Dynamic Modes as Time Representation for Spatiotemporal Forecasting

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2506.01212v1
• Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2025 23:16:39 GMT
• Title: Dynamic Modes as Time Representation for Spatiotemporal Forecasting
• Authors: Menglin Kong, Vincent Zhihao Zheng, Xudong Wang, Lijun Sun,
• Abstract summary: The proposed approach employs Dynamic Modecomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly from observed data.<n>Experiments on urban mobility, highway traffic, and climate show that the DMD-based embedding consistently improves long-horizon forecasting accuracy, reduces residual correlation, and enhances temporal generalization.
• Score: 19.551966701918236
• License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
• Abstract: This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly from observed data, eliminating the need for explicit timestamps or hand-crafted time features. These temporal modes serve as time representations that can be seamlessly integrated into deep spatiotemporal forecasting models. Unlike conventional embeddings such as time-of-day indicators or sinusoidal functions, our method captures complex multi-scale periodicity through spectral analysis of spatiotemporal data. Extensive experiments on urban mobility, highway traffic, and climate datasets demonstrate that the DMD-based embedding consistently improves long-horizon forecasting accuracy, reduces residual correlation, and enhances temporal generalization. The method is lightweight, model-agnostic, and compatible with any architecture that incorporates time covariates.

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