Online Intention Prediction via Control-Informed Learning
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2604.09303v1
- Date: Fri, 10 Apr 2026 13:11:32 GMT
- Title: Online Intention Prediction via Control-Informed Learning
- Abstract summary: This paper presents an online intention prediction framework for estimating the goal state of autonomous systems in real time.<n>A shifting horizon strategy discounts outdated information, while online control-informed learning enables efficient gradient computation and online parameter updates.
- Score: 4.548770944690356
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: This paper presents an online intention prediction framework for estimating the goal state of autonomous systems in real time, even when intention is time-varying, and system dynamics or objectives include unknown parameters. The problem is formulated as an inverse optimal control / inverse reinforcement learning task, with the intention treated as a parameter in the objective. A shifting horizon strategy discounts outdated information, while online control-informed learning enables efficient gradient computation and online parameter updates. Simulations under varying noise levels and hardware experiments on a quadrotor drone demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves accurate, adaptive intention prediction in complex environments.
Related papers
- Self-Adaptive Learning and Model Predictive Control for Tracking Unknown Dynamics with No Regret [21.1874838887222]
We propose a self-adaptive online learning for control method for tracking unknown target dynamics.<n>The target dynamics can exhibit switching behavior, particularly, a mixture of structured, random, and/or adversarial motion.<n>Our method simultaneously learns multiple predictors from scratch, via self-supervised, one-shot, and computationally efficient learning.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-07-29T01:07:28Z) - From Physics to Machine Learning and Back: Part II - Learning and Observational Bias in PHM [52.64097278841485]
Review examines how incorporating learning and observational biases through physics-informed modeling and data strategies can guide models toward physically consistent and reliable predictions.<n>Fast adaptation methods including meta-learning and few-shot learning are reviewed alongside domain generalization techniques.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-09-25T14:15:43Z) - Real-Time Sampling-based Online Planning for Drone Interception [18.340019191662957]
We propose a sampling-based online planning algorithm that leverages neural network inference to replace time-consuming nonlinear trajectory optimization.<n>The proposed method is applied to the drone interception problem, where a defense drone must intercept a target while avoiding collisions and handling imperfect target predictions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-02-20T03:48:38Z) - RLER-TTE: An Efficient and Effective Framework for En Route Travel Time Estimation with Reinforcement Learning [5.4674463400564886]
En Route Travel Time Estimation aims to learn driving patterns from traveled routes to achieve rapid and accurate real-time predictions.<n>Existing methods ignore the complexity and dynamism of real-world traffic systems, resulting in significant gaps in efficiency and accuracy in real-time scenarios.<n>This paper proposes a novel framework that redefines the path implementation of ER-TTE to achieve highly efficient and effective predictions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-26T11:49:34Z) - Non-Stationary Learning of Neural Networks with Automatic Soft Parameter Reset [98.52916361979503]
We introduce a novel learning approach that automatically models and adapts to non-stationarity.
We show empirically that our approach performs well in non-stationary supervised and off-policy reinforcement learning settings.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-11-06T16:32:40Z) - Smoothed Online Learning for Prediction in Piecewise Affine Systems [43.64498536409903]
This paper builds on the recently developed smoothed online learning framework.
It provides the first algorithms for prediction and simulation in piecewise affine systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-01-26T15:54:14Z) - Active Learning of Discrete-Time Dynamics for Uncertainty-Aware Model Predictive Control [46.81433026280051]
We present a self-supervised learning approach that actively models the dynamics of nonlinear robotic systems.
Our approach showcases high resilience and generalization capabilities by consistently adapting to unseen flight conditions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-23T00:45:05Z) - Incremental Correction in Dynamic Systems Modelled with Neural Networks
for Constraint Satisfaction [6.729108277517129]
The proposed approach is to linearise the dynamics around the baseline values of its arguments.
The online update approach can be useful for enhancing overall targeting accuracy of finite-horizon control.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-09-08T10:33:30Z) - Physics-Inspired Temporal Learning of Quadrotor Dynamics for Accurate
Model Predictive Trajectory Tracking [76.27433308688592]
Accurately modeling quadrotor's system dynamics is critical for guaranteeing agile, safe, and stable navigation.
We present a novel Physics-Inspired Temporal Convolutional Network (PI-TCN) approach to learning quadrotor's system dynamics purely from robot experience.
Our approach combines the expressive power of sparse temporal convolutions and dense feed-forward connections to make accurate system predictions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-06-07T13:51:35Z) - Regret Analysis of Online Gradient Descent-based Iterative Learning
Control with Model Mismatch [4.922572106422331]
The performance of an online gradient-descent based scheme using inexact gradient information is analyzed.
Fundamental limitations of the scheme and its integration with adaptation mechanisms are investigated.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-04-10T16:35:27Z) - Guaranteed Trajectory Tracking under Learned Dynamics with Contraction Metrics and Disturbance Estimation [5.147919654191323]
This paper presents an approach to trajectory-centric learning control based on contraction metrics and disturbance estimation.
The proposed framework is validated on a planar quadrotor example.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-12-15T15:57:33Z) - Online Algorithms and Policies Using Adaptive and Machine Learning
Approaches [0.22020053359163297]
Two classes of nonlinear dynamic systems are considered, both of which are control-affine.
We propose a combination of a Reinforcement Learning based policy in the outer loop suitably chosen to ensure stability and optimality for the nominal dynamics.
In addition to establishing a stability guarantee with real-time control, the AC-RL controller is also shown to lead to parameter learning with persistent excitation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-05-13T22:51:25Z) - Anticipating the Long-Term Effect of Online Learning in Control [75.6527644813815]
AntLer is a design algorithm for learning-based control laws that anticipates learning.
We show that AntLer approximates an optimal solution arbitrarily accurately with probability one.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-07-24T07:00:14Z) - Online Reinforcement Learning Control by Direct Heuristic Dynamic
Programming: from Time-Driven to Event-Driven [80.94390916562179]
Time-driven learning refers to the machine learning method that updates parameters in a prediction model continuously as new data arrives.
It is desirable to prevent the time-driven dHDP from updating due to insignificant system event such as noise.
We show how the event-driven dHDP algorithm works in comparison to the original time-driven dHDP.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-16T05:51:25Z) - Logarithmic Regret Bound in Partially Observable Linear Dynamical
Systems [91.43582419264763]
We study the problem of system identification and adaptive control in partially observable linear dynamical systems.
We present the first model estimation method with finite-time guarantees in both open and closed-loop system identification.
We show that AdaptOn is the first algorithm that achieves $textpolylogleft(Tright)$ regret in adaptive control of unknown partially observable linear dynamical systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-03-25T06:00:33Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.