Quantifying Holistic Review: A Multi-Modal Approach to College Admissions Prediction
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2507.15862v2
- Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2025 03:00:48 GMT
- Title: Quantifying Holistic Review: A Multi-Modal Approach to College Admissions Prediction
- Abstract summary: Comprehensive Applicant Profile Score (CAPS) is a novel framework designed to quantitatively model and interpret holistic college admissions evaluations.<n>CAPS decomposes applicant profiles into three interpretable components: academic performance, essay quality, and extracurricular engagement.
- Score: 1.9594639581421427
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: This paper introduces the Comprehensive Applicant Profile Score (CAPS), a novel multi-modal framework designed to quantitatively model and interpret holistic college admissions evaluations. CAPS decomposes applicant profiles into three interpretable components: academic performance (Standardized Academic Score, SAS), essay quality (Essay Quality Index, EQI), and extracurricular engagement (Extracurricular Impact Score, EIS). Leveraging transformer-based semantic embeddings, LLM scoring, and XGBoost regression, CAPS provides transparent and explainable evaluations aligned with human judgment. Experiments on a synthetic but realistic dataset demonstrate strong performance, achieving an EQI prediction R^2 of 0.80, classification accuracy over 75%, a macro F1 score of 0.69, and a weighted F1 score of 0.74. CAPS addresses key limitations in traditional holistic review -- particularly the opacity, inconsistency, and anxiety faced by applicants -- thus paving the way for more equitable and data-informed admissions practices.
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