Self-Supervised ConvLSTM for Fermi Large Area Telescope Transient Detection
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2605.22112v1
- Date: Thu, 21 May 2026 07:45:54 GMT
- Title: Self-Supervised ConvLSTM for Fermi Large Area Telescope Transient Detection
- Abstract summary: We present a framework for detecting transient gamma-ray phenomena in a controlled environment by combining end-to-end simulations of the Fermi-LAT sky with self-supervised deep learning.<n>We generate a ten-year synthetic Universe with gtobssim and process the simulated events into daily all-sky maps of exposure counts.<n>We employ a ConvLSTM network that operates directly on sequences map sequences, preserving spatial locality while learning temporal dependencies.
- Score: 29.577755639815027
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
- Abstract: We present a framework for detecting transient gamma-ray phenomena in a controlled environment by combining end-to-end simulations of the Fermi-LAT sky with self-supervised spatio-temporal deep learning. We generate a ten-year synthetic Universe with gtobssim and process the simulated events into daily all-sky maps of counts and exposure, obtaining a time-ordered sequence that mirrors the structure of Fermi-LAT observations. To model the nominal evolution of the sky, we employ a Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) network that operates directly on map sequences, preserving spatial locality while learning temporal dependencies. The model is trained to reconstruct expected emission, and departures from the learned baseline are quantified through pixel-wise mean-squared residual maps. We then define statistically motivated anomaly criteria by estimating per-pixel thresholds from the residual distribution on the training set, and we enforce spatial coherence via local filtering to suppress isolated fluctuations. The ConvLSTM is then deployed as trained predictor on Fermi-LAT daily maps, where the sky can depart from the nominal behavior because of genuine astrophysical variability and instrumental non-stationarities. The resulting pipeline flags localized, time-dependent excesses consistent with high-variable sources or transient events (e.g., flares or GRBs) and provides a benchmark for evaluating anomaly-detection strategies on long-duration, Fermi-LAT-like datasets.
Related papers
- Learning Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models from Pure Synthetic Data [85.23980441738811]
NeoST is a scalable synthetic-training corpus to real-world bias, a latent-space reasoning architecture that generates and iteratively refines multiple future trajectories, and latent-space objectives that emphasize structural dynamics and enable inference-time correction under distribution shifts.<n>Extensive experiments across diverse real-world benchmarks show that NeoST consistently outperforms existing STFMs in diverse real-worldtemporal systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-06-27T02:56:46Z) - Unified Geometry-Guided ML-FTLE for Tracking Transient Chaos from Scalar Time Series [0.0]
We propose a geometry-guided machine learning framework that unifies predictive trajectory divergence with macroscopic attractor morphology to track abrupt regime shifts.<n>This equation-free framework provides a highly accurate, noise-resilient diagnostic for monitoring structural transitions in complex non-stationary systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-06-05T15:22:57Z) - Degeneracy-Resilient Teach and Repeat for Geometrically Challenging Environments Using FMCW Lidar [18.593167038234828]
Teach and Repeat (T&R) topometric navigation enables robots to autonomously repeat previously traversed paths without relying on GPS.<n>We present a degeneracy-resilient Frequency-Modulated Continuous-Wave lidar T&R navigation system consisting of Doppler velocity-based odometry and degeneracy-aware scan-to-map localization.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-03-10T21:57:08Z) - Decorrelating the Future: Joint Frequency Domain Learning for Spatio-temporal Forecasting [2.502143380601666]
We propose a frequency-enhanced training objective that extends supervision to the model-temporal spectrum.<n>FreST aligns predictions with ground truth in a unified spectral domain, effectively decorrelating complex dependencies across both space and time.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-02-13T20:42:49Z) - From Observations to States: Latent Time Series Forecasting [65.98504021691666]
We propose Latent Time Series Forecasting (LatentTSF), a novel paradigm that shifts TSF from observation regression to latent state prediction.<n>Specifically, LatentTSF employs an AutoEncoder to project observations at each time step into a higher-dimensional latent state space.<n>Our proposed latent objectives implicitly maximize mutual information between predicted latent states and ground-truth states and observations.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-01-30T20:39:44Z) - Quantizing Space and Time: Fusing Time Series and Images for Earth Observation [4.012968772806928]
We propose a task-agnostic framework for multimodal fusion of time series and single timestamp images.<n>Our approach explores deterministic and learned strategies for time series quantization.<n>Our model generates consistent global temperature profiles from satellite imagery.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-10-27T08:38:52Z) - Context-aware gate set tomography: Improving the self-consistent characterization of trapped-ion universal gate sets by leveraging non-Markovianity [45.88028371034407]
Gate set tomography ( GST) estimates the complete set of noisy quantum gates, state preparations, and measurements.<n>In its original incarnation, GST improves the estimation precision by applying the gates sequentially.<n>We show that context dependence can be incorporated in the parametrization of the gate set, allowing us to reduce the sampling cost of GST.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-07-03T11:37:36Z) - Multivariate Long-term Time Series Forecasting with Fourier Neural Filter [42.60778405812048]
We introduce FNF as the backbone and DBD as architecture to provide excellent learning capabilities and optimal learning pathways for spatial-temporal modeling.<n>We show that FNF unifies local time-domain and global frequency-domain information processing within a single backbone that extends naturally to spatial modeling.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-10T18:40:20Z) - Whenever, Wherever: Towards Orchestrating Crowd Simulations with Spatio-Temporal Spawn Dynamics [65.72663487116439]
We propose nTPP-GMM that models spawn-temporal spawn dynamics using Neural Temporal Point Processes.<n>We evaluate our approach by simulations of three diverse real-world datasets with nTPP-GMM.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-03-20T18:46:41Z) - Cross Space and Time: A Spatio-Temporal Unitized Model for Traffic Flow Forecasting [16.782154479264126]
Predicting backbone-temporal traffic flow presents challenges due to complex interactions between temporal factors.
Existing approaches address these dimensions in isolation, neglecting their critical interdependencies.
In this paper, we introduce Sanonymous-Temporal Unitized Unitized Cell (ASTUC), a unified framework designed to capture both spatial and temporal dependencies.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-11-14T07:34:31Z) - Convergence of Score-Based Discrete Diffusion Models: A Discrete-Time Analysis [56.442307356162864]
We study the theoretical aspects of score-based discrete diffusion models under the Continuous Time Markov Chain (CTMC) framework.<n>We introduce a discrete-time sampling algorithm in the general state space $[S]d$ that utilizes score estimators at predefined time points.<n>Our convergence analysis employs a Girsanov-based method and establishes key properties of the discrete score function.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-03T09:07:13Z) - Attractor Memory for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting: A Chaos Perspective [63.60312929416228]
textbftextitAttraos incorporates chaos theory into long-term time series forecasting.
We show that Attraos outperforms various LTSF methods on mainstream datasets and chaotic datasets with only one-twelfth of the parameters compared to PatchTST.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-18T05:35:01Z) - Online Time Series Anomaly Detection with State Space Gaussian Processes [12.483273106706623]
R-ssGPFA is an unsupervised online anomaly detection model for uni- and multivariate time series.
For high-dimensional time series, we propose an extension of Gaussian process factor analysis to identify the common latent processes of the time series.
Our model's robustness is improved by using a simple to skip Kalman updates when encountering anomalous observations.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-01-18T06:43:32Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.