Online Time Series Anomaly Detection with State Space Gaussian Processes
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2201.06763v1
- Date: Tue, 18 Jan 2022 06:43:32 GMT
- Title: Online Time Series Anomaly Detection with State Space Gaussian Processes
- Authors: Christian Bock and Fran\c{c}ois-Xavier Aubet and Jan Gasthaus and
Andrey Kan and Ming Chen and Laurent Callot
- Abstract summary: R-ssGPFA is an unsupervised online anomaly detection model for uni- and multivariate time series.
For high-dimensional time series, we propose an extension of Gaussian process factor analysis to identify the common latent processes of the time series.
Our model's robustness is improved by using a simple to skip Kalman updates when encountering anomalous observations.
- Score: 12.483273106706623
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: We propose r-ssGPFA, an unsupervised online anomaly detection model for uni-
and multivariate time series building on the efficient state space formulation
of Gaussian processes. For high-dimensional time series, we propose an
extension of Gaussian process factor analysis to identify the common latent
processes of the time series, allowing us to detect anomalies efficiently in an
interpretable manner. We gain explainability while speeding up computations by
imposing an orthogonality constraint on the mapping from the latent to the
observed. Our model's robustness is improved by using a simple heuristic to
skip Kalman updates when encountering anomalous observations. We investigate
the behaviour of our model on synthetic data and show on standard benchmark
datasets that our method is competitive with state-of-the-art methods while
being computationally cheaper.
Related papers
- Point processes with event time uncertainty [16.64005584511643]
We introduce a framework to model time-uncertain point processes possibly on a network.
We experimentally show that the proposed approach outperforms previous General Linear model (GLM) baselines on simulated and real data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-11-05T00:46:09Z) - Graph Spatiotemporal Process for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly
Detection with Missing Values [67.76168547245237]
We introduce a novel framework called GST-Pro, which utilizes a graphtemporal process and anomaly scorer to detect anomalies.
Our experimental results show that the GST-Pro method can effectively detect anomalies in time series data and outperforms state-of-the-art methods.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-01-11T10:10:16Z) - Online Variational Sequential Monte Carlo [49.97673761305336]
We build upon the variational sequential Monte Carlo (VSMC) method, which provides computationally efficient and accurate model parameter estimation and Bayesian latent-state inference.
Online VSMC is capable of performing efficiently, entirely on-the-fly, both parameter estimation and particle proposal adaptation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-12-19T21:45:38Z) - Explainable Time Series Anomaly Detection using Masked Latent Generative Modeling [1.3927943269211591]
We present TimeVQVAE-AD, a novel time series anomaly detection method.
TimeVQVAE-AD achieves excellent detection accuracy while offering a superior level of explainability.
We provide our implementation on GitHub.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-21T11:59:16Z) - Numerically Stable Sparse Gaussian Processes via Minimum Separation
using Cover Trees [57.67528738886731]
We study the numerical stability of scalable sparse approximations based on inducing points.
For low-dimensional tasks such as geospatial modeling, we propose an automated method for computing inducing points satisfying these conditions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-14T15:20:17Z) - Sparse Algorithms for Markovian Gaussian Processes [18.999495374836584]
Sparse Markovian processes combine the use of inducing variables with efficient Kalman filter-likes recursion.
We derive a general site-based approach to approximate the non-Gaussian likelihood with local Gaussian terms, called sites.
Our approach results in a suite of novel sparse extensions to algorithms from both the machine learning and signal processing, including variational inference, expectation propagation, and the classical nonlinear Kalman smoothers.
The derived methods are suited to literature-temporal data, where the model has separate inducing points in both time and space.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-03-19T09:50:53Z) - Anomaly Detection of Time Series with Smoothness-Inducing Sequential
Variational Auto-Encoder [59.69303945834122]
We present a Smoothness-Inducing Sequential Variational Auto-Encoder (SISVAE) model for robust estimation and anomaly detection of time series.
Our model parameterizes mean and variance for each time-stamp with flexible neural networks.
We show the effectiveness of our model on both synthetic datasets and public real-world benchmarks.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-02-02T06:15:15Z) - The Connection between Discrete- and Continuous-Time Descriptions of
Gaussian Continuous Processes [60.35125735474386]
We show that discretizations yielding consistent estimators have the property of invariance under coarse-graining'
This result explains why combining differencing schemes for derivatives reconstruction and local-in-time inference approaches does not work for time series analysis of second or higher order differential equations.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-01-16T17:11:02Z) - Stochastically forced ensemble dynamic mode decomposition for
forecasting and analysis of near-periodic systems [65.44033635330604]
We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system.
We show that its use of intrinsic linear dynamics offers a number of desirable properties in terms of interpretability and parsimony.
Results are presented for a test case using load data from an electrical grid.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-10-08T20:25:52Z) - Fast Variational Learning in State-Space Gaussian Process Models [29.630197272150003]
We build upon an existing method called conjugate-computation variational inference.
We provide an efficient JAX implementation which exploits just-in-time compilation.
Our approach leads to fast and stable variational inference in state-space GP models that can be scaled to time series with millions of data points.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-07-09T12:06:34Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.