A Meta-learning Approach to Reservoir Computing: Time Series Prediction with Limited Data

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2110.03722v1
• Date: Thu, 7 Oct 2021 18:23:14 GMT
• Title: A Meta-learning Approach to Reservoir Computing: Time Series Prediction with Limited Data
• Authors: Daniel Canaday, Andrew Pomerance, and Michelle Girvan
• Abstract summary: We present a data-driven approach to automatically extract an appropriate model structure from experimentally observed processes. We demonstrate our approach on a simple benchmark problem, where it beats the state of the art meta-learning techniques.
• Score: 0.0
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Abstract: Recent research has established the effectiveness of machine learning for data-driven prediction of the future evolution of unknown dynamical systems, including chaotic systems. However, these approaches require large amounts of measured time series data from the process to be predicted. When only limited data is available, forecasters are forced to impose significant model structure that may or may not accurately represent the process of interest. In this work, we present a Meta-learning Approach to Reservoir Computing (MARC), a data-driven approach to automatically extract an appropriate model structure from experimentally observed "related" processes that can be used to vastly reduce the amount of data required to successfully train a predictive model. We demonstrate our approach on a simple benchmark problem, where it beats the state of the art meta-learning techniques, as well as a challenging chaotic problem.

Related papers

• Attribute-to-Delete: Machine Unlearning via Datamodel Matching [65.13151619119782]
  Machine unlearning -- efficiently removing a small "forget set" training data on a pre-divertrained machine learning model -- has recently attracted interest. Recent research shows that machine unlearning techniques do not hold up in such a challenging setting.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-10-30T17:20:10Z)
• Towards Learning Stochastic Population Models by Gradient Descent [0.0]
  We show that simultaneous estimation of parameters and structure poses major challenges for optimization procedures. We demonstrate accurate estimation of models but find that enforcing the inference of parsimonious, interpretable models drastically increases the difficulty.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-04-10T14:38:58Z)
• Learning of networked spreading models from noisy and incomplete data [7.669018800404791]
  We introduce a universal learning method based on scalable dynamic message-passing technique. The algorithm leverages available prior knowledge on the model and on the data, and reconstructs both network structure and parameters of a spreading model. We show that a linear computational complexity of the method with the key model parameters makes the algorithm scalable to large network instances.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2023-12-20T13:12:47Z)
• PILOT: A Pre-Trained Model-Based Continual Learning Toolbox [71.63186089279218]
  This paper introduces a pre-trained model-based continual learning toolbox known as PILOT. On the one hand, PILOT implements some state-of-the-art class-incremental learning algorithms based on pre-trained models, such as L2P, DualPrompt, and CODA-Prompt. On the other hand, PILOT fits typical class-incremental learning algorithms within the context of pre-trained models to evaluate their effectiveness.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2023-09-13T17:55:11Z)
• A hybrid feature learning approach based on convolutional kernels for ATM fault prediction using event-log data [5.859431341476405]
  We present a predictive model based on a convolutional kernel (MiniROCKET and HYDRA) to extract features from event-log data. The proposed methodology is applied to a significant real-world collected dataset. The model was integrated into a container-based decision support system to support operators in the timely maintenance of ATMs.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2023-05-17T08:55:53Z)
• Automated Machine Learning Techniques for Data Streams [91.3755431537592]
  This paper surveys the state-of-the-art open-source AutoML tools, applies them to data collected from streams, and measures how their performance changes over time. The results show that off-the-shelf AutoML tools can provide satisfactory results but in the presence of concept drift, detection or adaptation techniques have to be applied to maintain the predictive accuracy over time.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2021-06-14T11:42:46Z)
• Using Data Assimilation to Train a Hybrid Forecast System that Combines Machine-Learning and Knowledge-Based Components [52.77024349608834]
  We consider the problem of data-assisted forecasting of chaotic dynamical systems when the available data is noisy partial measurements. We show that by using partial measurements of the state of the dynamical system, we can train a machine learning model to improve predictions made by an imperfect knowledge-based model.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2021-02-15T19:56:48Z)
• Model-Based Deep Learning [155.063817656602]
  Signal processing, communications, and control have traditionally relied on classical statistical modeling techniques. Deep neural networks (DNNs) use generic architectures which learn to operate from data, and demonstrate excellent performance. We are interested in hybrid techniques that combine principled mathematical models with data-driven systems to benefit from the advantages of both approaches.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2020-12-15T16:29:49Z)
• Supervised learning from noisy observations: Combining machine-learning techniques with data assimilation [0.6091702876917281]
  We show how to optimally combine forecast models and their inherent uncertainty with incoming noisy observations. We show that the obtained forecast model has remarkably good forecast skill while being computationally cheap once trained. Going beyond the task of forecasting, we show that our method can be used to generate reliable ensembles for probabilistic forecasting as well as to learn effective model closure in multi-scale systems.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2020-07-14T22:29:37Z)
• How Training Data Impacts Performance in Learning-based Control [67.7875109298865]
  This paper derives an analytical relationship between the density of the training data and the control performance. We formulate a quality measure for the data set, which we refer to as $rho$-gap. We show how the $rho$-gap can be applied to a feedback linearizing control law.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2020-05-25T12:13:49Z)

This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.

This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.