Generative Modeling under Non-Monotonic MAR Missingness via Approximate Wasserstein Gradient Flows
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2604.04567v1
- Date: Mon, 06 Apr 2026 09:56:08 GMT
- Title: Generative Modeling under Non-Monotonic MAR Missingness via Approximate Wasserstein Gradient Flows
- Abstract summary: We propose a principled iterative method for generating a complete dataset from a dataset with values Missing at Random (MAR)<n>FLOWGEM minimizes the expected Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the observed data distribution and the distribution of the generated sample over different missingness patterns.<n>It achieves state-of-the-art performance across a range of settings, including the challenging case of non-monotonic MAR mechanisms.
- Score: 6.221876252052772
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: The prevalence of missing values in data science poses a substantial risk to any further analyses. Despite a wealth of research, principled nonparametric methods to deal with general non-monotone missingness are still scarce. Instead, ad-hoc imputation methods are often used, for which it remains unclear whether the correct distribution can be recovered. In this paper, we propose FLOWGEM, a principled iterative method for generating a complete dataset from a dataset with values Missing at Random (MAR). Motivated by convergence results of the ignoring maximum likelihood estimator, our approach minimizes the expected Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the observed data distribution and the distribution of the generated sample over different missingness patterns. To minimize the KL divergence, we employ a discretized particle evolution of the corresponding Wasserstein Gradient Flow, where the velocity field is approximated using a local linear estimator of the density ratio. This construction yields a data generation scheme that iteratively transports an initial particle ensemble toward the target distribution. Simulation studies and real-data benchmarks demonstrate that FLOWGEM achieves state-of-the-art performance across a range of settings, including the challenging case of non-monotonic MAR mechanisms. Together, these results position FLOWGEM as a principled and practical alternative to existing imputation methods, and a decisive step towards closing the gap between theoretical rigor and empirical performance.
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