Next Day Wildfire Spread: A Machine Learning Data Set to Predict Wildfire Spreading from Remote-Sensing Data

• URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2112.02447v1
• Date: Sat, 4 Dec 2021 23:28:44 GMT
• Title: Next Day Wildfire Spread: A Machine Learning Data Set to Predict Wildfire Spreading from Remote-Sensing Data
• Authors: Fantine Huot, R. Lily Hu, Nita Goyal, Tharun Sankar, Matthias Ihme, Yi-Fan Chen
• Abstract summary: Next Day Wildfire Spread' is a curated data set of historical wildfires aggregating nearly a decade of remote-sensing data across the United States. We implement a convolutional autoencoder that takes advantage of the spatial information of this data to predict wildfire spread. This data set can be used as a benchmark for developing wildfire propagation models based on remote sensing data for a lead time of one day.
• Score: 5.814925201882753
• License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Abstract: Predicting wildfire spread is critical for land management and disaster preparedness. To this end, we present `Next Day Wildfire Spread,' a curated, large-scale, multivariate data set of historical wildfires aggregating nearly a decade of remote-sensing data across the United States. In contrast to existing fire data sets based on Earth observation satellites, our data set combines 2D fire data with multiple explanatory variables (e.g., topography, vegetation, weather, drought index, population density) aligned over 2D regions, providing a feature-rich data set for machine learning. To demonstrate the usefulness of this data set, we implement a convolutional autoencoder that takes advantage of the spatial information of this data to predict wildfire spread. We compare the performance of the neural network with other machine learning models: logistic regression and random forest. This data set can be used as a benchmark for developing wildfire propagation models based on remote sensing data for a lead time of one day.

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