BoXHED: Boosted eXact Hazard Estimator with Dynamic covariates
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2006.14218v2
- Date: Fri, 26 Jun 2020 00:39:57 GMT
- Title: BoXHED: Boosted eXact Hazard Estimator with Dynamic covariates
- Authors: Xiaochen Wang, Arash Pakbin, Bobak J. Mortazavi, Hongyu Zhao, Donald
K.K. Lee
- Abstract summary: This paper introduces the software package BoXHED for nonparametrically estimating hazard functions via gradient boosting.
BoXHED is the first publicly available software implementation for Lee Chen, Ishwaran.
- Score: 13.330256356398243
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: The proliferation of medical monitoring devices makes it possible to track
health vitals at high frequency, enabling the development of dynamic health
risk scores that change with the underlying readings. Survival analysis, in
particular hazard estimation, is well-suited to analyzing this stream of data
to predict disease onset as a function of the time-varying vitals. This paper
introduces the software package BoXHED (pronounced 'box-head') for
nonparametrically estimating hazard functions via gradient boosting. BoXHED 1.0
is a novel tree-based implementation of the generic estimator proposed in Lee,
Chen, Ishwaran (2017), which was designed for handling time-dependent
covariates in a fully nonparametric manner. BoXHED is also the first publicly
available software implementation for Lee, Chen, Ishwaran (2017). Applying
BoXHED to cardiovascular disease onset data from the Framingham Heart Study
reveals novel interaction effects among known risk factors, potentially
resolving an open question in clinical literature.
Related papers
- Deciphering Cardiac Destiny: Unveiling Future Risks Through Cutting-Edge Machine Learning Approaches [0.0]
This project aims to develop and assess predictive models for the timely identification of cardiac arrest incidents.
We employ machine learning algorithms like XGBoost, Gradient Boosting, and Naive Bayes, alongside a deep learning (DL) approach with Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs)
Rigorous experimentation and validation revealed the superior performance of the RNN model.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-09-03T19:18:16Z) - SepsisLab: Early Sepsis Prediction with Uncertainty Quantification and Active Sensing [67.8991481023825]
Sepsis is the leading cause of in-hospital mortality in the USA.
Existing predictive models are usually trained on high-quality data with few missing information.
For the potential high-risk patients with low confidence due to limited observations, we propose a robust active sensing algorithm.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-24T04:47:36Z) - Petal-X: Human-Centered Visual Explanations to Improve Cardiovascular Risk Communication [1.4613744540785565]
This work describes the design and implementation of Petal-X, a novel tool to support clinician-patient shared decision-making.
Petal-X relies on a novel visualization, Petal Product Plots, and a tailor-made global surrogate model of SCORE2, whose fidelity is comparable to that of the GSCs used in clinical practice.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-26T18:48:50Z) - Uncertainty Quantification in Machine Learning Based Segmentation: A
Post-Hoc Approach for Left Ventricle Volume Estimation in MRI [0.0]
Left ventricular (LV) volume estimation is critical for valid diagnosis and management of various cardiovascular conditions.
Recent machine learning advancements, particularly U-Net-like convolutional networks, have facilitated automated segmentation for medical images.
This study proposes a novel methodology for post-hoc uncertainty estimation in LV volume prediction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-30T13:44:55Z) - Interpretable Survival Analysis for Heart Failure Risk Prediction [50.64739292687567]
We propose a novel survival analysis pipeline that is both interpretable and competitive with state-of-the-art survival models.
Our pipeline achieves state-of-the-art performance and provides interesting and novel insights about risk factors for heart failure.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-24T02:56:05Z) - MedDiffusion: Boosting Health Risk Prediction via Diffusion-based Data
Augmentation [58.93221876843639]
This paper introduces a novel, end-to-end diffusion-based risk prediction model, named MedDiffusion.
It enhances risk prediction performance by creating synthetic patient data during training to enlarge sample space.
It discerns hidden relationships between patient visits using a step-wise attention mechanism, enabling the model to automatically retain the most vital information for generating high-quality data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-10-04T01:36:30Z) - Simulation-based Inference for Cardiovascular Models [57.92535897767929]
We use simulation-based inference to solve the inverse problem of mapping waveforms back to plausible physiological parameters.
We perform an in-silico uncertainty analysis of five biomarkers of clinical interest.
We study the gap between in-vivo and in-silico with the MIMIC-III waveform database.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-07-26T02:34:57Z) - Predicting Patient Readmission Risk from Medical Text via Knowledge
Graph Enhanced Multiview Graph Convolution [67.72545656557858]
We propose a new method that uses medical text of Electronic Health Records for prediction.
We represent discharge summaries of patients with multiview graphs enhanced by an external knowledge graph.
Experimental results prove the effectiveness of our method, yielding state-of-the-art performance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-12-19T01:45:57Z) - WRSE -- a non-parametric weighted-resolution ensemble for predicting
individual survival distributions in the ICU [0.251657752676152]
Dynamic assessment of mortality risk in the intensive care unit (ICU) can be used to stratify patients, inform about treatment effectiveness or serve as part of an early-warning system.
We show competitive results with state-of-the-art probabilistic models, while greatly reducing training time by factors of 2-9x.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-11-02T10:13:59Z) - UNITE: Uncertainty-based Health Risk Prediction Leveraging Multi-sourced
Data [81.00385374948125]
We present UNcertaInTy-based hEalth risk prediction (UNITE) model.
UNITE provides accurate disease risk prediction and uncertainty estimation leveraging multi-sourced health data.
We evaluate UNITE on real-world disease risk prediction tasks: nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NASH) and Alzheimer's disease (AD)
UNITE achieves up to 0.841 in F1 score for AD detection, up to 0.609 in PR-AUC for NASH detection, and outperforms various state-of-the-art baselines by up to $19%$ over the best baseline.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-10-22T02:28:11Z) - Prediction of the onset of cardiovascular diseases from electronic
health records using multi-task gated recurrent units [51.14334174570822]
We propose a multi-task recurrent neural network with attention mechanism for predicting cardiovascular events from electronic health records.
The proposed approach is compared to a standard clinical risk predictor (QRISK) and machine learning alternatives using 5-year data from a NHS Foundation Trust.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-07-16T17:43:13Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.