Directly Learning Stock Trading Strategies Through Profit Guided Loss Functions

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2507.19639v1
• Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2025 19:22:05 GMT
• Title: Directly Learning Stock Trading Strategies Through Profit Guided Loss Functions
• Authors: Devroop Kar, Zimeng Lyu, Sheeraja Rajakrishnan, Hao Zhang, Alex Ororbia, Travis Desell, Daniel Krutz,
• Abstract summary: We propose four novel loss functions to drive decision-making for a portfolio of stocks.<n>These functions account for the potential profits or losses based with respect to buying or shorting respective stocks.<n>Despite the high volatility in stock market fluctuations over time, training time-series models resulted in trading strategies that generated significant profits.
• Score: 6.209778959431366
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Abstract: Stock trading has always been a challenging task due to the highly volatile nature of the stock market. Making sound trading decisions to generate profit is particularly difficult under such conditions. To address this, we propose four novel loss functions to drive decision-making for a portfolio of stocks. These functions account for the potential profits or losses based with respect to buying or shorting respective stocks, enabling potentially any artificial neural network to directly learn an effective trading strategy. Despite the high volatility in stock market fluctuations over time, training time-series models such as transformers on these loss functions resulted in trading strategies that generated significant profits on a portfolio of 50 different S&P 500 company stocks as compared to a benchmark reinforcment learning techniques and a baseline buy and hold method. As an example, using 2021, 2022 and 2023 as three test periods, the Crossformer model adapted with our best loss function was most consistent, resulting in returns of 51.42%, 51.04% and 48.62% respectively. In comparison, the best performing state-of-the-art reinforcement learning methods, PPO and DDPG, only delivered maximum profits of around 41%, 2.81% and 41.58% for the same periods. The code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/bandit-stock-trading-58C8/README.md.

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