies and providing rapid predictions once trained. While these models demonstrate promising performance in weather prediction, often surpassing traditional physics-based methods, they still face critical challenges. This paper presents a comprehensive survey of recent deep learning and foundation models for weather prediction. We propose a taxonomy to classify existing models based on their training paradigms: deterministic predictive learning, probabilistic generative learning, and pre-training and fine-tuning. For each paradigm, we delve into the underlying model architectures, address major challenges, offer key insights, and propose targeted directions for future research. Furthermore, we explore real-world applications of these methods and provide a curated summary of open-source code repositories and widely used datasets, aiming to bridge research advancements with practical implementations while fostering open and trustworthy scientific practices in adopting cutting-edge artificial intelligence for weather prediction. The related sources are available at https://github.com/JimengShi/ DL-Foundation-Models-Weather.
Related papers
- A Physics-guided Multimodal Transformer Path to Weather and Climate Sciences [59.05404971880922]
Many problems in meteorology can now be addressed using AI models.
Data-driven algorithms have significantly improved accuracy compared to traditional methods.
We propose a new paradigm where observational data from different perspectives are treated as multimodal data and integrated via transformers.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-04-19T04:31:35Z) - Advancing Meteorological Forecasting: AI-based Approach to Synoptic Weather Map Analysis [3.686808512438363]
Our study proposes a novel preprocessing method and convolutional autoencoder model to improve the interpretation of synoptic weather maps.
This model could recognize historical synoptic weather maps that nearly match current atmospheric conditions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-11-08T07:46:50Z) - Generalizing Weather Forecast to Fine-grained Temporal Scales via Physics-AI Hybrid Modeling [55.13352174687475]
This paper proposes a physics-AI hybrid model (i.e., WeatherGFT) which Generalizes weather forecasts to Finer-grained Temporal scales.<n>Specifically, we employ a carefully designed PDE kernel to simulate physical evolution on a small time scale.<n>We introduce a lead time-aware training framework to promote the generalization of the model at different lead times.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-05-22T16:21:02Z) - A Foundation Model for the Earth System [82.73624748093333]
We introduce Aurora, a large-scale foundation model for the Earth system trained on over a million hours of diverse data.
Aurora outperforms operational forecasts for air quality, ocean waves, tropical cyclone tracks, and high-resolution weather forecasting at orders of magnitude smaller computational expense than dedicated existing systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-05-20T14:45:18Z) - Interpretable Machine Learning for Weather and Climate Prediction: A Survey [24.028385794099435]
We review current interpretable machine learning approaches applied to meteorological predictions.
Design inherently interpretable models from scratch using architectures like tree ensembles and explainable neural networks.
We discuss research challenges around achieving deeper mechanistic interpretations aligned with physical principles.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-03-24T14:23:35Z) - Weather Prediction with Diffusion Guided by Realistic Forecast Processes [49.07556359513563]
We introduce a novel method that applies diffusion models (DM) for weather forecasting.
Our method can achieve both direct and iterative forecasting with the same modeling framework.
The flexibility and controllability of our model empowers a more trustworthy DL system for the general weather community.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-06T21:28:42Z) - Towards an end-to-end artificial intelligence driven global weather forecasting system [57.5191940978886]
We present an AI-based data assimilation model, i.e., Adas, for global weather variables.
We demonstrate that Adas can assimilate global observations to produce high-quality analysis, enabling the system operate stably for long term.
We are the first to apply the methods to real-world scenarios, which is more challenging and has considerable practical application potential.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-18T09:05:28Z) - FengWu-4DVar: Coupling the Data-driven Weather Forecasting Model with 4D Variational Assimilation [67.20588721130623]
We develop an AI-based cyclic weather forecasting system, FengWu-4DVar.
FengWu-4DVar can incorporate observational data into the data-driven weather forecasting model.
Experiments on the simulated observational dataset demonstrate that FengWu-4DVar is capable of generating reasonable analysis fields.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-16T02:07:56Z) - Foundation Models for Weather and Climate Data Understanding: A
Comprehensive Survey [39.08108001903514]
We offer an exhaustive, timely overview of state-of-the-art AI methodologies specifically engineered for weather and climate data.
Our primary coverage encompasses four critical aspects: types of weather and climate data, principal model, model scopes and applications, and datasets for weather and climate.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-05T01:10:54Z) - SEEDS: Emulation of Weather Forecast Ensembles with Diffusion Models [13.331224394143117]
Uncertainty quantification is crucial to decision-making.
dominant approach to representing uncertainty in weather forecasting is to generate an ensemble of forecasts.
We propose to amortize the computational cost by emulating these forecasts with deep generative diffusion models learned from historical data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-06-24T22:00:06Z) - ClimaX: A foundation model for weather and climate [51.208269971019504]
ClimaX is a deep learning model for weather and climate science.
It can be pre-trained with a self-supervised learning objective on climate datasets.
It can be fine-tuned to address a breadth of climate and weather tasks.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-01-24T23:19:01Z) - A case study of spatiotemporal forecasting techniques for weather forecasting [4.347494885647007]
The correlations of real-world processes aretemporal, and the data generated by them exhibits both spatial and temporal evolution.
Time series-based models are a viable alternative to numerical forecasts.
We show that decompositiontemporal prediction models reduced computational costs while improving accuracy.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-09-29T13:47:02Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.