Causal Modeling With Infinitely Many Variables
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2112.09171v1
- Date: Thu, 16 Dec 2021 19:41:42 GMT
- Title: Causal Modeling With Infinitely Many Variables
- Abstract summary: Structural-equations models (SEMs) are perhaps the most commonly used framework for modeling causality.
We introduce GSEMs, a flexible generalization of SEMs that directly specify the results of interventions.
- Score: 14.505867475659274
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Structural-equations models (SEMs) are perhaps the most commonly used
framework for modeling causality. However, as we show, naively extending this
framework to infinitely many variables, which is necessary, for example, to
model dynamical systems, runs into several problems. We introduce GSEMs
(generalized SEMs), a flexible generalization of SEMs that directly specify the
results of interventions, in which (1) systems of differential equations can be
represented in a natural and intuitive manner, (2) certain natural situations,
which cannot be represented by SEMs at all, can be represented easily, (3) the
definition of actual causality in SEMs carries over essentially without change.
Related papers
- Causal Reasoning with Bipartite Graphical Causal Models [0.7106986689736826]
Causal Bayesian networks (CBNs) and structural causal models (SCMs) are the dominant frameworks for graphical causal reasoning.<n>We propose bipartite graphical causal models (BGCMs), in which the structure of a system of equations is encoded by a bipartite graph with variable and equation nodes.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-08-20T09:33:20Z) - OMNIFLOW: A Physics-Grounded Multimodal Agent for Generalized Scientific Reasoning [51.33849811496781]
Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated exceptional logical reasoning capabilities but frequently struggle with the continuous dynamics by Partial Differential Equations (PDEs)<n>We propose OMNIFLOW, a multimodal-symbolic architecture designed to ground frozen LLMs in fundamental physical laws without requiring domain-specific parameter updates.<n>We evaluate it on a benchmark spanning microscopic turbulence, theoretical Navier-Stokes, and macroscopic global weather forecasting.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-03-16T18:29:01Z) - Permutation-Equivariant 2D State Space Models: Theory and Canonical Architecture for Multivariate Time Series [16.396187082494958]
We formalize a violation of the permutation symmetry principle and require state-space dynamics to be permutation-equivariant along the variable axis.<n>We introduce the Variable-Invariant Two-Dimensional State Space Model (VI 2D SSM), which realizes the canonical equivariant form via permutation-invariant aggregation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-03-07T04:10:20Z) - Learning Time-Aware Causal Representation for Model Generalization in Evolving Domains [50.66049136093248]
We develop a time-aware structural causal model (SCM) that incorporates dynamic causal factors and the causal mechanism drifts.<n>We show that our method can yield the optimal causal predictor for each time domain.<n>Results on both synthetic and real-world datasets exhibit that SYNC can achieve superior temporal generalization performance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-21T14:05:37Z) - No Equations Needed: Learning System Dynamics Without Relying on Closed-Form ODEs [56.78271181959529]
This paper proposes a conceptual shift to modeling low-dimensional dynamical systems by departing from the traditional two-step modeling process.
Instead of first discovering a closed-form equation and then analyzing it, our approach, direct semantic modeling, predicts the semantic representation of the dynamical system.
Our approach not only simplifies the modeling pipeline but also enhances the transparency and flexibility of the resulting models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-30T18:36:48Z) - Temporal Causal Reasoning with (Non-Recursive) Structural Equation Models [9.112107794815671]
We propose a new interpretation of Structural Equation Models (SEMs) when reasoning about Actual Causality.
This allows us to combine counterfactual causal reasoning with existing temporal logic formalisms.
We show that the standard restriction to so-called textitrecursive models is not necessary in our approach.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-17T13:37:58Z) - MARS: Benchmarking the Metaphysical Reasoning Abilities of Language Models with a Multi-task Evaluation Dataset [50.36095192314595]
Large Language Models (LLMs) function as conscious agents with generalizable reasoning capabilities.
