A Novel Application of Conditional Normalizing Flows: Stellar Age
Inference with Gyrochronology
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2307.08753v1
- Date: Mon, 17 Jul 2023 18:00:19 GMT
- Title: A Novel Application of Conditional Normalizing Flows: Stellar Age
Inference with Gyrochronology
- Authors: Phil Van-Lane (1), Joshua S. Speagle (2 and 1 and 3 and 4), Stephanie
Douglas (5) ((1) Department of Astronomy & Astrophysics, University of
Toronto, Canada, (2) Department of Statistical Sciences, University of
Toronto, Canada, (3) Dunlap Institute of Astronomy & Astrophysics, University
of Toronto, Canada, (4) Data Sciences Institute, University of Toronto,
Canada, (5) Department of Physics, Lafayette College, United States)
- Abstract summary: We show that a data-driven approach can constrain gyrochronological ages with a precision comparable to other standard techniques.
This work demonstrates the potential of a probabilistic data-driven solution to widen the applicability of gyrochronological stellar dating.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
- Abstract: Stellar ages are critical building blocks of evolutionary models, but
challenging to measure for low mass main sequence stars. An unexplored solution
in this regime is the application of probabilistic machine learning methods to
gyrochronology, a stellar dating technique that is uniquely well suited for
these stars. While accurate analytical gyrochronological models have proven
challenging to develop, here we apply conditional normalizing flows to
photometric data from open star clusters, and demonstrate that a data-driven
approach can constrain gyrochronological ages with a precision comparable to
other standard techniques. We evaluate the flow results in the context of a
Bayesian framework, and show that our inferred ages recover literature values
well. This work demonstrates the potential of a probabilistic data-driven
solution to widen the applicability of gyrochronological stellar dating.
Related papers
- von Mises Quasi-Processes for Bayesian Circular Regression [57.88921637944379]
We explore a family of expressive and interpretable distributions over circle-valued random functions.
The resulting probability model has connections with continuous spin models in statistical physics.
For posterior inference, we introduce a new Stratonovich-like augmentation that lends itself to fast Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-19T01:57:21Z) - Learning to Approximate Particle Smoothing Trajectories via Diffusion Generative Models [16.196738720721417]
Learning systems from sparse observations is critical in numerous fields, including biology, finance, and physics.
We introduce a method that integrates conditional particle filtering with ancestral sampling and diffusion models.
We demonstrate the approach in time-series generation and tasks, including vehicle tracking and single-cell RNA sequencing data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-01T21:54:01Z) - Diffusion posterior sampling for simulation-based inference in tall data settings [53.17563688225137]
Simulation-based inference ( SBI) is capable of approximating the posterior distribution that relates input parameters to a given observation.
In this work, we consider a tall data extension in which multiple observations are available to better infer the parameters of the model.
We compare our method to recently proposed competing approaches on various numerical experiments and demonstrate its superiority in terms of numerical stability and computational cost.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-04-11T09:23:36Z) - Aspects of scaling and scalability for flow-based sampling of lattice
QCD [137.23107300589385]
Recent applications of machine-learned normalizing flows to sampling in lattice field theory suggest that such methods may be able to mitigate critical slowing down and topological freezing.
It remains to be determined whether they can be applied to state-of-the-art lattice quantum chromodynamics calculations.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-11-14T17:07:37Z) - Explainable classification of astronomical uncertain time series [0.0]
We propose an uncertaintyaware subsequence based model which achieves a classification comparable to that of state-of-the-art methods.
Our approach is explainable-by-design, giving domain experts the ability to inspect the model and explain its predictions.
The dataset, the source code of our experiment, and the results are made available on a public repository.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-09-28T09:06:42Z) - Modelling stellar activity with Gaussian process regression networks [0.0]
Using HARPS-N solar spectroscopic observations, we demonstrate that this framework is capable of jointly modelling RV data and traditional stellar activity indicators.
We confirm the correlation between the RV and stellar activity time series reaches a maximum at separations of a few days, and find evidence of non-stationary behaviour in the time series.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-05-13T13:20:25Z) - Spherical Poisson Point Process Intensity Function Modeling and
Estimation with Measure Transport [0.20305676256390934]
We present a new approach for modeling non-homogeneous Poisson process intensity functions on the sphere.
The central idea of this framework is to build, and estimate, a flexible Bijective map that transforms the underlying intensity function of interest on the sphere into a simpler reference, intensity function, also on the sphere.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-01-24T06:46:22Z) - Leveraging Global Parameters for Flow-based Neural Posterior Estimation [90.21090932619695]
Inferring the parameters of a model based on experimental observations is central to the scientific method.
A particularly challenging setting is when the model is strongly indeterminate, i.e., when distinct sets of parameters yield identical observations.
We present a method for cracking such indeterminacy by exploiting additional information conveyed by an auxiliary set of observations sharing global parameters.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-02-12T12:23:13Z) - Goal-directed Generation of Discrete Structures with Conditional
Generative Models [85.51463588099556]
We introduce a novel approach to directly optimize a reinforcement learning objective, maximizing an expected reward.
We test our methodology on two tasks: generating molecules with user-defined properties and identifying short python expressions which evaluate to a given target value.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-10-05T20:03:13Z) - The Boomerang Sampler [4.588028371034406]
This paper introduces the Boomerang Sampler as a novel class of continuous-time non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms.
We demonstrate that the method is easy to implement and demonstrate empirically that it can out-perform existing benchmark piecewise deterministic Markov processes.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-24T14:52:22Z) - Localized active learning of Gaussian process state space models [63.97366815968177]
A globally accurate model is not required to achieve good performance in many common control applications.
We propose an active learning strategy for Gaussian process state space models that aims to obtain an accurate model on a bounded subset of the state-action space.
By employing model predictive control, the proposed technique integrates information collected during exploration and adaptively improves its exploration strategy.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-05-04T05:35:02Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.