Distillation-Accelerated Uncertainty Modeling for Multi-Objective RTA Interception
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2511.05582v1
- Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2025 08:14:12 GMT
- Title: Distillation-Accelerated Uncertainty Modeling for Multi-Objective RTA Interception
- Authors: Gaoxiang Zhao, Ruina Qiu, Pengpeng Zhao, Rongjin Wang, Zhangang Lin, Xiaoqiang Wang,
- Abstract summary: DAUM is a joint modeling framework that integrates multi-objective learning with uncertainty modeling.<n>Building on DAUM, we apply knowledge distillation to reduce the computational overhead of uncertainty modeling.<n>Experiments on the JD advertisement dataset demonstrate that DAUM consistently improves predictive performance.
- Score: 6.815446986729023
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Real-Time Auction (RTA) Interception aims to filter out invalid or irrelevant traffic to enhance the integrity and reliability of downstream data. However, two key challenges remain: (i) the need for accurate estimation of traffic quality together with sufficiently high confidence in the model's predictions, typically addressed through uncertainty modeling, and (ii) the efficiency bottlenecks that such uncertainty modeling introduces in real-time applications due to repeated inference. To address these challenges, we propose DAUM, a joint modeling framework that integrates multi-objective learning with uncertainty modeling, yielding both traffic quality predictions and reliable confidence estimates. Building on DAUM, we further apply knowledge distillation to reduce the computational overhead of uncertainty modeling, while largely preserving predictive accuracy and retaining the benefits of uncertainty estimation. Experiments on the JD advertisement dataset demonstrate that DAUM consistently improves predictive performance, with the distilled model delivering a tenfold increase in inference speed.
Related papers
- Towards Reliable Time Series Forecasting under Future Uncertainty: Ambiguity and Novelty Rejection Mechanisms [36.83718113051274]
We introduce a dual rejection mechanism combining ambiguity and novelty rejection.<n>Ambiguity rejection allows the model to abstain under low confidence, assessed through historical error variance analysis.<n>Novelty rejection, employing Variational Autoencoders and Mahalanobis distance, detects deviations from training data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-03-25T13:44:29Z) - Reliable Trajectory Prediction and Uncertainty Quantification with Conditioned Diffusion Models [11.308331231957588]
This work introduces the conditioned Vehicle Motion Diffusion (cVMD) model, a novel network architecture for highway trajectory prediction using diffusion models.
Central to the architecture of cVMD is its capacity to perform uncertainty quantification, a feature that is crucial in safety-critical applications.
Experiments show that the proposed architecture achieves competitive trajectory prediction accuracy compared to state-of-the-art models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-05-23T10:01:39Z) - Uncertainty-boosted Robust Video Activity Anticipation [72.14155465769201]
Video activity anticipation aims to predict what will happen in the future, embracing a broad application prospect ranging from robot vision to autonomous driving.
Despite the recent progress, the data uncertainty issue, reflected as the content evolution process and dynamic correlation in event labels, has been somehow ignored.
We propose an uncertainty-boosted robust video activity anticipation framework, which generates uncertainty values to indicate the credibility of the anticipation results.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-04-29T12:31:38Z) - Measuring and Modeling Uncertainty Degree for Monocular Depth Estimation [50.920911532133154]
The intrinsic ill-posedness and ordinal-sensitive nature of monocular depth estimation (MDE) models pose major challenges to the estimation of uncertainty degree.
We propose to model the uncertainty of MDE models from the perspective of the inherent probability distributions.
By simply introducing additional training regularization terms, our model, with surprisingly simple formations and without requiring extra modules or multiple inferences, can provide uncertainty estimations with state-of-the-art reliability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-07-19T12:11:15Z) - Toward Reliable Human Pose Forecasting with Uncertainty [51.628234388046195]
We develop an open-source library for human pose forecasting, including multiple models, supporting several datasets.
We devise two types of uncertainty in the problem to increase performance and convey better trust.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-13T17:56:08Z) - ALUM: Adversarial Data Uncertainty Modeling from Latent Model
Uncertainty Compensation [25.67258563807856]
We propose a novel method called ALUM to handle the model uncertainty and data uncertainty in a unified scheme.
Our proposed ALUM is model-agnostic which can be easily implemented into any existing deep model with little extra overhead.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-03-29T17:24:12Z) - Reliable Multimodal Trajectory Prediction via Error Aligned Uncertainty
Optimization [11.456242421204298]
In a well-calibrated model, uncertainty estimates should perfectly correlate with model error.
We propose a novel error aligned uncertainty optimization method and introduce a trainable loss function to guide the models to yield good quality uncertainty estimates aligning with the model error.
We demonstrate that our method improves average displacement error by 1.69% and 4.69%, and the uncertainty correlation with model error by 17.22% and 19.13% as quantified by Pearson correlation coefficient on two state-of-the-art baselines.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-12-09T12:33:26Z) - Reliability-Aware Prediction via Uncertainty Learning for Person Image
Retrieval [51.83967175585896]
UAL aims at providing reliability-aware predictions by considering data uncertainty and model uncertainty simultaneously.
Data uncertainty captures the noise" inherent in the sample, while model uncertainty depicts the model's confidence in the sample's prediction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-24T17:53:20Z) - Uncertainty Quantification for Traffic Forecasting: A Unified Approach [21.556559649467328]
Uncertainty is an essential consideration for time series forecasting tasks.
In this work, we focus on quantifying the uncertainty of traffic forecasting.
We develop Deep S-Temporal Uncertainty Quantification (STUQ), which can estimate both aleatoric and relational uncertainty.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-08-11T15:21:53Z) - Discriminative Jackknife: Quantifying Uncertainty in Deep Learning via
Higher-Order Influence Functions [121.10450359856242]
We develop a frequentist procedure that utilizes influence functions of a model's loss functional to construct a jackknife (or leave-one-out) estimator of predictive confidence intervals.
The DJ satisfies (1) and (2), is applicable to a wide range of deep learning models, is easy to implement, and can be applied in a post-hoc fashion without interfering with model training or compromising its accuracy.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-29T13:36:52Z) - Decomposed Adversarial Learned Inference [118.27187231452852]
We propose a novel approach, Decomposed Adversarial Learned Inference (DALI)
DALI explicitly matches prior and conditional distributions in both data and code spaces.
We validate the effectiveness of DALI on the MNIST, CIFAR-10, and CelebA datasets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-04-21T20:00:35Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.