Time Series Predictions in Unmonitored Sites: A Survey of Machine
Learning Techniques in Water Resources
- URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2308.09766v2
- Date: Tue, 5 Mar 2024 17:45:06 GMT
- Title: Time Series Predictions in Unmonitored Sites: A Survey of Machine
Learning Techniques in Water Resources
- Authors: Jared D. Willard, Charuleka Varadharajan, Xiaowei Jia, Vipin Kumar
- Abstract summary: Prediction of dynamic environmental variables in unmonitored sites remains a long-standing challenge for water resources science.
Modern machine learning methods increasingly outperform their process-based and empirical model counterparts for hydrologic time series prediction.
We review relevant state-of-the art applications of machine learning for streamflow, water quality, and other water resources prediction.
- Score: 11.259721270835785
- License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Abstract: Prediction of dynamic environmental variables in unmonitored sites remains a
long-standing challenge for water resources science. The majority of the
world's freshwater resources have inadequate monitoring of critical
environmental variables needed for management. Yet, the need to have widespread
predictions of hydrological variables such as river flow and water quality has
become increasingly urgent due to climate and land use change over the past
decades, and their associated impacts on water resources. Modern machine
learning methods increasingly outperform their process-based and empirical
model counterparts for hydrologic time series prediction with their ability to
extract information from large, diverse data sets. We review relevant
state-of-the art applications of machine learning for streamflow, water
quality, and other water resources prediction and discuss opportunities to
improve the use of machine learning with emerging methods for incorporating
watershed characteristics into deep learning models, transfer learning, and
incorporating process knowledge into machine learning models. The analysis here
suggests most prior efforts have been focused on deep learning learning
frameworks built on many sites for predictions at daily time scales in the
United States, but that comparisons between different classes of machine
learning methods are few and inadequate. We identify several open questions for
time series predictions in unmonitored sites that include incorporating dynamic
inputs and site characteristics, mechanistic understanding and spatial context,
and explainable AI techniques in modern machine learning frameworks.
Related papers
- Evaluation of deep learning models for Australian climate extremes: prediction of streamflow and floods [0.17999333451993949]
In recent years, climate extremes such as floods have created significant environmental and economic hazards for Australia.
Deep learning methods have been promising for predicting small to medium-sized climate extreme events over a short time horizon.
We present an ensemble-based machine learning approach that addresses large-scale extreme flooding challenges.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2024-07-20T23:45:04Z) - Beyond Tides and Time: Machine Learning Triumph in Water Quality [0.0]
This study aims to establish a robust predictive pipeline to both data science experts and those without domain specific knowledge.
Our research aims to establish a robust predictive pipeline to both data science experts and those without domain specific knowledge.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-09-29T03:33:53Z) - An evaluation of deep learning models for predicting water depth
evolution in urban floods [59.31940764426359]
We compare different deep learning models for prediction of water depth at high spatial resolution.
Deep learning models are trained to reproduce the data simulated by the CADDIES cellular-automata flood model.
Our results show that the deep learning models present in general lower errors compared to the other methods.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-02-20T16:08:54Z) - A Graph-Based Modeling Framework for Tracing Hydrological Pollutant
Transport in Surface Waters [0.0]
We present a graph modeling framework for understanding pollutant transport and fate across waterbodies, rivers, and watersheds.
The graph representation provides an intuitive approach for capturing connectivity and for identifying upstream pollutant sources.
Our tool ultimately seeks to help stakeholders design effective pollution prevention/mitigation practices.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2023-02-10T00:30:38Z) - Automated Machine Learning Techniques for Data Streams [91.3755431537592]
This paper surveys the state-of-the-art open-source AutoML tools, applies them to data collected from streams, and measures how their performance changes over time.
The results show that off-the-shelf AutoML tools can provide satisfactory results but in the presence of concept drift, detection or adaptation techniques have to be applied to maintain the predictive accuracy over time.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-06-14T11:42:46Z) - Using Data Assimilation to Train a Hybrid Forecast System that Combines
Machine-Learning and Knowledge-Based Components [52.77024349608834]
We consider the problem of data-assisted forecasting of chaotic dynamical systems when the available data is noisy partial measurements.
We show that by using partial measurements of the state of the dynamical system, we can train a machine learning model to improve predictions made by an imperfect knowledge-based model.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2021-02-15T19:56:48Z) - Knowledge as Invariance -- History and Perspectives of
Knowledge-augmented Machine Learning [69.99522650448213]
Research in machine learning is at a turning point.
Research interests are shifting away from increasing the performance of highly parameterized models to exceedingly specific tasks.
This white paper provides an introduction and discussion of this emerging field in machine learning research.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-12-21T15:07:19Z) - Physics Guided Machine Learning Methods for Hydrology [21.410993515618895]
We propose an LSTM based deep learning architecture that is coupled with SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool)
The efficacy of the approach is being analyzed on several small catchments located in the South Branch of the Root River Watershed in southeast Minnesota.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-12-02T19:17:19Z) - Predictive Analytics for Water Asset Management: Machine Learning and
Survival Analysis [55.41644538483948]
We study a statistical and machine learning framework for the prediction of water pipe failures.
We use a dataset containing the failure records of all pipes within the water distribution network in Barcelona, Spain.
The results shed light on the effect of important risk factors, such as pipe geometry, age, material, and soil cover, among others.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-07-02T19:08:36Z) - A Comprehensive Review of Deep Learning Applications in Hydrology and
Water Resources [0.0]
The global volume of digital data is expected to reach 175 zettabytes by 2025.
The study provides a comprehensive review of state-of-the-art deep learning approaches used in the water industry.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-17T16:57:17Z) - A Data Scientist's Guide to Streamflow Prediction [55.22219308265945]
We focus on the element of hydrologic rainfall--runoff models and their application to forecast floods and predict streamflow.
This guide aims to help interested data scientists gain an understanding of the problem, the hydrologic concepts involved, and the details that come up along the way.
arXiv Detail & Related papers (2020-06-05T08:04:37Z)
This list is automatically generated from the titles and abstracts of the papers in this site.
This site does not guarantee the quality of this site (including all information) and is not responsible for any consequences.