Kinematics-aware Trajectory Generation and Prediction with Latent Stochastic Differential Modeling
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2309.09317v2
- Date: Fri, 22 Mar 2024 18:59:15 GMT
- Title: Kinematics-aware Trajectory Generation and Prediction with Latent Stochastic Differential Modeling
- Authors: Ruochen Jiao, Yixuan Wang, Xiangguo Liu, Chao Huang, Qi Zhu,
- Abstract summary: Trajectory generation and trajectory prediction are critical tasks in autonomous driving.
Deep learning-based methods have shown great promise for these two tasks in learning various traffic scenarios.
However, it remains a challenging problem for these methods to ensure that the generated/predicted trajectories are physically realistic.
- Score: 12.338614299403305
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Trajectory generation and trajectory prediction are two critical tasks in autonomous driving, which generate various trajectories for testing during development and predict the trajectories of surrounding vehicles during operation, respectively. In recent years, emerging data-driven deep learning-based methods have shown great promise for these two tasks in learning various traffic scenarios and improving average performance without assuming physical models. However, it remains a challenging problem for these methods to ensure that the generated/predicted trajectories are physically realistic. This challenge arises because learning-based approaches often function as opaque black boxes and do not adhere to physical laws. Conversely, existing model-based methods provide physically feasible results but are constrained by predefined model structures, limiting their capabilities to address complex scenarios. To address the limitations of these two types of approaches, we propose a new method that integrates kinematic knowledge into neural stochastic differential equations (SDE) and designs a variational autoencoder based on this latent kinematics-aware SDE (LK-SDE) to generate vehicle motions. Experimental results demonstrate that our method significantly outperforms both model-based and learning-based baselines in producing physically realistic and precisely controllable vehicle trajectories. Additionally, it performs well in predicting unobservable physical variables in the latent space.
Related papers
- Exploring Model Transferability through the Lens of Potential Energy [78.60851825944212]
Transfer learning has become crucial in computer vision tasks due to the vast availability of pre-trained deep learning models.
Existing methods for measuring the transferability of pre-trained models rely on statistical correlations between encoded static features and task labels.
We present an insightful physics-inspired approach named PED to address these challenges.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-08-29T07:15:57Z) - How to Learn and Generalize From Three Minutes of Data:
Physics-Constrained and Uncertainty-Aware Neural Stochastic Differential
Equations [24.278738290287293]
We present a framework and algorithms to learn controlled dynamics models using neural differential equations (SDEs)
We construct the drift term to leverage a priori physics knowledge as inductive bias, and we design the diffusion term to represent a distance-aware estimate of the uncertainty in the learned model's predictions.
We demonstrate these capabilities through experiments on simulated robotic systems, as well as by using them to model and control a hexacopter's flight dynamics.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-06-10T02:33:34Z) - Evaluation of Differentially Constrained Motion Models for Graph-Based
Trajectory Prediction [1.1947990549568765]
This research investigates the performance of various motion models in combination with numerical solvers for the prediction task.
The study shows that simpler models, such as low-order integrator models, are preferred over more complex, e.g., kinematic models, to achieve accurate predictions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-11T10:15:20Z) - IDM-Follower: A Model-Informed Deep Learning Method for Long-Sequence
Car-Following Trajectory Prediction [24.94160059351764]
Most car-following models are generative and only consider the inputs of the speed, position, and acceleration of the last time step.
We implement a novel structure with two independent encoders and a self-attention decoder that could sequentially predict the following trajectories.
Numerical experiments with multiple settings on simulation and NGSIM datasets show that the IDM-Follower can improve the prediction performance.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-20T02:24:27Z) - Human Trajectory Prediction via Neural Social Physics [63.62824628085961]
Trajectory prediction has been widely pursued in many fields, and many model-based and model-free methods have been explored.
We propose a new method combining both methodologies based on a new Neural Differential Equation model.
Our new model (Neural Social Physics or NSP) is a deep neural network within which we use an explicit physics model with learnable parameters.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-07-21T12:11:18Z) - Gradient-Based Trajectory Optimization With Learned Dynamics [80.41791191022139]
We use machine learning techniques to learn a differentiable dynamics model of the system from data.
We show that a neural network can model highly nonlinear behaviors accurately for large time horizons.
In our hardware experiments, we demonstrate that our learned model can represent complex dynamics for both the Spot and Radio-controlled (RC) car.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-04-09T22:07:34Z) - Learning continuous models for continuous physics [94.42705784823997]
We develop a test based on numerical analysis theory to validate machine learning models for science and engineering applications.
Our results illustrate how principled numerical analysis methods can be coupled with existing ML training/testing methodologies to validate models for science and engineering applications.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-02-17T07:56:46Z) - Congestion-aware Multi-agent Trajectory Prediction for Collision
Avoidance [110.63037190641414]
We propose to learn congestion patterns explicitly and devise a novel "Sense--Learn--Reason--Predict" framework.
By decomposing the learning phases into two stages, a "student" can learn contextual cues from a "teacher" while generating collision-free trajectories.
In experiments, we demonstrate that the proposed model is able to generate collision-free trajectory predictions in a synthetic dataset.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-03-26T02:42:33Z) - Physics-Integrated Variational Autoencoders for Robust and Interpretable
Generative Modeling [86.9726984929758]
We focus on the integration of incomplete physics models into deep generative models.
We propose a VAE architecture in which a part of the latent space is grounded by physics.
We demonstrate generative performance improvements over a set of synthetic and real-world datasets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-02-25T20:28:52Z) - Modeling Stochastic Microscopic Traffic Behaviors: a Physics Regularized
Gaussian Process Approach [1.6242924916178285]
This study presents a microscopic traffic model that can capture randomness and measure errors in the real world.
Since one unique feature of the proposed framework is the capability of capturing both car-following and lane-changing behaviors with one single model, numerical tests are carried out with two separated datasets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-07-17T06:03:32Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.