On the potential of Optimal Transport in Geospatial Data Science
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2410.11709v2
- Date: Wed, 23 Oct 2024 15:35:57 GMT
- Title: On the potential of Optimal Transport in Geospatial Data Science
- Authors: Nina Wiedemann, Théo Uscidda, Martin Raubal,
- Abstract summary: We propose a spatially aware evaluation metric and loss function based on Optimal Transport (OT)
Our framework leverages partial OT and can minimize relocation costs in any spatial prediction problem.
- Score: 2.2766940909460986
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Prediction problems in geographic information science and transportation are often motivated by the possibility to enhance operational efficiency and thereby reduce emissions. Examples range from predicting car sharing demand for relocation planning to forecasting traffic congestion for navigation purposes. However, conventional accuracy metrics ignore the spatial distribution of the errors, despite its relevance for operations. Here, we put forward a spatially aware evaluation metric and loss function based on Optimal Transport (OT). Our framework leverages partial OT and can minimize relocation costs in any spatial prediction problem. We showcase the advantages of OT-based evaluation over conventional metrics and further demonstrate the application of an OT loss function for improving forecasts of bike sharing demand and charging station occupancy. Thus, our framework not only aligns with operational considerations, but also signifies a step forward in refining predictions within geospatial applications. All code is available at https://github.com/mie-lab/geospatialOT.
Related papers
- Unified Human Localization and Trajectory Prediction with Monocular Vision [64.19384064365431]
MonoTransmotion is a Transformer-based framework that uses only a monocular camera to jointly solve localization and prediction tasks.
We show that by jointly training both tasks with our unified framework, our method is more robust in real-world scenarios made of noisy inputs.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-03-05T14:18:39Z) - Fine-grained Spatio-temporal Event Prediction with Self-adaptive Anchor Graph [8.435985634889285]
We propose a novel Graph Spatio-Temporal Point ( GSTPP) model for fine-grained event prediction.
It adopts an encoder-coder architecture that jointly models the state dynamics of spatially localized regions.
The proposed GSTPP model greatly improves the accuracy of fine-grained event prediction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-15T08:38:07Z) - OPUS: Occupancy Prediction Using a Sparse Set [64.60854562502523]
We present a framework to simultaneously predict occupied locations and classes using a set of learnable queries.
OPUS incorporates a suite of non-trivial strategies to enhance model performance.
Our lightest model achieves superior RayIoU on the Occ3D-nuScenes dataset at near 2x FPS, while our heaviest model surpasses previous best results by 6.1 RayIoU.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-09-14T07:44:22Z) - Improved context-sensitive transformer model for inland vessel trajectory prediction [2.287415292857564]
Physics-related and model-based vessel trajectory prediction is highly accurate but requires specific knowledge of the vessel under consideration.
Machine learning-based trajectory prediction models do not require expert knowledge, but rely on the implicit knowledge extracted from massive amounts of data.
Several deep learning (DL) methods for vessel trajectory prediction have recently been suggested.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-04T20:39:14Z) - Spatial and social situation-aware transformer-based trajectory prediction of autonomous systems [2.498836880652668]
Anticipating the behavior of an agent in a given situation is required to adequately react to it in time.
Deep learning-based models has become the dominant approach to motion prediction recently.
For longer prediction horizons, the deviation of the predicted trajectory from the ground truth is lower compared to a spatially and socially agnostic model.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-04T20:36:16Z) - Spatial-temporal Forecasting for Regions without Observations [13.805203053973772]
We study spatial-temporal forecasting for a region of interest without any historical observations.
We propose a model named STSM for the task.
Our key insight is to learn from the locations that resemble those in the region of interest.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-01-19T06:26:05Z) - Uncertainty-aware Traffic Prediction under Missing Data [12.443185263911637]
In real-life scenarios, the deployment of sensors could be limited due to budget limitations and installation availability.
We propose an uncertainty-aware framework with the ability to 1) extend prediction to missing locations with no historical records and significantly extend spatial coverage of prediction locations.
We also show that our model could help support sensor deployment tasks in the transportation field to achieve higher accuracy with a limited sensor deployment budget.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-09-13T08:48:00Z) - Implicit Occupancy Flow Fields for Perception and Prediction in
Self-Driving [68.95178518732965]
A self-driving vehicle (SDV) must be able to perceive its surroundings and predict the future behavior of other traffic participants.
Existing works either perform object detection followed by trajectory of the detected objects, or predict dense occupancy and flow grids for the whole scene.
This motivates our unified approach to perception and future prediction that implicitly represents occupancy and flow over time with a single neural network.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-08-02T23:39:24Z) - Uncovering the Missing Pattern: Unified Framework Towards Trajectory
Imputation and Prediction [60.60223171143206]
Trajectory prediction is a crucial undertaking in understanding entity movement or human behavior from observed sequences.
