Beyond Maximum Likelihood: Variational Inequality Estimation for Generalized Linear Models
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2511.03087v1
- Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2025 00:23:42 GMT
- Title: Beyond Maximum Likelihood: Variational Inequality Estimation for Generalized Linear Models
- Authors: Linglingzhi Zhu, Jonghyeok Lee, Yao Xie,
- Abstract summary: Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) as the classical method for inference.<n>While MLE performs well in canonical GLMs, it can become computationally faster near the true parameter value.<n>We investigate an alternative estimator based on non-smooth variational convergence, originally proposed by Juditsky and Nemirovski as an alternative for solving nonlinear least-squares problems.
- Score: 13.678696807308967
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical method for parameter inference. While MLE performs well in canonical GLMs, it can become computationally inefficient near the true parameter value. In more general settings with non-canonical or fully general link functions, the resulting optimization landscape is often non-convex, non-smooth, and numerically unstable. To address these challenges, we investigate an alternative estimator based on solving the variational inequality (VI) formulation of the GLM likelihood equations, originally proposed by Juditsky and Nemirovski as an alternative for solving nonlinear least-squares problems. Unlike their focus on algorithmic convergence in monotone settings, we analyze the VI approach from a statistical perspective, comparing it systematically with the MLE. We also extend the theory of VI estimators to a broader class of link functions, including non-monotone cases satisfying a strong Minty condition, and show that it admits weaker smoothness requirements than MLE, enabling faster, more stable, and less locally trapped optimization. Theoretically, we establish both non-asymptotic estimation error bounds and asymptotic normality for the VI estimator, and further provide convergence guarantees for fixed-point and stochastic approximation algorithms. Numerical experiments show that the VI framework preserves the statistical efficiency of MLE while substantially extending its applicability to more challenging GLM settings.
Related papers
- Online Inference of Constrained Optimization: Primal-Dual Optimality and Sequential Quadratic Programming [55.848340925419286]
We study online statistical inference for the solutions of quadratic optimization problems with equality and inequality constraints.<n>We develop a sequential programming (SSQP) method to solve these problems, where the step direction is computed by sequentially performing an approximation of the objective and a linear approximation of the constraints.<n>We show that our method global almost moving-average convergence and exhibits local normality with an optimal primal-dual limiting matrix in the sense of Hjek and Le Cam.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-11-27T06:16:17Z) - Asymptotics of Non-Convex Generalized Linear Models in High-Dimensions: A proof of the replica formula [17.036996839737828]
We show how an algorithm can be used to prove the optimality of a non-dimensional Gaussian regularization model.<n>We also show how we can use the Tukey loss to prove the optimality of a negative regularization model.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-02-27T11:29:43Z) - Recursive Learning of Asymptotic Variational Objectives [49.69399307452126]
General state-space models (SSMs) are widely used in statistical machine learning and are among the most classical generative models for sequential time-series data.
Online sequential IWAE (OSIWAE) allows for online learning of both model parameters and a Markovian recognition model for inferring latent states.
This approach is more theoretically well-founded than recently proposed online variational SMC methods.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-11-04T16:12:37Z) - Generalization Bounds of Surrogate Policies for Combinatorial Optimization Problems [53.03951222945921]
We analyze smoothed (perturbed) policies, adding controlled random perturbations to the direction used by the linear oracle.<n>Our main contribution is a generalization bound that decomposes the excess risk into perturbation bias, statistical estimation error, and optimization error.<n>We illustrate the scope of the results on applications such as vehicle scheduling, highlighting how smoothing enables both tractable training and controlled generalization.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-24T12:00:30Z) - Partially factorized variational inference for high-dimensional mixed models [0.0]
Variational inference is a popular way to perform such computations, especially in the Bayesian context.<n>We show that standard mean-field variational inference dramatically underestimates posterior uncertainty in high-dimensions.<n>We then show how appropriately relaxing the mean-field assumption leads to methods whose uncertainty quantification does not deteriorate in high-dimensions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-20T16:12:37Z) - Value-Biased Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Model-based Reinforcement
Learning in Discounted Linear MDPs [16.006893624836554]
We propose to solve linear MDPs through the lens of Value-Biased Maximum Likelihood Estimation (VBMLE)
VBMLE is computationally more efficient as it only requires solving one optimization problem in each time step.
In our regret analysis, we offer a generic convergence result of MLE in linear MDPs through a novel supermartingale construct.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-17T18:27:27Z) - Manifold Gaussian Variational Bayes on the Precision Matrix [70.44024861252554]
We propose an optimization algorithm for Variational Inference (VI) in complex models.
We develop an efficient algorithm for Gaussian Variational Inference whose updates satisfy the positive definite constraint on the variational covariance matrix.
Due to its black-box nature, MGVBP stands as a ready-to-use solution for VI in complex models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-26T10:12:31Z) - Jointly Modeling and Clustering Tensors in High Dimensions [6.072664839782975]
We consider the problem of jointly benchmarking and clustering of tensors.
We propose an efficient high-maximization algorithm that converges geometrically to a neighborhood that is within statistical precision.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-04-15T21:06:16Z) - The computational asymptotics of Gaussian variational inference and the
Laplace approximation [19.366538729532856]
We provide a theoretical analysis of the convexity properties of variational inference with a Gaussian family.
We show that with scaled real-data examples both CSVI and CSV improve the likelihood of obtaining the global optimum of their respective optimization problems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-04-13T01:23:34Z) - Amortized Conditional Normalized Maximum Likelihood: Reliable Out of
Distribution Uncertainty Estimation [99.92568326314667]
We propose the amortized conditional normalized maximum likelihood (ACNML) method as a scalable general-purpose approach for uncertainty estimation.
Our algorithm builds on the conditional normalized maximum likelihood (CNML) coding scheme, which has minimax optimal properties according to the minimum description length principle.
We demonstrate that ACNML compares favorably to a number of prior techniques for uncertainty estimation in terms of calibration on out-of-distribution inputs.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-11-05T08:04:34Z) - Statistical optimality and stability of tangent transform algorithms in
logit models [6.9827388859232045]
We provide conditions on the data generating process to derive non-asymptotic upper bounds to the risk incurred by the logistical optima.
In particular, we establish local variation of the algorithm without any assumptions on the data-generating process.
We explore a special case involving a semi-orthogonal design under which a global convergence is obtained.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-10-25T05:15:13Z) - A Dynamical Systems Approach for Convergence of the Bayesian EM
Algorithm [59.99439951055238]
We show how (discrete-time) Lyapunov stability theory can serve as a powerful tool to aid, or even lead, in the analysis (and potential design) of optimization algorithms that are not necessarily gradient-based.
The particular ML problem that this paper focuses on is that of parameter estimation in an incomplete-data Bayesian framework via the popular optimization algorithm known as maximum a posteriori expectation-maximization (MAP-EM)
We show that fast convergence (linear or quadratic) is achieved, which could have been difficult to unveil without our adopted S&C approach.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-23T01:34:18Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.