confidence-planner: Easy-to-Use Prediction Confidence Estimation and Sample Size Planning

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2301.05702v1
• Date: Thu, 12 Jan 2023 14:49:59 GMT
• Title: confidence-planner: Easy-to-Use Prediction Confidence Estimation and Sample Size Planning
• Authors: Antoni Klorek, Karol Roszak, Izabela Szczech, Dariusz Brzezinski
• Abstract summary: We present an easy-to-use python package and web application for estimating prediction confidence intervals. The package offers eight different procedures to determine and justify the sample size and confidence of predictions.
• Score: 3.0969191504482247
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Abstract: Machine learning applications, especially in the fields of me\-di\-cine and social sciences, are slowly being subjected to increasing scrutiny. Similarly to sample size planning performed in clinical and social studies, lawmakers and funding agencies may expect statistical uncertainty estimations in machine learning applications that impact society. In this paper, we present an easy-to-use python package and web application for estimating prediction confidence intervals. The package offers eight different procedures to determine and justify the sample size and confidence of predictions from holdout, bootstrap, cross-validation, and progressive validation experiments. Since the package builds directly on established data analysis libraries, it seamlessly integrates into preprocessing and exploratory data analysis steps. Code related to this paper is available at: https://github.com/dabrze/confidence-planner.

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