Analysis and Prediction of At-Risk Students Using Machine Learning Algorithms
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2606.20617v1
- Date: Sun, 24 May 2026 12:57:19 GMT
- Title: Analysis and Prediction of At-Risk Students Using Machine Learning Algorithms
- Abstract summary: The research investigates how machine learning approaches enable institutions to predict student withdrawal and enrollment cancellation.<n>The evaluation of models includes Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Support Vector Machines (SVM), and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN)
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Student attrition represents a significant challenge for higher education institutions because it impacts both academic results and financial viability. Machine learning provides an effective solution to identify students who require assistance before they leave their academic programs. The research investigates how machine learning approaches enable institutions to predict student withdrawal and enrollment cancellation through data-driven insights for strategic decisionmaking. The evaluation of models includes Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Support Vector Machines (SVM), and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) based on academic performance and demographic data and enrollment records. The results show that logistic regression and linear SVM models produced the highest accuracy which demonstrates ML's capability to detect students at risk.
Related papers
- Evaluating Federated Learning for At-Risk Student Prediction: A Comparative Analysis of Model Complexity and Data Balancing [0.07161783472741748]
This study proposes and validates a Federated Learning (FL) framework to proactively identify at-risk students.<n>FL is a practical and scalable solution for early-warning systems that inherently respects student data sovereignty.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-08-23T19:58:16Z) - Efficient Machine Unlearning via Influence Approximation [75.31015485113993]
Influence-based unlearning has emerged as a prominent approach to estimate the impact of individual training samples on model parameters without retraining.<n>This paper establishes a theoretical link between memorizing (incremental learning) and forgetting (unlearning)<n>We introduce the Influence Approximation Unlearning algorithm for efficient machine unlearning from the incremental perspective.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-07-31T05:34:27Z) - AI-based identification and support of at-risk students: A case study of the Moroccan education system [5.199084419479099]
Student dropout is a global issue influenced by personal, familial, and academic factors.<n>This paper introduces an AI-driven predictive modeling approach to identify students at risk of dropping out.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-04-09T13:30:35Z) - DASKT: A Dynamic Affect Simulation Method for Knowledge Tracing [51.665582274736785]
Knowledge Tracing (KT) predicts future performance by students' historical computation, and understanding students' affective states can enhance the effectiveness of KT.<n>We propose Affect Dynamic Knowledge Tracing (DASKT) to explore the impact of various student affective states on their knowledge states.<n>Our research highlights a promising avenue for future studies, focusing on achieving high interpretability and accuracy.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2025-01-18T10:02:10Z) - Early Detection of At-Risk Students Using Machine Learning [0.0]
We aim to tackle the persistent challenges of higher education retention and student dropout rates by screening for at-risk students.<n>This work considers several machine learning models, including Support Vector Machines (SVM), Naive Bayes, K-nearest neighbors (KNN), Decision Trees, Logistic Regression, and Random Forest.<n>Our analysis indicates that all algorithms generate an acceptable outcome for at-risk student predictions, while Naive Bayes performs best overall.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-12-12T17:33:06Z) - Enhancing Feature Selection and Interpretability in AI Regression Tasks Through Feature Attribution [38.53065398127086]
This study investigates the potential of feature attribution methods to filter out uninformative features in input data for regression problems.
We introduce a feature selection pipeline that combines Integrated Gradients with k-means clustering to select an optimal set of variables from the initial data space.
To validate the effectiveness of this approach, we apply it to a real-world industrial problem - blade vibration analysis in the development process of turbo machinery.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-09-25T09:50:51Z) - Verification of Machine Unlearning is Fragile [48.71651033308842]
We introduce two novel adversarial unlearning processes capable of circumventing both types of verification strategies.
This study highlights the vulnerabilities and limitations in machine unlearning verification, paving the way for further research into the safety of machine unlearning.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-08-01T21:37:10Z) - The Frontier of Data Erasure: Machine Unlearning for Large Language Models [56.26002631481726]
Large Language Models (LLMs) are foundational to AI advancements.
LLMs pose risks by potentially memorizing and disseminating sensitive, biased, or copyrighted information.
Machine unlearning emerges as a cutting-edge solution to mitigate these concerns.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-03-23T09:26:15Z) - Comprehensive Study Of Predictive Maintenance In Industries Using Classification Models And LSTM Model [0.0]
The study aims to delve into various machine learning classification techniques, including Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, Logistic Regression, and Convolutional Neural Network LSTM-Based, for predicting and analyzing machine performance.
The primary objective of the study is to assess these algorithms' performance in predicting and analyzing machine performance, considering factors such as accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-03-15T12:47:45Z) - Learn to Unlearn: A Survey on Machine Unlearning [29.077334665555316]
This article presents a review of recent machine unlearning techniques, verification mechanisms, and potential attacks.
We highlight emerging challenges and prospective research directions.
We aim for this paper to provide valuable resources for integrating privacy, equity, andresilience into ML systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-05-12T14:28:02Z) - A Predictive Model using Machine Learning Algorithm in Identifying
Students Probability on Passing Semestral Course [0.0]
This study employs classification for data mining techniques, and decision tree for algorithm.
With the utilization of the newly discovered predictive model, the prediction of students probabilities to pass the current courses they take gives 0.7619 accuracy, 0.8333 precision, 0.8823 recall, and 0.8571 f1 score.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-04-12T01:57:08Z) - Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Students Academic Performance
and Study Strategies based on their Motivation [0.0]
This research aims to develop machine learning models for students academic performance and study strategies prediction.
Key learning attributes (intrinsic, extrinsic, autonomy, relatedness, competence, and self-esteem) essential for students learning process were used in building the models.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-10-15T04:09:05Z) - Advancing Reacting Flow Simulations with Data-Driven Models [50.9598607067535]
Key to effective use of machine learning tools in multi-physics problems is to couple them to physical and computer models.
The present chapter reviews some of the open opportunities for the application of data-driven reduced-order modeling of combustion systems.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-09-05T16:48:34Z) - A Survey of Learning on Small Data: Generalization, Optimization, and
Challenge [101.27154181792567]
Learning on small data that approximates the generalization ability of big data is one of the ultimate purposes of AI.
This survey follows the active sampling theory under a PAC framework to analyze the generalization error and label complexity of learning on small data.
Multiple data applications that may benefit from efficient small data representation are surveyed.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2022-07-29T02:34:19Z) - Estimating Structural Target Functions using Machine Learning and
Influence Functions [103.47897241856603]
We propose a new framework for statistical machine learning of target functions arising as identifiable functionals from statistical models.
This framework is problem- and model-agnostic and can be used to estimate a broad variety of target parameters of interest in applied statistics.
We put particular focus on so-called coarsening at random/doubly robust problems with partially unobserved information.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-08-14T16:48:29Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.