Continuous-Time Gaussian Belief Trees for Motion Planning
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2607.02884v1
- Date: Fri, 03 Jul 2026 02:29:42 GMT
- Title: Continuous-Time Gaussian Belief Trees for Motion Planning
- Abstract summary: We address sampling-based motion planning for continuous-time systems under process and measurement uncertainty.<n>We derive an offline hybrid belief propagation model in which the belief evolves according to continuous-time ODEs between measurements.<n>To ensure safety, we introduce a belief-barrier-function-based safety checker for segment-level probabilistic verification.
- Score: 12.755527639646381
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: We address sampling-based motion planning for continuous-time stochastic systems under process and measurement uncertainty, with probabilistic guarantees on safety and performance. The robot dynamics are modeled as a continuous-time linear stochastic differential equation, while sensor measurements arrive at discrete time instants. We derive an offline hybrid belief propagation model in which the belief evolves according to continuous-time ODEs between measurements and undergoes discrete Kalman filter update jumps at measurement times. To ensure safety, we introduce a belief-barrier-function-based safety checker for segment-level probabilistic verification. This enables the planner to certify safety over entire continuous trajectory segments and detect inter-sample chance-constraint violations that are missed by conventional node-based checks. Together, these components provide a principled framework for sampling-based belief planning that accounts for both continuous-time uncertainty propagation and continuous-time safety requirements. We integrate the method with RRT and SST planners and evaluate it across multiple benchmark environments. The results show that the proposed method achieves high success rates and robust enforcement of chance constraints, including in narrow-passage scenarios where discrete-time counterparts fail due to missed inter-sample unsafe behavior.
Related papers
- Collaborative System Failure Prognostics via Federated Longitudinal-Survival Modeling [13.404705706866574]
Proposed framework combines longitudinal sensor representation learning with a client-separable discrete-time hazard objective.<n>Experiments on the four C-MAPSS turbofan engine degradation subsets under simulated decentralized settings demonstrate that the proposed framework consistently improves prognostic performance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-07-28T17:46:19Z) - SegDiff: Segmented Trajectory Diffusion for Consistent and Adaptive Robot Manipulation [65.81476183180527]
We introduce SegDiff, a closed-loop visuomotor policy that integrates the strengths of both paradigms.<n>SegDiff decomposes demonstrations into motion segments between keyposes and learns to predict the continuous trajectory from the current state to the next keypose.<n>SegDiff demonstrates significant performance gains over existing approaches across various simulated and real-world scenarios.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-07-13T02:48:03Z) - Active Timepoint Selection for Learning Measure-Valued Trajectories [55.49809248697036]
Inferring continuous probability paths from snapshots is a fundamental challenge in domains like single-cell biology.<n>We introduce a framework which extends active experimentation to the space of sparse measures.<n>This yields an acquisition policy that iteratively selects measurement times to minimize uncertainty.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-05-28T22:22:35Z) - Spatiotemporal Tubes for Probabilistic Temporal Reach-Avoid-Stay Task in Uncertain Dynamic Environment [2.7222301668137483]
We develop a real-time tube synthesis procedure that accounts for time-varying uncertain obstacles.<n>We derive a closed-form, approximation-free control law that confines the system trajectory within the tube.<n>Our method offers a formal guarantee for probabilistic avoidance and finite-time task completion.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-12-25T04:06:35Z) - Scenario-aware Uncertainty Quantification for Trajectory Prediction with Statistical Guarantees [16.41262478059784]
We propose a novel scenario-aware uncertainty quantification framework to provide the predicted trajectories with prediction intervals and reliability assessment.<n>We evaluated our framework using the real-world nuPlan dataset, demonstrating its effectiveness in scenario-aware uncertainty quantification and reliability assessment.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-12-05T12:54:39Z) - Score Matching-based Pseudolikelihood Estimation of Neural Marked
Spatio-Temporal Point Process with Uncertainty Quantification [59.81904428056924]
We introduce SMASH: a Score MAtching estimator for learning markedPs with uncertainty quantification.
Specifically, our framework adopts a normalization-free objective by estimating the pseudolikelihood of markedPs through score-matching.
The superior performance of our proposed framework is demonstrated through extensive experiments in both event prediction and uncertainty quantification.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-25T02:37:51Z) - Real-Time Tube-Based Non-Gaussian Risk Bounded Motion Planning for
Stochastic Nonlinear Systems in Uncertain Environments via Motion Primitives [9.088960941718]
We consider the motion planning problem for nonlinear systems in uncertain environments.
Unlike [1], we present a real-time online motion planning algorithm.
We verify the safety of the tubes against deterministic risk using sum-of-squares programming.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-03-02T23:36:26Z) - Statistical Safety and Robustness Guarantees for Feedback Motion
Planning of Unknown Underactuated Stochastic Systems [1.0323063834827415]
We propose a sampling-based planner that uses the mean dynamics model and simultaneously bounds the closed-loop tracking error via a learned disturbance bound.
We validate that our guarantees translate to empirical safety in simulation on a 10D quadrotor, and in the real world on a physical CrazyFlie quadrotor and Clearpath Jackal robot.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-12-13T19:38:39Z) - Formal Controller Synthesis for Markov Jump Linear Systems with
Uncertain Dynamics [64.72260320446158]
We propose a method for synthesising controllers for Markov jump linear systems.
Our method is based on a finite-state abstraction that captures both the discrete (mode-jumping) and continuous (stochastic linear) behaviour of the MJLS.
We apply our method to multiple realistic benchmark problems, in particular, a temperature control and an aerial vehicle delivery problem.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-12-01T17:36:30Z) - Probabilities Are Not Enough: Formal Controller Synthesis for Stochastic
Dynamical Models with Epistemic Uncertainty [68.00748155945047]
Capturing uncertainty in models of complex dynamical systems is crucial to designing safe controllers.
Several approaches use formal abstractions to synthesize policies that satisfy temporal specifications related to safety and reachability.
Our contribution is a novel abstraction-based controller method for continuous-state models with noise, uncertain parameters, and external disturbances.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-12T07:57:03Z) - Sampling-Based Robust Control of Autonomous Systems with Non-Gaussian
Noise [59.47042225257565]
We present a novel planning method that does not rely on any explicit representation of the noise distributions.
First, we abstract the continuous system into a discrete-state model that captures noise by probabilistic transitions between states.
We capture these bounds in the transition probability intervals of a so-called interval Markov decision process (iMDP)
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-10-25T06:18:55Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.