IDEA: An Interpretable and Editable Decision-Making Framework for LLMs via Verbal-to-Numeric Calibration
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2604.12573v1
- Date: Tue, 14 Apr 2026 10:50:49 GMT
- Title: IDEA: An Interpretable and Editable Decision-Making Framework for LLMs via Verbal-to-Numeric Calibration
- Abstract summary: IDEA is a framework that extracts LLM decision knowledge into an interpretable parametric model.<n>It produces calibrated probabilities while enabling quantitative human-AI collaboration.
- Score: 19.137433878125247
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Large Language Models are increasingly deployed for decision-making, yet their adoption in high-stakes domains remains limited by miscalibrated probabilities, unfaithful explanations, and inability to incorporate expert knowledge precisely. We propose IDEA, a framework that extracts LLM decision knowledge into an interpretable parametric model over semantically meaningful factors. Through joint learning of verbal-to-numerical mappings and decision parameters via EM, correlated sampling that preserves factor dependencies, and direct parameter editing with mathematical guarantees, IDEA produces calibrated probabilities while enabling quantitative human-AI collaboration. Experiments across five datasets show IDEA with Qwen-3-32B (78.6%) outperforms DeepSeek R1 (68.1%) and GPT-5.2 (77.9%), achieving perfect factor exclusion and exact calibration -- precision unattainable through prompting alone. The implementation is publicly available at https://github.com/leonbig/IDEA.
Related papers
- Authority Inversion in LLM-Mediated Ubiquitous Systems: When Models Trust Users Over Sensors [6.414826816896125]
We investigate how large language models implicitly allocate authority when sensor measurements and user claims conflict remain unexamined.<n>We find numerical sensor data fails to integrate into answer-relevant model directions, allowing natural-language claims to dominate the final decision.<n>We propose Geometric Authority (GAC) as an inference-time layer-level intervention to suppress misplaced user authority.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-04-28T04:59:03Z) - I Know What I Don't Know: Latent Posterior Factor Models for Multi-Evidence Probabilistic Reasoning [0.0]
We introduce Latent Posterior Factors (LPF), a framework that transforms latent posteriors into soft likelihood factors for Sum-Product Network (SPN) inference.<n>We instantiate LPF as LPF-SPN (structured factor-based inference) and LPF-Learned (end-to-end learned aggregation)<n>Across eight domains (seven synthetic and the FEVER benchmark), LPF-SPN achieves high accuracy (up to 97.8%), low calibration error (ECE 1.4%), and strong probabilistic fit.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-03-13T10:05:14Z) - From Stochastic Answers to Verifiable Reasoning: Interpretable Decision-Making with LLM-Generated Code [0.0]
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for high-stakes decisionmaking.<n>Black-box models obscure their reasoning, while recent LLM-based rule systems rely on per-sample evaluation.<n>We propose reframing LLMs as code generators rather than per-instance evaluators.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-28T00:27:29Z) - ODAR: Principled Adaptive Routing for LLM Reasoning via Active Inference [60.958331943869126]
ODAR-Expert is an adaptive routing framework that optimize the accuracy-efficiency trade-off via principled resource allocation.<n>We show strong and consistent gains, including 98.2% accuracy on MATH and 54.8% on Humanity's Last Exam.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-27T05:22:01Z) - On Calibration of Large Language Models: From Response To Capability [66.59139960234326]
Large language models (LLMs) are widely deployed as general-purpose problem solvers.<n>We introduce capability calibration, which targets the model's expected accuracy on a query.<n>Our results demonstrate that capability-calibrated confidence improves pass@$k$ prediction and inference budget allocation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-14T01:07:45Z) - Reasoning with Confidence: Efficient Verification of LLM Reasoning Steps via Uncertainty Heads [104.9566359759396]
We propose a lightweight alternative for step-level reasoning verification based on data-driven uncertainty scores.<n>Our findings suggest that the internal states of LLMs encode their uncertainty and can serve as reliable signals for reasoning verification.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-11-09T03:38:29Z) - Reasoning-Based AI for Startup Evaluation (R.A.I.S.E.): A Memory-Augmented, Multi-Step Decision Framework [0.0]
We present a novel framework that bridges the gap between the interpretability of decision trees and the advanced reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs) to predict startup success.<n>Our approach leverages chain-of-thought prompting to generate detailed reasoning logs, which are subsequently distilled into structured, human-understandable logical rules.<n>Our method not only augments traditional decision-making processes but also facilitates expert intervention and continuous policy refinement.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-04-16T13:53:42Z) - Cycles of Thought: Measuring LLM Confidence through Stable Explanations [53.15438489398938]
Large language models (LLMs) can reach and even surpass human-level accuracy on a variety of benchmarks, but their overconfidence in incorrect responses is still a well-documented failure mode.
We propose a framework for measuring an LLM's uncertainty with respect to the distribution of generated explanations for an answer.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-05T16:35:30Z) - Uncertainty-aware Language Modeling for Selective Question Answering [107.47864420630923]
We present an automatic large language model (LLM) conversion approach that produces uncertainty-aware LLMs.
Our approach is model- and data-agnostic, is computationally-efficient, and does not rely on external models or systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-26T22:47:54Z) - Decomposing Uncertainty for Large Language Models through Input Clarification Ensembling [69.83976050879318]
In large language models (LLMs), identifying sources of uncertainty is an important step toward improving reliability, trustworthiness, and interpretability.
In this paper, we introduce an uncertainty decomposition framework for LLMs, called input clarification ensembling.
Our approach generates a set of clarifications for the input, feeds them into an LLM, and ensembles the corresponding predictions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-15T05:58:35Z) - Variable Importance Matching for Causal Inference [73.25504313552516]
We describe a general framework called Model-to-Match that achieves these goals.
Model-to-Match uses variable importance measurements to construct a distance metric.
We operationalize the Model-to-Match framework with LASSO.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-02-23T00:43:03Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.