Large Language Models and Scientific Discourse: Where's the Intelligence?
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2603.23543v1
- Date: Fri, 13 Mar 2026 14:23:03 GMT
- Title: Large Language Models and Scientific Discourse: Where's the Intelligence?
- Abstract summary: We examine how scientific knowledge is made and compare it with Large Language Models.<n>It is argued that LLMs cannot or do not currently access such discourse.<n>We then invent a new Monty Hall prompt and compare the responses of a panel of LLMs and a panel of humans.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
- Abstract: We explore the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) by comparing the way they gather data with the way humans build knowledge. Here we examine how scientific knowledge is made and compare it with LLMs. The argument is structured by reference to two figures, one representing scientific knowledge and the other LLMs. In a 2014 study, scientists explain how they choose to ignore a 'fringe science' paper in the domain of gravitational wave physics: the decisions are made largely as a result of tacit knowledge built up in social discourse, most spoken discourse, within closed groups of experts. It is argued that LLMs cannot or do not currently access such discourse, but it is typical of the early formation of scientific knowledge. LLMs 'understanding' builds on written literatures and is therefore insecure in the case of the initial stages of knowledge building. We refer to Colin Fraser's 'Dumb Monty Hall problem' where in 2023 ChatGPT failed though a year later or so later LLMs were succeeding. We argue that this is not a matter of improvement in LLMs ability to reason but in the change in the body of human written discourse on which they can draw (or changes being put in by humans 'by hand'). We then invent a new Monty Hall prompt and compare the responses of a panel of LLMs and a panel of humans: they are starkly different but we explain that the previous mechanisms will soon allow the LLMs to align themselves to humans once more. Finally, we look at 'overshadowing' where a settled body of discourse becomes so dominant that LLMs fail to respond to small variations in prompts which render the old answers nonsensical. The 'intelligence' we argue is in the humans not the LLMs
Related papers
- How LLMs Distort Our Written Language [11.98582470524476]
Large language models (LLMs) are used by over a billion people globally, most often to assist with writing.<n>We demonstrate that LLMs not only alter the voice and tone of human writing, but also consistently alter the intended meaning.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-03-18T18:01:52Z) - Unveiling Causal Reasoning in Large Language Models: Reality or Mirage? [62.17959154852391]
Causal reasoning capability is critical in advancing large language models toward strong artificial intelligence.<n>We show that large language models (LLMs) are only capable of performing shallow (level-1) causal reasoning.<n>We propose G2-Reasoner, a method that incorporates general knowledge and goal-oriented prompts into LLMs' causal reasoning processes.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-26T13:11:01Z) - Large Language Models are overconfident and amplify human bias [1.014221700787766]
We evaluate whether large language models (LLMs) inherit one of the most widespread human biases: overconfidence.<n>All five LLMs we study are overconfident: they overestimate the probability that their answer is correct between 20% and 60%.<n>Humans have accuracy similar to the more advanced LLMs, but far lower overconfidence.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-05-04T15:21:34Z) - Teaching Large Language Models to Express Knowledge Boundary from Their Own Signals [53.273592543786705]
Large language models (LLMs) have achieved great success, but their occasional content fabrication, or hallucination, limits their practical application.
We propose CoKE, which first probes LLMs' knowledge boundary via internal confidence given a set of questions, and then leverages the probing results to elicit the expression of the knowledge boundary.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-16T10:07:20Z) - When Do LLMs Need Retrieval Augmentation? Mitigating LLMs' Overconfidence Helps Retrieval Augmentation [66.01754585188739]
Large Language Models (LLMs) have been found to have difficulty knowing they do not possess certain knowledge.
Retrieval Augmentation (RA) has been extensively studied to mitigate LLMs' hallucinations.
We propose several methods to enhance LLMs' perception of knowledge boundaries and show that they are effective in reducing overconfidence.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-18T04:57:19Z) - See the Unseen: Better Context-Consistent Knowledge-Editing by Noises [73.54237379082795]
Knowledge-editing updates knowledge of large language models (LLMs)
Existing works ignore this property and the editing lacks generalization.
We empirically find that the effects of different contexts upon LLMs in recalling the same knowledge follow a Gaussian-like distribution.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-01-15T09:09:14Z) - How should the advent of large language models affect the practice of
science? [51.62881233954798]
How should the advent of large language models affect the practice of science?
We have invited four diverse groups of scientists to reflect on this query, sharing their perspectives and engaging in debate.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-05T10:45:12Z) - Do Large Language Models Know about Facts? [60.501902866946]
Large language models (LLMs) have recently driven striking performance improvements across a range of natural language processing tasks.
We aim to evaluate the extent and scope of factual knowledge within LLMs by designing the benchmark Pinocchio.
Pinocchio contains 20K diverse factual questions that span different sources, timelines, domains, regions, and languages.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-08T14:26:55Z) - Causal Parrots: Large Language Models May Talk Causality But Are Not
Causal [24.025116931689606]
We make it clear that large language models (LLMs) cannot be causal and give reason onto why sometimes we might feel otherwise.
We conjecture that in the cases where LLM succeed in doing causal inference, underlying was a respective meta SCM.
If our hypothesis holds true, then this would imply that LLMs are like parrots in that they simply recite the causal knowledge embedded in the data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-08-24T20:23:13Z) - Head-to-Tail: How Knowledgeable are Large Language Models (LLMs)? A.K.A. Will LLMs Replace Knowledge Graphs? [24.931467926497152]
Head-to-Tail is a benchmark that consists of 18K question-answer pairs regarding head, torso, and tail facts in terms of popularity.
We show that existing LLMs are still far from being perfect in terms of their grasp of factual knowledge, especially for facts of torso-to-tail entities.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-08-20T05:31:03Z) - Event knowledge in large language models: the gap between the impossible
and the unlikely [46.540380831486125]
We show that pre-trained large language models (LLMs) possess substantial event knowledge.
They almost always assign higher likelihood to possible vs. impossible events.
However, they show less consistent preferences for likely vs. unlikely events.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-12-02T23:43:18Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.