Generalising Aumann's Agreement Theorem
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2202.02156v2
- Date: Thu, 10 Feb 2022 11:43:24 GMT
- Title: Generalising Aumann's Agreement Theorem
- Abstract summary: Aumann's celebrated theorem says that a group of agents who once shared a common prior probability distribution cannot assign different posteriors to a given proposition.
We argue that agreeing to disagree is impossible in quantum theory.
- Score: 0.0
- License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/
- Abstract: Aumann's celebrated theorem says that a group of agents who once shared a
common prior probability distribution cannot assign different posteriors to a
given proposition, should these agents have common knowledge about their
posteriors. In other words, rational agents cannot agree to disagree. Aumann's
agreement theorem was one of the first attempts to formalise and explore the
role played by common knowledge in decision theory. Recently, we have seen a
resurfacing of the debate around possible (quantum) extensions of Aumann's
results. This paper contributes to this discussion. First, as expected, we
argue that agreeing to disagree is impossible in quantum theory. Secondly, and
based on the quantum argument, we show that agreeing to disagree is also
forbidden in any generalised probability theory.
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