Reliable Wireless Indoor Localization via Cross-Validated Prediction-Powered Calibration
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2507.20268v2
- Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2025 07:55:53 GMT
- Title: Reliable Wireless Indoor Localization via Cross-Validated Prediction-Powered Calibration
- Authors: Seonghoon Yoo, Houssem Sifaou, Sangwoo Park, Joonhyuk Kang, Osvaldo Simeone,
- Abstract summary: This letter proposes an approach that efficiently uses limited calibration data to simultaneously fine-tune a predictor and estimate the bias of synthetic labels.<n> Experiments on a fingerprinting dataset validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
- Score: 29.171927240331414
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Wireless indoor localization using predictive models with received signal strength information (RSSI) requires proper calibration for reliable position estimates. One remedy is to employ synthetic labels produced by a (generally different) predictive model. But fine-tuning an additional predictor, as well as estimating residual bias of the synthetic labels, demands additional data, aggravating calibration data scarcity in wireless environments. This letter proposes an approach that efficiently uses limited calibration data to simultaneously fine-tune a predictor and estimate the bias of synthetic labels, yielding prediction sets with rigorous coverage guarantees. Experiments on a fingerprinting dataset validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
Related papers
- Anytime-valid, Bayes-assisted,Prediction-Powered Inference [0.0]
Given a large pool of unlabelled data, prediction-powered inference (PPI) leverages machine learning predictions to increase statistical efficiency.<n>We extend the PPI framework to the sequential setting, where labelled and unlabelled datasets grow over time.<n>We propose prediction-powered confidence sequence procedures that are valid uniformly over time and naturally accommodate prior knowledge on the quality of the predictions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-05-23T15:05:49Z) - Synthetic-Powered Predictive Inference [28.99972786873634]
Synthetic-powered predictive inference (SPI)<n>An empirical quantile mapping that aligns nonconformity scores from trusted, real data with those from synthetic data.<n> Experiments on image classification -- augmenting data with synthetic diffusion-model generated images -- demonstrate notable improvements in predictive efficiency in data-scarce settings.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-05-19T17:55:56Z) - Beyond One-Hot Labels: Semantic Mixing for Model Calibration [22.39558434131574]
We present textbfCalibration-aware Semantic Mixing (CSM), a novel framework that generates training samples with mixed class characteristics.<n>We show that CSM achieves superior calibration compared to the state-of-the-art calibration approaches.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-04-18T08:26:18Z) - Coverage-Guaranteed Speech Emotion Recognition via Calibrated Uncertainty-Adaptive Prediction Sets [0.0]
Road rage, often triggered by emotional suppression and sudden outbursts, significantly threatens road safety by causing collisions and aggressive behavior.<n>Speech emotion recognition technologies can mitigate this risk by identifying negative emotions early and issuing timely alerts.<n>We propose a novel risk-controlled prediction framework providing statistically rigorous guarantees on prediction accuracy.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-03-24T12:26:28Z) - Noise-Adaptive Conformal Classification with Marginal Coverage [53.74125453366155]
We introduce an adaptive conformal inference method capable of efficiently handling deviations from exchangeability caused by random label noise.<n>We validate our method through extensive numerical experiments demonstrating its effectiveness on synthetic and real data sets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-29T23:55:23Z) - A Conformal Approach to Feature-based Newsvendor under Model Misspecification [2.801095519296785]
We propose a model-free and distribution-free framework inspired by conformal prediction.<n>We validate our framework using both simulated data and a real-world dataset from the Capital Bikeshare program in Washington, D.C.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-12-17T18:34:43Z) - Provably Reliable Conformal Prediction Sets in the Presence of Data Poisoning [53.42244686183879]
Conformal prediction provides model-agnostic and distribution-free uncertainty quantification.<n>Yet, conformal prediction is not reliable under poisoning attacks where adversaries manipulate both training and calibration data.<n>We propose reliable prediction sets (RPS): the first efficient method for constructing conformal prediction sets with provable reliability guarantees under poisoning.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-13T15:37:11Z) - Fill In The Gaps: Model Calibration and Generalization with Synthetic Data [2.89287673224661]
We propose a calibration method that incorporates synthetic data without compromising accuracy.
We derive the expected calibration error (ECE) bound using the Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) learning framework.
We observed an average up to 34% increase in accuracy and 33% decrease in ECE.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-10-07T23:06:42Z) - Split Conformal Prediction under Data Contamination [14.23965125128232]
We study the robustness of split conformal prediction in a data contamination setting.
We quantify the impact of corrupted data on the coverage and efficiency of the constructed sets.
We propose an adjustment in the classification setting which we call Contamination Robust Conformal Prediction.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-10T14:33:28Z) - Learning with Imbalanced Noisy Data by Preventing Bias in Sample
Selection [82.43311784594384]
Real-world datasets contain not only noisy labels but also class imbalance.
We propose a simple yet effective method to address noisy labels in imbalanced datasets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-02-17T10:34:53Z) - Improving Adaptive Conformal Prediction Using Self-Supervised Learning [72.2614468437919]
We train an auxiliary model with a self-supervised pretext task on top of an existing predictive model and use the self-supervised error as an additional feature to estimate nonconformity scores.
We empirically demonstrate the benefit of the additional information using both synthetic and real data on the efficiency (width), deficit, and excess of conformal prediction intervals.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-02-23T18:57:14Z) - Sample-dependent Adaptive Temperature Scaling for Improved Calibration [95.7477042886242]
Post-hoc approach to compensate for neural networks being wrong is to perform temperature scaling.
We propose to predict a different temperature value for each input, allowing us to adjust the mismatch between confidence and accuracy.
We test our method on the ResNet50 and WideResNet28-10 architectures using the CIFAR10/100 and Tiny-ImageNet datasets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-07-13T14:13:49Z) - Conformal Prediction Under Feedback Covariate Shift for Biomolecular Design [56.86533144730384]
We introduce a method to quantify predictive uncertainty in settings where the training and test data are statistically dependent.<n>As a motivating use case, we demonstrate with several real data sets how our method quantifies uncertainty for the predicted fitness of designed proteins.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-02-08T02:59:12Z) - Theoretical characterization of uncertainty in high-dimensional linear
classification [24.073221004661427]
We show that uncertainty for learning from limited number of samples of high-dimensional input data and labels can be obtained by the approximate message passing algorithm.
We discuss how over-confidence can be mitigated by appropriately regularising, and show that cross-validating with respect to the loss leads to better calibration than with the 0/1 error.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-02-07T15:32:07Z) - Unsupervised Calibration under Covariate Shift [92.02278658443166]
We introduce the problem of calibration under domain shift and propose an importance sampling based approach to address it.
We evaluate and discuss the efficacy of our method on both real-world datasets and synthetic datasets.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-29T21:50:07Z) - Unlabelled Data Improves Bayesian Uncertainty Calibration under
Covariate Shift [100.52588638477862]
We develop an approximate Bayesian inference scheme based on posterior regularisation.
We demonstrate the utility of our method in the context of transferring prognostic models of prostate cancer across globally diverse populations.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-26T13:50:19Z) - Balance-Subsampled Stable Prediction [55.13512328954456]
We propose a novel balance-subsampled stable prediction (BSSP) algorithm based on the theory of fractional factorial design.
A design-theoretic analysis shows that the proposed method can reduce the confounding effects among predictors induced by the distribution shift.
Numerical experiments on both synthetic and real-world data sets demonstrate that our BSSP algorithm significantly outperforms the baseline methods for stable prediction across unknown test data.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-08T07:01:38Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.