This ability remains underexplored due to the complexity of modeling infinite possible changes in an event.
We introduce the first-ever benchmark, MARS, comprising three tasks corresponding to each step.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-04T08:35:04Z) - Shape Arithmetic Expressions: Advancing Scientific Discovery Beyond Closed-Form Equations [56.78271181959529]
Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) can capture non-linear relationships between variables and targets, but they cannot capture intricate feature interactions.
We propose Shape Expressions Arithmetic ( SHAREs) that fuses GAM's flexible shape functions with the complex feature interactions found in mathematical expressions.
We also design a set of rules for constructing SHAREs that guarantee transparency of the found expressions beyond the standard constraints.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-04-15T13:44:01Z) - Sample Complexity Characterization for Linear Contextual MDPs [67.79455646673762]
Contextual decision processes (CMDPs) describe a class of reinforcement learning problems in which the transition kernels and reward functions can change over time with different MDPs indexed by a context variable.
CMDPs serve as an important framework to model many real-world applications with time-varying environments.
We study CMDPs under two linear function approximation models: Model I with context-varying representations and common linear weights for all contexts; and Model II with common representations for all contexts and context-varying linear weights.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-05T03:25:04Z) - Can Large Language Models Learn Independent Causal Mechanisms? [9.274428418715347]
Large Language Models (LLMs) fall short on the same tasks in uncommon settings or with distribution shifts.
We show that causal models, that learn abstract variables and causal relationships, can demonstrate increased robustness against changes in the distribution.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-04T23:04:02Z) - SEGNO: Generalizing Equivariant Graph Neural Networks with Physical
Inductive Biases [66.61789780666727]
We show how the second-order continuity can be incorporated into GNNs while maintaining the equivariant property.
We also offer theoretical insights into SEGNO, highlighting that it can learn a unique trajectory between adjacent states.
Our model yields a significant improvement over the state-of-the-art baselines.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-08-25T07:15:58Z) - FAENet: Frame Averaging Equivariant GNN for Materials Modeling [123.19473575281357]
We introduce a flexible framework relying on frameaveraging (SFA) to make any model E(3)-equivariant or invariant through data transformations.
We prove the validity of our method theoretically and empirically demonstrate its superior accuracy and computational scalability in materials modeling.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-28T21:48:31Z) - Hidden Parameter Recurrent State Space Models For Changing Dynamics
Scenarios [18.08665164701404]
Recurrent State-space models assume that the dynamics are fixed and unchanging, which is rarely the case in real-world scenarios.
We introduce the Hidden Recurrent State Space Models (HiP- RSSMs), a framework that parametrizes a family of related dynamical systems with a low-dimensional set of latent factors.
We show that HiP- RSSMs outperforms RSSMs and competing multi-task models on several challenging robotic benchmarks both on real-world systems and simulations.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-06-29T14:54:49Z) - Indeterminacy in Latent Variable Models: Characterization and Strong
Identifiability [3.959606869996233]
We construct a theoretical framework for analyzing the indeterminacies of latent variable models.
We then investigate how we might specify strongly identifiable latent variable models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-06-02T00:01:27Z) - Compositional Abstraction Error and a Category of Causal Models [2.291640606078406]
We argue that compositionality is a desideratum for model transformations and the associated errors.
We develop a framework for model transformations and abstractions with a notion of error that is compositional.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-03-29T16:48:12Z) - ICE-BeeM: Identifiable Conditional Energy-Based Deep Models Based on
Nonlinear ICA [11.919315372249802]
We consider the identifiability theory of probabilistic models.
We show that our model can be used for the estimation of the components in the framework of Independently Modulated Component Analysis.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-02-26T14:43:30Z) - A Critical View of the Structural Causal Model [89.43277111586258]
We show that one can identify the cause and the effect without considering their interaction at all.
We propose a new adversarial training method that mimics the disentangled structure of the causal model.
Our multidimensional method outperforms the literature methods on both synthetic and real world datasets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-02-23T22:52:28Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.