Dataset-Level Metrics Attenuate Non-Determinism: A Fine-Grained Non-Determinism Evaluation in Diffusion Language Models
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2604.13413v1
- Date: Wed, 15 Apr 2026 02:31:31 GMT
- Title: Dataset-Level Metrics Attenuate Non-Determinism: A Fine-Grained Non-Determinism Evaluation in Diffusion Language Models
- Abstract summary: Diffusion language models (DLMs) have emerged as a promising paradigm for large language models (LLMs)<n>We show that dataset-level metrics systematically attenuate non-determinism in DLMs by aggregating sample-level prediction quality across different runs.<n>Our analysis reveals that non-determinism in DLMs is pervasive and structured, with code generation exhibiting markedly higher sensitivity to factor-level choices than question answering.
- Score: 18.02812057933357
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Diffusion language models (DLMs) have emerged as a promising paradigm for large language models (LLMs), yet the non-deterministic behavior of DLMs remains poorly understood. The existing non-determinism evaluations for LLMs predominantly rely on dataset-level metrics under fixed inference configurations, providing limited insight into how model behavior varies across runs and evaluation conditions. In this work, we show that dataset-level metrics systematically attenuate non-determinism in diffusion language models by aggregating sample-level prediction quality across different runs. As a result, configurations with similar aggregate performance can exhibit substantially different behaviors on individual inputs, leaving fine-grained instability and distinct error patterns uncharacterized. To address this limitation, we conduct a fine-grained evaluation of non-determinism based on sample-level prediction differences across a range of model-related factors-including guidance scale, diffusion steps, and Monte Carlo sampling-as well as system-related factors such as batch size, hardware, and numerical precision. Our analysis reveals that non-determinism in DLMs is pervasive and structured, with code generation exhibiting markedly higher sensitivity to factor-level choices than question answering. To attribute sources of non-determinism evaluation, we introduce Factor Variance Attribution (FVA), a cross-factor analysis metric that decomposes observed non-determinism into variance attributable to different evaluation factor settings. Our findings highlight the need for fine-grained, factor-aware evaluation to enable reliable non-determinism assessment of diffusion language models.
Related papers
- Every Token Counts: Exact Likert-Scale Distributions for Measuring LLM Attitudes and Biases [0.0]
We introduce an analytically exact framework for the controlled behavioral evaluation of Large Language Models (LLMs)<n>We replace unstructured prompting with fully crossed factorial experiments to systematically isolate causal main and interaction effects.<n>We derive a multivariate ordinal consensus metric and a distributional ANOVA to process these PMFs analytically.<n>We validate our framework with a case study on consumer ethnocentrism across five LLMs, demonstrating how our approach isolates systemic country-of-origin biases that aggregate benchmarks otherwise obscure.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-08-11T05:20:06Z) - A Theoretical Framework for Statistical Evaluability of Generative Models [57.9316356505791]
We introduce a theoretical framework for evaluating generative models and establish evaluability results for commonly used metrics.<n>We study two categories of metrics: test-based metrics, including integral probability metrics (IPMs) and Rényi divergences.<n>We show that IPMs with respect to any bounded test class can be evaluated from finite samples up to multiplicative and additive approximation errors.<n>In contrast, Rényi and KL divergences are not evaluable from finite samples, as their values can be critically determined by rare events.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-04-07T01:53:59Z) - LogitScope: A Framework for Analyzing LLM Uncertainty Through Information Metrics [1.4864875802856898]
LogitScope is a lightweight framework for analyzing large language model (LLM) uncertainty.<n>By measuring metrics such as entropy and varentropy at each generation step, LogitScope reveals patterns in model confidence.<n>We demonstrate LogitScope's utility across diverse applications including uncertainty, model behavior analysis, and production monitoring.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2026-03-26T01:46:24Z) - Variance-Aware LLM Annotation for Strategy Research: Sources, Diagnostics, and a Protocol for Reliable Measurement [0.3228822469249803]
Large language models (LLMs) offer strategy researchers powerful tools for annotating text at scale.<n>But treating LLM-generated labels as deterministic overlooks substantial instability.<n>We diagnose five variance sources: construct specification, interface effects, model preferences, output extraction, and system-level aggregation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-12-02T18:02:20Z) - Efficient semantic uncertainty quantification in language models via diversity-steered sampling [46.23327887393273]
We introduce a diversity-steered sampler that discourages semantically redundant outputs during decoding.<n>Key idea is to inject a continuous semantic-similarity penalty into the model's proposal distribution.<n>Being modular and requiring no gradient access to the base LLM, the framework promises to serve as a drop-in enhancement for uncertainty estimation.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-10-24T10:06:21Z) - Mapping from Meaning: Addressing the Miscalibration of Prompt-Sensitive Language Models [39.05891782057066]
We study prompt sensitivity in large language models (LLMs)<n>We show that sampling across the semantic concept space'' with paraphrasing perturbations improves uncertainty calibration without compromising accuracy.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-10-19T22:28:57Z) - Simple Yet Effective: An Information-Theoretic Approach to Multi-LLM Uncertainty Quantification [9.397157329808254]
MUSE is a simple information-theoretic method to identify and aggregate well-calibrated subsets of large language models.<n> Experiments on binary prediction tasks demonstrate improved calibration and predictive performance compared to single-model and na"ive ensemble baselines.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-07-09T19:13:25Z) - Statistical Hypothesis Testing for Auditing Robustness in Language Models [49.1574468325115]
We introduce distribution-based perturbation analysis, a framework that reformulates perturbation analysis as a frequentist hypothesis testing problem.<n>We construct empirical null and alternative output distributions within a low-dimensional semantic similarity space via Monte Carlo sampling.<n>We show how we can quantify response changes, measure true/false positive rates, and evaluate alignment with reference models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-09T17:11:07Z) - Understanding challenges to the interpretation of disaggregated evaluations of algorithmic fairness [49.35494016290887]
We show that equal performance across subgroups is an unreliable measure of fairness when data are representative of relevant populations but reflective of real-world disparities.<n>Our framework suggests complementing disaggregated evaluations with explicit causal assumptions and analysis to control for confounding and distribution shift.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-06-04T17:40:31Z) - Cycles of Thought: Measuring LLM Confidence through Stable Explanations [53.15438489398938]
Large language models (LLMs) can reach and even surpass human-level accuracy on a variety of benchmarks, but their overconfidence in incorrect responses is still a well-documented failure mode.
We propose a framework for measuring an LLM's uncertainty with respect to the distribution of generated explanations for an answer.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-06-05T16:35:30Z) - Decomposing Uncertainty for Large Language Models through Input Clarification Ensembling [69.83976050879318]
In large language models (LLMs), identifying sources of uncertainty is an important step toward improving reliability, trustworthiness, and interpretability.
In this paper, we introduce an uncertainty decomposition framework for LLMs, called input clarification ensembling.
Our approach generates a set of clarifications for the input, feeds them into an LLM, and ensembles the corresponding predictions.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-11-15T05:58:35Z) - A comprehensive comparative evaluation and analysis of Distributional
Semantic Models [61.41800660636555]
We perform a comprehensive evaluation of type distributional vectors, either produced by static DSMs or obtained by averaging the contextualized vectors generated by BERT.
The results show that the alleged superiority of predict based models is more apparent than real, and surely not ubiquitous.
We borrow from cognitive neuroscience the methodology of Representational Similarity Analysis (RSA) to inspect the semantic spaces generated by distributional models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-05-20T15:18:06Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.