Towards Stable Machine Learning Model Retraining via Slowly Varying Sequences

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2403.19871v4
• Date: Wed, 22 May 2024 19:15:23 GMT
• Title: Towards Stable Machine Learning Model Retraining via Slowly Varying Sequences
• Authors: Dimitris Bertsimas, Vassilis Digalakis Jr, Yu Ma, Phevos Paschalidis,
• Abstract summary: We propose a methodology for finding sequences of machine learning models that are stable across retraining iterations. We develop a mixed-integer optimization formulation that is guaranteed to recover optimal models. Our method shows stronger stability than greedily trained models with a small, controllable sacrifice in predictive power.
• Score: 6.067007470552307
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
• Abstract: We consider the task of retraining machine learning (ML) models when new batches of data become available. Existing methods focus largely on greedy approaches to find the best-performing model for each batch, without considering the stability of the model's structure across retraining iterations. In this study, we propose a methodology for finding sequences of ML models that are stable across retraining iterations. We develop a mixed-integer optimization formulation that is guaranteed to recover Pareto optimal models (in terms of the predictive power-stability trade-off) and an efficient polynomial-time algorithm that performs well in practice. We focus on retaining consistent analytical insights - which is important to model interpretability, ease of implementation, and fostering trust with users - by using custom-defined distance metrics that can be directly incorporated into the optimization problem. Our method shows stronger stability than greedily trained models with a small, controllable sacrifice in predictive power, as evidenced through a real-world case study in a major hospital system in Connecticut.

Related papers

• Towards Learning Stochastic Population Models by Gradient Descent [0.0]
  We show that simultaneous estimation of parameters and structure poses major challenges for optimization procedures. We demonstrate accurate estimation of models but find that enforcing the inference of parsimonious, interpretable models drastically increases the difficulty.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-04-10T14:38:58Z)
• Deep autoregressive density nets vs neural ensembles for model-based offline reinforcement learning [2.9158689853305693]
  We consider a model-based reinforcement learning algorithm that infers the system dynamics from the available data and performs policy optimization on imaginary model rollouts. This approach is vulnerable to exploiting model errors which can lead to catastrophic failures on the real system. We show that better performance can be obtained with a single well-calibrated autoregressive model on the D4RL benchmark.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-02-05T10:18:15Z)
• Maintaining Stability and Plasticity for Predictive Churn Reduction [8.971668467496055]
  We propose a solution called Accumulated Model Combination (AMC) AMC is a general technique and we propose several instances of it, each having their own advantages depending on the model and data properties.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2023-05-06T20:56:20Z)
• Dataless Knowledge Fusion by Merging Weights of Language Models [51.8162883997512]
  Fine-tuning pre-trained language models has become the prevalent paradigm for building downstream NLP models. This creates a barrier to fusing knowledge across individual models to yield a better single model. We propose a dataless knowledge fusion method that merges models in their parameter space.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2022-12-19T20:46:43Z)
• When to Update Your Model: Constrained Model-based Reinforcement Learning [50.74369835934703]
  We propose a novel and general theoretical scheme for a non-decreasing performance guarantee of model-based RL (MBRL) Our follow-up derived bounds reveal the relationship between model shifts and performance improvement. A further example demonstrates that learning models from a dynamically-varying number of explorations benefit the eventual returns.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2022-10-15T17:57:43Z)
• End-to-End Weak Supervision [15.125993628007972]
  We propose an end-to-end approach for directly learning the downstream model. We show improved performance over prior work in terms of end model performance on downstream test sets.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2021-07-05T19:10:11Z)
• Closed-form Continuous-Depth Models [99.40335716948101]
  Continuous-depth neural models rely on advanced numerical differential equation solvers. We present a new family of models, termed Closed-form Continuous-depth (CfC) networks, that are simple to describe and at least one order of magnitude faster.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2021-06-25T22:08:51Z)
• Modeling the Second Player in Distributionally Robust Optimization [90.25995710696425]
  We argue for the use of neural generative models to characterize the worst-case distribution. This approach poses a number of implementation and optimization challenges. We find that the proposed approach yields models that are more robust than comparable baselines.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2021-03-18T14:26:26Z)
• Model-based Policy Optimization with Unsupervised Model Adaptation [37.09948645461043]
  We investigate how to bridge the gap between real and simulated data due to inaccurate model estimation for better policy optimization. We propose a novel model-based reinforcement learning framework AMPO, which introduces unsupervised model adaptation. Our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance in terms of sample efficiency on a range of continuous control benchmark tasks.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2020-10-19T14:19:42Z)
• Control as Hybrid Inference [62.997667081978825]
  We present an implementation of CHI which naturally mediates the balance between iterative and amortised inference. We verify the scalability of our algorithm on a continuous control benchmark, demonstrating that it outperforms strong model-free and model-based baselines.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2020-07-11T19:44:09Z)
• Model-Augmented Actor-Critic: Backpropagating through Paths [81.86992776864729]
  Current model-based reinforcement learning approaches use the model simply as a learned black-box simulator. We show how to make more effective use of the model by exploiting its differentiability.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2020-05-16T19:18:10Z)

This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.

This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.