The Window Dilemma: Why Concept Drift Detection is Ill-Posed

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2602.06456v1
• Date: Fri, 06 Feb 2026 07:39:47 GMT
• Title: The Window Dilemma: Why Concept Drift Detection is Ill-Posed
• Authors: Brandon Gower-Winter, Misja Groen, Georg Krempl,
• Abstract summary: Non-stationarity of an underlying data generating process is a key characteristic of Data Streams.<n>Concept Drift Detectors have been established as a class of methods for detecting such changes (drifts)<n>In this work, we introduce the Window Dilemma, an observation that perceived drift is a product of windowing and not necessarily the underlying data generating process.
• Score: 1.0499611180329804
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Abstract: Non-stationarity of an underlying data generating process that leads to distributional changes over time is a key characteristic of Data Streams. This phenomenon, commonly referred to as Concept Drift, has been intensively studied, and Concept Drift Detectors have been established as a class of methods for detecting such changes (drifts). For the most part, Drift Detectors compare regions (windows) of the data stream and detect drift if those windows are sufficiently dissimilar. In this work, we introduce the Window Dilemma, an observation that perceived drift is a product of windowing and not necessarily the underlying data generating process. Additionally, we highlight that drift detection is ill-posed, primarily because verification of drift events are implausible in practice. We demonstrate these contributions first by an illustrative example, followed by empirical comparisons of drift detectors against a variety of alternative adaptation strategies. Our main finding is that traditional batch learning techniques often perform better than their drift-aware counterparts further bringing into question the purpose of detectors in Stream Classification.

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