AILS-NTUA at SemEval-2026 Task 12: Graph-Based Retrieval and Reflective Prompting for Abductive Event Reasoning
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2603.04319v1
- Date: Wed, 04 Mar 2026 17:38:52 GMT
- Title: AILS-NTUA at SemEval-2026 Task 12: Graph-Based Retrieval and Reflective Prompting for Abductive Event Reasoning
- Abstract summary: We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task12: Abductive Event Reasoning.<n>Our system ranks first on the evaluation-phase leaderboard with an accuracy score of 0.95.
- Score: 14.20669481486209
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
- Abstract: We present a winning three-stage system for SemEval 2026 Task~12: Abductive Event Reasoning that combines graph-based retrieval, LLM-driven abductive reasoning with prompt design optimized through reflective prompt evolution, and post-hoc consistency enforcement; our system ranks first on the evaluation-phase leaderboard with an accuracy score of 0.95. Cross-model error analysis across 14 models (7~families) reveals three shared inductive biases: causal chain incompleteness, proximate cause preference, and salience bias, whose cross-family convergence (51\% cause-count reduction) indicates systematic rather than model-specific failure modes in multi-label causal reasoning.
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