Sequential Kernelized Stein Discrepancy
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2409.17505v2
- Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2025 01:52:49 GMT
- Title: Sequential Kernelized Stein Discrepancy
- Authors: Diego Martinez-Taboada, Aaditya Ramdas,
- Abstract summary: sequential version of the kernelized Stein discrepancy goodness-of-fit test.<n>We exploit the potential boundedness of the Stein kernel at arbitrary point evaluations to define test martingales.
- Score: 29.43493007296859
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: We present a sequential version of the kernelized Stein discrepancy goodness-of-fit test, which allows for conducting goodness-of-fit tests for unnormalized densities that are continuously monitored and adaptively stopped. That is, the sample size need not be fixed prior to data collection; the practitioner can choose whether to stop the test or continue to gather evidence at any time while controlling the false discovery rate. In stark contrast to related literature, we do not impose uniform boundedness on the Stein kernel. Instead, we exploit the potential boundedness of the Stein kernel at arbitrary point evaluations to define test martingales, that give way to the subsequent novel sequential tests. We prove the validity of the test, as well as an asymptotic lower bound for the logarithmic growth of the wealth process under the alternative. We further illustrate the empirical performance of the test with a variety of distributions, including restricted Boltzmann machines.
Related papers
- The Polynomial Stein Discrepancy for Assessing Moment Convergence [1.0835264351334324]
We propose a novel method for measuring the discrepancy between a set of samples and a desired posterior distribution for Bayesian inference.
We show that the test has higher power than its competitors in several examples, and at a lower computational cost.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-12-06T15:51:04Z) - Sequential Predictive Two-Sample and Independence Testing [114.4130718687858]
We study the problems of sequential nonparametric two-sample and independence testing.
We build upon the principle of (nonparametric) testing by betting.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-29T01:30:33Z) - Near-Optimal Non-Parametric Sequential Tests and Confidence Sequences
with Possibly Dependent Observations [44.71254888821376]
We provide the first type-I-error and expected-rejection-time guarantees under general non-data generating processes.
We show how to apply our results to inference on parameters defined by estimating equations, such as average treatment effects.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-12-29T18:37:08Z) - Sequential Kernelized Independence Testing [101.22966794822084]
We design sequential kernelized independence tests inspired by kernelized dependence measures.
We demonstrate the power of our approaches on both simulated and real data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-12-14T18:08:42Z) - Shortcomings of Top-Down Randomization-Based Sanity Checks for
Evaluations of Deep Neural Network Explanations [67.40641255908443]
We identify limitations of model-randomization-based sanity checks for the purpose of evaluating explanations.
Top-down model randomization preserves scales of forward pass activations with high probability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-11-22T18:52:38Z) - Kernel Robust Hypothesis Testing [20.78285964841612]
In this paper, uncertainty sets are constructed in a data-driven manner using kernel method.
The goal is to design a test that performs well under the worst-case distributions over the uncertainty sets.
For the Neyman-Pearson setting, the goal is to minimize the worst-case probability of miss detection subject to a constraint on the worst-case probability of false alarm.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-03-23T23:59:03Z) - KSD Aggregated Goodness-of-fit Test [38.45086141837479]
We introduce a strategy to construct a test, called KSDAgg, which aggregates multiple tests with different kernels.
We provide non-asymptotic guarantees on the power of KSDAgg.
We find that KSDAgg outperforms other state-of-the-art adaptive KSD-based goodness-of-fit testing procedures.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-02-02T00:33:09Z) - Tracking disease outbreaks from sparse data with Bayesian inference [55.82986443159948]
The COVID-19 pandemic provides new motivation for estimating the empirical rate of transmission during an outbreak.
Standard methods struggle to accommodate the partial observability and sparse data common at finer scales.
We propose a Bayesian framework which accommodates partial observability in a principled manner.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-09-12T20:37:33Z) - Kernelized Stein Discrepancy Tests of Goodness-of-fit for Time-to-Event
Data [24.442094864838225]
We propose a collection of kernelized Stein discrepancy tests for time-to-event data.
Our experimental results show that our proposed methods perform better than existing tests.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-08-19T12:27:43Z) - Cross-validation Confidence Intervals for Test Error [83.67415139421448]
This work develops central limit theorems for crossvalidation and consistent estimators of its variance under weak stability conditions on the learning algorithm.
Results are the first of their kind for the popular choice of leave-one-out cross-validation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-07-24T17:40:06Z) - Nonparametric Score Estimators [49.42469547970041]
Estimating the score from a set of samples generated by an unknown distribution is a fundamental task in inference and learning of probabilistic models.
We provide a unifying view of these estimators under the framework of regularized nonparametric regression.
We propose score estimators based on iterative regularization that enjoy computational benefits from curl-free kernels and fast convergence.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-05-20T15:01:03Z) - Noisy Adaptive Group Testing using Bayesian Sequential Experimental
Design [63.48989885374238]
When the infection prevalence of a disease is low, Dorfman showed 80 years ago that testing groups of people can prove more efficient than testing people individually.
Our goal in this paper is to propose new group testing algorithms that can operate in a noisy setting.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-04-26T23:41:33Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.