Australian Bushfire Intelligence with AI-Driven Environmental Analytics

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06105v1
• Date: Sat, 03 Jan 2026 05:43:12 GMT
• Title: Australian Bushfire Intelligence with AI-Driven Environmental Analytics
• Authors: Tanvi Jois, Hussain Ahmad, Fatima Noor, Faheem Ullah,
• Abstract summary: This study examines the capability of predictive environmental data for identifying high-risk bushfire zones across Australia.<n>We integrated historical fire events from NASA-NASA, daily meteorological observations from Meteostat, and vegetation observations from Google Earth Engine.<n>Under a binary framework distinguishing 'low' and 'high' fire risk, the ensemble approach achieved an accuracy of 87%.
• Score: 2.3974112195086383
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Abstract: Bushfires are among the most destructive natural hazards in Australia, causing significant ecological, economic, and social damage. Accurate prediction of bushfire intensity is therefore essential for effective disaster preparedness and response. This study examines the predictive capability of spatio-temporal environmental data for identifying high-risk bushfire zones across Australia. We integrated historical fire events from NASA FIRMS, daily meteorological observations from Meteostat, and vegetation indices such as the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from Google Earth Engine for the period 2015-2023. After harmonizing the datasets using spatial and temporal joins, we evaluated several machine learning models, including Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, a Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), and an ensemble classifier. Under a binary classification framework distinguishing 'low' and 'high' fire risk, the ensemble approach achieved an accuracy of 87%. The results demonstrate that combining multi-source environmental features with advanced machine learning techniques can produce reliable bushfire intensity predictions, supporting more informed and timely disaster management.

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