Double Debiased Machine Learning for Mediation Analysis with Continuous Treatments
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2503.06156v1
- Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2025 10:46:47 GMT
- Title: Double Debiased Machine Learning for Mediation Analysis with Continuous Treatments
- Authors: Houssam Zenati, Judith Abécassis, Julie Josse, Bertrand Thirion,
- Abstract summary: We propose a machine learning algorithm for mediation analysis that supports continuous treatments.<n>We provide a numerical evaluation of our approach on a simulation along with an application to real-world medical data to analyze the effect of glycemic control on cognitive functions.
- Score: 38.70412001488559
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Uncovering causal mediation effects is of significant value to practitioners seeking to isolate the direct treatment effect from the potential mediated effect. We propose a double machine learning (DML) algorithm for mediation analysis that supports continuous treatments. To estimate the target mediated response curve, our method uses a kernel-based doubly robust moment function for which we prove asymptotic Neyman orthogonality. This allows us to obtain asymptotic normality with nonparametric convergence rate while allowing for nonparametric or parametric estimation of the nuisance parameters. We then derive an optimal bandwidth strategy along with a procedure for estimating asymptotic confidence intervals. Finally, to illustrate the benefits of our method, we provide a numerical evaluation of our approach on a simulation along with an application to real-world medical data to analyze the effect of glycemic control on cognitive functions.
Related papers
- Doubly Robust Inference on Causal Derivative Effects for Continuous Treatments [5.151880096713011]
We investigate nonparametric inference on the derivative of the dose-response curve with and without the positivity condition.<n>We propose a doubly robust (DR) inference method for estimating the derivative of the dose-response curve using kernel smoothing.<n>In all settings, our DR estimators achieves normality at the standard nonparametric rate of convergence.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-12T23:00:16Z) - Logarithmic Neyman Regret for Adaptive Estimation of the Average Treatment Effect [36.25361703897723]
Estimation of the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a core problem in causal inference with strong connections to Off-Policy Evaluation in Reinforcement Learning.
This paper considers the problem of adaptively selecting the treatment allocation probability in order to improve estimation of the ATE.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-11-21T17:38:49Z) - Semiparametric inference for impulse response functions using double/debiased machine learning [49.1574468325115]
We introduce a machine learning estimator for the impulse response function (IRF) in settings where a time series of interest is subjected to multiple discrete treatments.
The proposed estimator can rely on fully nonparametric relations between treatment and outcome variables, opening up the possibility to use flexible machine learning approaches to estimate IRFs.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-11-15T07:42:02Z) - Statistical Inference for Temporal Difference Learning with Linear Function Approximation [62.69448336714418]
We study the consistency properties of TD learning with Polyak-Ruppert averaging and linear function approximation.<n>First, we derive a novel high-dimensional probability convergence guarantee that depends explicitly on the variance and holds under weak conditions.<n>We further establish refined high-dimensional Berry-Esseen bounds over the class of convex sets that guarantee faster rates than those in the literature.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-21T15:34:44Z) - Individualized Multi-Treatment Response Curves Estimation using RBF-net with Shared Neurons [1.1119247609126184]
Our non-parametric modeling of the response curves relies on radial basis function (RBF)-nets with shared hidden neurons.
Applying our proposed method to MIMIC data, we obtain several interesting findings related to the impact of different treatment strategies on the length of ICU stay and 12-hour SOFA score for sepsis patients who are home-discharged.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-01-29T21:13:01Z) - Nonparametric estimation of a covariate-adjusted counterfactual
treatment regimen response curve [2.7446241148152253]
Flexible estimation of the mean outcome under a treatment regimen is a key step toward personalized medicine.
We propose an inverse probability weighted nonparametrically efficient estimator of the smoothed regimen-response curve function.
Some finite-sample properties are explored with simulations.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-09-28T01:46:24Z) - Provably Efficient Bayesian Optimization with Unknown Gaussian Process Hyperparameter Estimation [44.53678257757108]
We propose a new BO method that can sub-linearly converge to the objective function's global optimum.
Our method uses a multi-armed bandit technique (EXP3) to add random data points to the BO process.
We demonstrate empirically that our method outperforms existing approaches on various synthetic and real-world problems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-06-12T03:35:45Z) - Off-policy estimation of linear functionals: Non-asymptotic theory for
semi-parametric efficiency [59.48096489854697]
The problem of estimating a linear functional based on observational data is canonical in both the causal inference and bandit literatures.
We prove non-asymptotic upper bounds on the mean-squared error of such procedures.
We establish its instance-dependent optimality in finite samples via matching non-asymptotic local minimax lower bounds.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-09-26T23:50:55Z) - Sequential Kernel Embedding for Mediated and Time-Varying Dose Response
Curves [26.880628841819004]
We propose simple nonparametric estimators for mediated and time-varying dose response curves based on kernel ridge regression.
Our key innovation is a reproducing kernel Hilbert space technique called sequential kernel embedding.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-11-06T19:51:39Z) - Variance-Aware Off-Policy Evaluation with Linear Function Approximation [85.75516599931632]
We study the off-policy evaluation problem in reinforcement learning with linear function approximation.
We propose an algorithm, VA-OPE, which uses the estimated variance of the value function to reweight the Bellman residual in Fitted Q-Iteration.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-06-22T17:58:46Z) - MINIMALIST: Mutual INformatIon Maximization for Amortized Likelihood
Inference from Sampled Trajectories [61.3299263929289]
Simulation-based inference enables learning the parameters of a model even when its likelihood cannot be computed in practice.
One class of methods uses data simulated with different parameters to infer an amortized estimator for the likelihood-to-evidence ratio.
We show that this approach can be formulated in terms of mutual information between model parameters and simulated data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-06-03T12:59:16Z) - Causal Inference of General Treatment Effects using Neural Networks with
A Diverging Number of Confounders [12.105996764226227]
Under the unconfoundedness condition, adjustment for confounders requires estimating the nuisance functions relating outcome or treatment to confounders nonparametrically.
This paper considers a generalized optimization framework for efficient estimation of general treatment effects using artificial neural networks (ANNs) to approximate the unknown nuisance function of growing-dimensional confounders.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-09-15T13:07:24Z) - A Coupled Manifold Optimization Framework to Jointly Model the
Functional Connectomics and Behavioral Data Spaces [5.382679710017696]
We propose a coupled manifold optimization framework which projects fMRI data onto a low dimensional matrix manifold common to the cohort.
The patient specific loadings simultaneously map onto a behavioral measure of interest via a second, non-linear, manifold.
We validate our framework on resting state fMRI from fifty-eight patients with Autism Spectrum Disorder.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-07-03T20:12:51Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.