Current methods often assume that the observed sequences are complete while ignoring the potential for missing values.
This paper presents a unified framework, the Graph-based Conditional Variational Recurrent Neural Network (GC-VRNN), which can perform trajectory imputation and prediction simultaneously.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-03-28T14:27:27Z) - Decision-Oriented Learning with Differentiable Submodular Maximization
for Vehicle Routing Problem [23.211667169614227]
We study the problem of learning a function that maps context observations (input) to parameters of a submodular function (output)
In this paper, we propose a framework that incorporates task optimization as a differentiable layer in the prediction phase.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-03-02T19:19:39Z) - Adaptive Self-supervision Algorithms for Physics-informed Neural
Networks [59.822151945132525]
Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) incorporate physical knowledge from the problem domain as a soft constraint on the loss function.
We study the impact of the location of the collocation points on the trainability of these models.
We propose a novel adaptive collocation scheme which progressively allocates more collocation points to areas where the model is making higher errors.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-07-08T18:17:06Z) - Averaging Spatio-temporal Signals using Optimal Transport and Soft
Alignments [110.79706180350507]
We show that our proposed loss can be used to define temporal-temporal baryechecenters as Fr'teche means duality.
Experiments on handwritten letters and brain imaging data confirm our theoretical findings.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-03-11T09:46:22Z) - Adaptive Trajectory Prediction via Transferable GNN [74.09424229172781]
We propose a novel Transferable Graph Neural Network (T-GNN) framework, which jointly conducts trajectory prediction as well as domain alignment in a unified framework.
Specifically, a domain invariant GNN is proposed to explore the structural motion knowledge where the domain specific knowledge is reduced.
An attention-based adaptive knowledge learning module is further proposed to explore fine-grained individual-level feature representation for knowledge transfer.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-03-09T21:08:47Z) - Spatial machine-learning model diagnostics: a model-agnostic
distance-based approach [91.62936410696409]
This contribution proposes spatial prediction error profiles (SPEPs) and spatial variable importance profiles (SVIPs) as novel model-agnostic assessment and interpretation tools.
The SPEPs and SVIPs of geostatistical methods, linear models, random forest, and hybrid algorithms show striking differences and also relevant similarities.
The novel diagnostic tools enrich the toolkit of spatial data science, and may improve ML model interpretation, selection, and design.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-11-13T01:50:36Z) - Adaptive Selection of Informative Path Planning Strategies via
Reinforcement Learning [6.015556590955814]
"Local planning" approaches adopt various spatial ranges within which next sampling locations are prioritized to investigate their effects on the prediction performance as well as incurred travel distance.
Experiments on use cases of temperature monitoring robots demonstrate that the dynamic mixtures of planners can not only generate sophisticated, informative plans but also ensure significantly reduced distances at no cost of prediction reliability.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-08-14T21:32:33Z) - SGCN:Sparse Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian Trajectory
Prediction [64.16212996247943]
We present a Sparse Graph Convolution Network(SGCN) for pedestrian trajectory prediction.
Specifically, the SGCN explicitly models the sparse directed interaction with a sparse directed spatial graph to capture adaptive interaction pedestrians.
visualizations indicate that our method can capture adaptive interactions between pedestrians and their effective motion tendencies.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-04-04T03:17:42Z) - The Unsupervised Method of Vessel Movement Trajectory Prediction [1.2617078020344619]
This article presents an unsupervised method of ship movement trajectory prediction.
It represents the data in a three-dimensional space which consists of time difference between points, the scaled error distance between the tested and its predicted forward and backward locations, and the space-time angle.
Unlike most statistical learning or deep learning methods, the proposed clustering-based trajectory reconstruction method does not require computationally expensive model training.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-07-27T17:45:21Z) - The Importance of Prior Knowledge in Precise Multimodal Prediction [71.74884391209955]
Roads have well defined geometries, topologies, and traffic rules.
In this paper we propose to incorporate structured priors as a loss function.
We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on real-world self-driving datasets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-04T03:56:11Z) - Predicting into unknown space? Estimating the area of applicability of
spatial prediction models [0.0]
We suggest a methodology that delineates the "area of applicability" (AOA) that we define as the area, for which the cross-validation error of the model applies.
We test for the ideal threshold by using simulated data and compare the prediction error within the AOA with the cross-validation error of the model.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-05-16T10:31:55Z) - Learning Geo-Contextual Embeddings for Commuting Flow Prediction [20.600183945696863]
Predicting commuting flows based on infrastructure and land-use information is critical for urban planning and public policy development.
Conventional models, such as gravity model, are mainly derived from physics principles and limited by their predictive power in real-world scenarios.
We propose Geo-contextual Multitask Embedding Learner (GMEL), a model that captures the spatial correlations from geographic contextual information for commuting flow prediction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-05-04T17:45:18Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.