Robust Conformal Prediction Using Privileged Information

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2406.05405v2
• Date: Fri, 27 Sep 2024 06:45:13 GMT
• Title: Robust Conformal Prediction Using Privileged Information
• Authors: Shai Feldman, Yaniv Romano,
• Abstract summary: We develop a method to generate prediction sets with a guaranteed coverage rate that is robust to corruptions in the training data. Our approach builds on conformal prediction, a powerful framework to construct prediction sets that are valid under the i.i.d assumption.
• Score: 17.886554223172517
• License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
• Abstract: We develop a method to generate prediction sets with a guaranteed coverage rate that is robust to corruptions in the training data, such as missing or noisy variables. Our approach builds on conformal prediction, a powerful framework to construct prediction sets that are valid under the i.i.d assumption. Importantly, naively applying conformal prediction does not provide reliable predictions in this setting, due to the distribution shift induced by the corruptions. To account for the distribution shift, we assume access to privileged information (PI). The PI is formulated as additional features that explain the distribution shift, however, they are only available during training and absent at test time. We approach this problem by introducing a novel generalization of weighted conformal prediction and support our method with theoretical coverage guarantees. Empirical experiments on both real and synthetic datasets indicate that our approach achieves a valid coverage rate and constructs more informative predictions compared to existing methods, which are not supported by theoretical guarantees.

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