LogitScope: A Framework for Analyzing LLM Uncertainty Through Information Metrics
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2603.24929v1
- Date: Thu, 26 Mar 2026 01:46:24 GMT
- Title: LogitScope: A Framework for Analyzing LLM Uncertainty Through Information Metrics
- Abstract summary: LogitScope is a lightweight framework for analyzing large language model (LLM) uncertainty.<n>By measuring metrics such as entropy and varentropy at each generation step, LogitScope reveals patterns in model confidence.<n>We demonstrate LogitScope's utility across diverse applications including uncertainty, model behavior analysis, and production monitoring.
- Score: 1.4864875802856898
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Understanding and quantifying uncertainty in large language model (LLM) outputs is critical for reliable deployment. However, traditional evaluation approaches provide limited insight into model confidence at individual token positions during generation. To address this issue, we introduce LogitScope, a lightweight framework for analyzing LLM uncertainty through token-level information metrics computed from probability distributions. By measuring metrics such as entropy and varentropy at each generation step, LogitScope reveals patterns in model confidence, identifies potential hallucinations, and exposes decision points where models exhibit high uncertainty, all without requiring labeled data or semantic interpretation. We demonstrate LogitScope's utility across diverse applications including uncertainty quantification, model behavior analysis, and production monitoring. The framework is model-agnostic, computationally efficient through lazy evaluation, and compatible with any HuggingFace model, enabling both researchers and practitioners to inspect LLM behavior during inference.
Related papers
- Latent Performance Profiling of Large Language Models [47.009623327601226]
We introduce Latent Performance Profiling (LPP) -- a framework that derives task-agnostic diagnostics from hidden activations and output distributions.<n>Unlike static accuracy scores, LPP provides stable, architecture-sensitive signatures across models of similar size.<n>We show that models with similar benchmark scores can exhibit contrasting latent profiles, such as differences in entropy or adaptability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-05-28T14:41:26Z) - Quantifying Aleatoric Uncertainty of In-Context Learning for Robust Measure of LLM Prediction Confidence [6.28866496877782]
In-Context Learning (ICL) allows LLMs to adapt to new tasks from a few demonstrations, but its reliability remains a concern.<n>We introduce a concept of self-function vectors, built upon Bayesian views and the mechanistic interpretability of ICL.<n>These vectors leverage internal model representations to model the latent concept learned during in-context prompting.<n>We show that our proposed methodology can measure uncertainty of LLM predictions more reliably than existing alternative methods.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-04-28T09:47:40Z) - HIP-LLM: A Hierarchical Imprecise Probability Approach to Reliability Assessment of Large Language Models [10.864272918260754]
Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed across diverse domains, raising the need for rigorous reliability assessment methods.<n>This paper introduces HIP-LLM, a Hierarchical Imprecise Probability framework for modeling and inferring LLM reliability.<n> experiments on multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate that HIP-LLM offers a more accurate and standardized reliability characterization than existing benchmark and state-of-the-art approaches.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-11-01T12:04:30Z) - Can LLMs Detect Their Confabulations? Estimating Reliability in Uncertainty-Aware Language Models [24.72990207218907]
Large Language Models (LLMs) are prone to generating fluent but incorrect content, known as confabulation.<n>We investigate how in-context information influences model behavior and whether LLMs can identify their unreliable responses.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-08-11T16:12:36Z) - FACT-AUDIT: An Adaptive Multi-Agent Framework for Dynamic Fact-Checking Evaluation of Large Language Models [79.41859481668618]
Large Language Models (LLMs) have significantly advanced the fact-checking studies.<n>Existing automated fact-checking evaluation methods rely on static datasets and classification metrics.<n>We introduce FACT-AUDIT, an agent-driven framework that adaptively and dynamically assesses LLMs' fact-checking capabilities.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-02-25T07:44:22Z) - Detecting LLM Hallucination Through Layer-wise Information Deficiency: Analysis of Ambiguous Prompts and Unanswerable Questions [60.31496362993982]
Large language models (LLMs) frequently generate confident yet inaccurate responses.<n>We present a novel, test-time approach to detecting model hallucination through systematic analysis of information flow.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-12-13T16:14:49Z) - Cycles of Thought: Measuring LLM Confidence through Stable Explanations [53.15438489398938]
Large language models (LLMs) can reach and even surpass human-level accuracy on a variety of benchmarks, but their overconfidence in incorrect responses is still a well-documented failure mode.
We propose a framework for measuring an LLM's uncertainty with respect to the distribution of generated explanations for an answer.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-05T16:35:30Z) - Decomposing Uncertainty for Large Language Models through Input Clarification Ensembling [69.83976050879318]
In large language models (LLMs), identifying sources of uncertainty is an important step toward improving reliability, trustworthiness, and interpretability.
In this paper, we introduce an uncertainty decomposition framework for LLMs, called input clarification ensembling.
Our approach generates a set of clarifications for the input, feeds them into an LLM, and ensembles the corresponding predictions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-15T05:58:35Z) - Variable Importance Matching for Causal Inference [73.25504313552516]
We describe a general framework called Model-to-Match that achieves these goals.
Model-to-Match uses variable importance measurements to construct a distance metric.
We operationalize the Model-to-Match framework with LASSO.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-02-23T00:43:03Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.