Precipitation Downscaling with Spatiotemporal Video Diffusion

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2312.06071v3
• Date: Thu, 20 Jun 2024 11:22:39 GMT
• Title: Precipitation Downscaling with Spatiotemporal Video Diffusion
• Authors: Prakhar Srivastava, Ruihan Yang, Gavin Kerrigan, Gideon Dresdner, Jeremy McGibbon, Christopher Bretherton, Stephan Mandt,
• Abstract summary: This work extends recent video diffusion models to precipitation super-resolution. We use a deterministic downscaler followed by a temporally-conditioned diffusion model to capture noise characteristics and high-frequency patterns. Our analysis, capturing CRPS, MSE, precipitation distributions, and qualitative aspects using California and the Himalayas, establishes our method as a new standard for data-driven precipitation downscaling.
• Score: 19.004369237435437
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Abstract: In climate science and meteorology, high-resolution local precipitation (rain and snowfall) predictions are limited by the computational costs of simulation-based methods. Statistical downscaling, or super-resolution, is a common workaround where a low-resolution prediction is improved using statistical approaches. Unlike traditional computer vision tasks, weather and climate applications require capturing the accurate conditional distribution of high-resolution given low-resolution patterns to assure reliable ensemble averages and unbiased estimates of extreme events, such as heavy rain. This work extends recent video diffusion models to precipitation super-resolution, employing a deterministic downscaler followed by a temporally-conditioned diffusion model to capture noise characteristics and high-frequency patterns. We test our approach on FV3GFS output, an established large-scale global atmosphere model, and compare it against six state-of-the-art baselines. Our analysis, capturing CRPS, MSE, precipitation distributions, and qualitative aspects using California and the Himalayas as examples, establishes our method as a new standard for data-driven precipitation downscaling.

Related papers

• PostCast: Generalizable Postprocessing for Precipitation Nowcasting via Unsupervised Blurriness Modeling [85.56969895866243]
  We propose an unsupervised postprocessing method to eliminate the blurriness without the requirement of training with the pairs of blurry predictions and corresponding ground truth. A zero-shot blur kernel estimation mechanism and an auto-scale denoise guidance strategy are introduced to adapt the unconditional correlations to any blurriness modes.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-10-08T08:38:23Z)
• MambaDS: Near-Surface Meteorological Field Downscaling with Topography Constrained Selective State Space Modeling [68.69647625472464]
  Downscaling, a crucial task in meteorological forecasting, enables the reconstruction of high-resolution meteorological states for target regions. Previous downscaling methods lacked tailored designs for meteorology and encountered structural limitations. We propose a novel model called MambaDS, which enhances the utilization of multivariable correlations and topography information.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-08-20T13:45:49Z)
• Enhancing Weather Predictions: Super-Resolution via Deep Diffusion Models [0.0]
  This study investigates the application of deep-learning diffusion models for the super-resolution of weather data. We present a methodology for transforming low-resolution weather data into high-resolution outputs.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-06-06T14:15:12Z)
• CasCast: Skillful High-resolution Precipitation Nowcasting via Cascaded Modelling [93.65319031345197]
  We propose CasCast, a cascaded framework composed of a deterministic and a probabilistic part to decouple predictions for mesoscale precipitation distributions and small-scale patterns. CasCast significantly surpasses the baseline (up to +91.8%) for regional extreme-precipitation nowcasting.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-02-06T08:30:47Z)
• FengWu-GHR: Learning the Kilometer-scale Medium-range Global Weather Forecasting [56.73502043159699]
  This work presents FengWu-GHR, the first data-driven global weather forecasting model running at the 0.09$circ$ horizontal resolution. It introduces a novel approach that opens the door for operating ML-based high-resolution forecasts by inheriting prior knowledge from a low-resolution model. The hindcast of weather prediction in 2022 indicates that FengWu-GHR is superior to the IFS-HRES.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-01-28T13:23:25Z)
• Observation-Guided Meteorological Field Downscaling at Station Scale: A Benchmark and a New Method [66.80344502790231]
  We extend meteorological downscaling to arbitrary scattered station scales and establish a new benchmark and dataset. Inspired by data assimilation techniques, we integrate observational data into the downscaling process, providing multi-scale observational priors. Our proposed method outperforms other specially designed baseline models on multiple surface variables.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2024-01-22T14:02:56Z)
• Learning Robust Precipitation Forecaster by Temporal Frame Interpolation [65.5045412005064]
  We develop a robust precipitation forecasting model that demonstrates resilience against spatial-temporal discrepancies. Our approach has led to significant improvements in forecasting precision, culminating in our model securing textit1st place in the transfer learning leaderboard of the textitWeather4cast'23 competition.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2023-11-30T08:22:08Z)
• Towards replacing precipitation ensemble predictions systems using machine learning [0.0]
  We propose a new approach to generating ensemble weather predictions for high-resolution precipitation. The method uses generative adversarial networks to learn the complex patterns of precipitation. We demonstrate the feasibility of generating realistic precipitation ensemble members on unseen higher resolutions.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2023-04-20T12:20:35Z)
• A Generative Deep Learning Approach to Stochastic Downscaling of Precipitation Forecasts [0.5906031288935515]
  Generative adversarial networks (GANs) have been demonstrated by the computer vision community to be successful at super-resolution problems. We show that GANs and VAE-GANs can match the statistical properties of state-of-the-art pointwise post-processing methods whilst creating high-resolution, spatially coherent precipitation maps.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2022-04-05T07:19:42Z)
• Increasing the accuracy and resolution of precipitation forecasts using deep generative models [3.8073142980733]
  We train a conditional Generative Adversarial Network -- coined CorrectorGAN -- to produce ensembles of high-resolution, bias-corrected forecasts. CorrectorGAN, once trained, produces predictions in seconds on a single machine. Results raise exciting questions about the necessity of regional models, and whether data-driven downscaling and correction methods can be transferred to data-poor regions.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2022-03-23T09:45:12Z)
• TRU-NET: A Deep Learning Approach to High Resolution Prediction of Rainfall [21.399707529966474]
  We present TRU-NET, an encoder-decoder model featuring a novel 2D cross attention mechanism between contiguous convolutional-recurrent layers. We use a conditional-continuous loss function to capture the zero-skewed %extreme event patterns of rainfall. Experiments show that our model consistently attains lower RMSE and MAE scores than a DL model prevalent in short term precipitation prediction.
  arXiv  Detail & Related papers  (2020-08-20T17:27:59Z)

This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.

This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.