Transformers Learn Latent Mixture Models In-Context via Mirror Descent
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2604.10848v1
- Date: Sun, 12 Apr 2026 22:45:43 GMT
- Title: Transformers Learn Latent Mixture Models In-Context via Mirror Descent
- Abstract summary: Sequence modelling requires determining which past tokens are causally relevant from the context and their importance.<n>We introduce a framework based on Mixture of Transition Distributions, where a latent variable determines the influence of past tokens on the next.<n>We demonstrate that transformers can implement Mirror Descent to learn these weights from the context.
- Score: 36.758716760573215
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Sequence modelling requires determining which past tokens are causally relevant from the context and their importance: a process inherent to the attention layers in transformers, yet whose underlying learned mechanisms remain poorly understood. In this work, we formalize the task of estimating token importance as an in-context learning problem by introducing a framework based on Mixture of Transition Distributions, where a latent variable determines the influence of past tokens on the next. The distribution over this latent variable is parameterized by unobserved mixture weights that transformers must learn in-context. We demonstrate that transformers can implement Mirror Descent to learn these weights from the context. Specifically, we give an explicit construction of a three-layer transformer that exactly implements one step of Mirror Descent and prove that the resulting estimator is a first-order approximation of the Bayes-optimal predictor. Corroborating our construction and its learnability via gradient descent, we empirically show that transformers trained from scratch learn solutions consistent with our theory: their predictive distributions, attention patterns, and learned transition matrix closely match the construction, while deeper models achieve performance comparable to multi-step Mirror Descent.
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